"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Southerly going before daybreak

Hello Friends,

As of 0430 the south wind was blowing 20-25 kts along the Sydney coast. The MHL buoy was reporting a lacklustre metre or so of 7-sec period ENE wind bump. And the tide was incoming to this morning’s high at 0820. The weather radar was showing only a few isolated dots of precipitation, but the forecast says there’s an 80% chance of rain for today.

So, all and all, not the most beautiful set of numbers one could hope for.

This morning’s swell modelling contains little of interest for Sydney across the next few days, indeed, if they have it right, surfin’ opportunities look minimal until early next week.

Meanwhile over in southern California we pretty much have a lake rather than an ocean. And we look like having to wait until next week too before anything really changes. At the same time we’re having a real Indian summer day with clear skies and 28 degrees before 1000. Yikes.

Not sure if I’ll have a postcard for you today, perhaps later…

Go well and keep on smilin’!

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking

View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Thursday 6 November 2014.

Weather Situation

A weakening trough current over the central coast will move north along the Hunter Coast and Mid North Coast today bringing a weak southerly change to these waters. A weak high pressure system will develop over the western Tasman Sea tonight with winds turning northeasterly along most of the coast Friday then strengthening over southern and central parts on Saturday. The next southwest to southerly change is expected to move along the coast Saturday night and Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots easing to about 15 knots later this morning then tending southeasterly. Winds becoming variable at less than 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

Friday 7 November

Winds
South to southeasterly below 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the morning then increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 8 November

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.