Hello Friends,
RealSurf HQ is socked in as I write this, so pics will have to wait until the visibility improves. The MHL buoy is showing 3.6 metres of 9 second SE swell and wind is out of the south at anywhere from 15 to 30 kts along the Sydney coast. The Bureau says it will be all over the eastern quarters today and staying pretty strong – indeed they have a gale warning up for Sydney coastal waters. We’re going to have rain all day too. I don’t like to give up on a day until the sun sets, but you have to say this isn’t looking hopeful for surfers.
The wind should relent and toward tomorrow afternoon it might even be sort of okay in an onshorey way. Sadly, the swell is set to drop even more quickly than the wind. The rest of the week is looking pretty complex as the wind forecasts show constant fluctuations in direction and junk making velocities. After peaking at some point in the next 24 hours and then the models show it bumbling around in the metre range – ie nothing major is showing in the predictions.
Have yourself a great Monday and check back because I’ll get a picture or two up as soon as the gloom lifts.
Weather Situation
A broad low pressure system off New South Wales central coast is deepening and a high pressure system lies across the southern Tasman Sea. The low will move away from the coast during Tuesday and weaken and a cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Wednesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 35 knots tending northeast to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then tending easterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing below 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending east to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday, then tending southeast to southwesterly 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon.
Tuesday 19 November
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then becoming east to southeasterly about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around dawn, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Wednesday 20 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
