Hello Friends,
A 95% chance of rain today, but this morning started out with light SW wind and close to 2 metres of SSE swell at nearly 14-sec. Dee Why point seemed to have attracted the most interest for the early risers. It was reasonably consistent and set wave faces were mainly in the waist to chest high range (although it wouldn’t surprise me if there were the occasional bigger ones in the mix)
From what the Bureau says, it all goes downhill from now on. They’re predicting that as the rain turns up the swell will fade and they say the wind’ll go NE 15-20 kts soon. So, get on it while you can. Should be useful energy at most of the reasonably exposed spots.
Tomorrow should be rainy again with NE wind in the morning, swinging NW in the afternoon. Swell should come back up a touch as it’s expected to be coming from the east. However it’s also projected to have a shortish period (7-8 seconds), so there probably won’t be too much juice.
As the Goat said, the outlook then gets more complicated as we should get a low forming up when the rain system moves off the continent and into the Tasman. Weather will likely be pretty wild and woolly. Assuming the wind isn’t totally awful, there should be surf options every morning across the coming week.
Have yourself a top old Saturday!
Tides: L @0615, H @1240
Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea and is moving slowly east. A low over northwest NSW is expected to move slowly east also with a complex low expected to deepen along the NSW coast on Sunday and remain nearby during Monday. Strong to gale-force winds are expected to affect the NSW coast from early Sunday morning through Monday, at this stage more likely and stronger for southern and central parts of the coast. The position of this low will have significant implications for coastal winds and sea-state. The low is expected to move slowly away to the east Tuesday/Wednesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
- Winds
- Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Sunday 17 August
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots tending easterly 20 to 30 knots in the morning then shifting northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 35 knots in the late morning and afternoon.
- Seas
- 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
- Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning, then tending east to southeasterly 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
- Weather
- The chance of thunderstorms.
Monday 18 August
- Winds
- West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning south to southwesterly 25 to 40 knots during the afternoon.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Swell
- Easterly 2 to 3 metres.
- Weather
- Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
