"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

You gotta be keen

Hello Friends,

Just a couple of images to share of the front as it approached toward dusk. Ocean pretty torn up and sideshore but a little line seemed to be showing as we finished up.

Change in the weather...
Change in the weather…

How it looked on the radar.
How it looked on the radar.

Not a great deal going on at Dee Why this morning. As of 0700, we had just under a metre of 9-sec ESE swell showing on the Sydney MHL buoy. It’s about half a metre bigger and more east down at the Eden buoy and the Bureau is now warning of large surf tomorrow as the swell goes southerly and builds. Today might see a little increase over the afternoon, but we’re due to have 20-30kts of N-NW wind by lunchtime and that will build to 25-35 kts later. At Dee Why the biggest wave faces I saw when I first checked this morning were struggling to make knee high. Next tide is a low at 1000.

This morning’s swell modelling efforts are lining up with the Bureau to predict nearly 2 metres of 12-13 sec ESE swell for tomorrow. The energy should stick around through Friday before fading back to marginal for 24 hours or so before coming back up for another potentially fun sesh on Sunday. And, they very long range prognostications look interesting for late next week. A huge “maybe” on that one of course.

Go well with your Wednesday everybody!

Not a great deal going on at 0800
Not a great deal going on at 0800

Weather Situation

A weak high over southeast Queensland extends a ridge southward over northeastern NSW. The high and ridge will weaken further and move east today as a strong cold front crosses NSW. The front is expected to reach the southern coast Wednesday afternoon and the northern coast during the evening or at night. North to northwest winds will strengthen ahead of the front before a gusty, strong to gale force west to northwesterly change. A low pressure system associated with the front is expected to pass to the south of the state on Thursday, maintaining strong to gale force winds for most waters, particularly southern and central parts. Winds will ease for Friday as a weak ridge develops over NSW. A moderate easterly swell is expected to reach the NSW coast Wednesday night or Thursday, resulting from a deep, slow moving low pressure system currently just northwest of New Zealand.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Gale Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots late morning or afternoon then turning west to northwesterly at 25 to 35 knots in the early evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon/evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.

Thursday 10 July

Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 11 July

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.