Hello Friends,
Energy levels have dropped more than many of us had hoped they would this morning. Skies are grey early and a high tide at 0715 is swamping any real prospect of a wave at Dee Why. We’re in for another steamy day with an 80% chance of rain.
As of 0500 we had a metre or so of 7-second period NE wind chop lapping lightly in along the Sydney shoreline. Wind was light and WNW. It should pick up later though and get into the 15-20 kt range.
Best prospects will be for a knee to waist high bump at one of the magnet spots – which obviously does not include Dee Why.
It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks, but my reading of the tea leaves is that we’re stuck in a long term pattern of weak and tiny mainly NE wind swell. The more optimistic modelling shows a slight uptick for us into the early part of next week, but we’re talking waist, rather than knee high I’d have thought.
It’ll get better of course, so keep on smilin’ and get up to some good where you can!
Weather Situation
A strengthening high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the Queensland coast, while a broad trough lies over southern and western New South Wales. These systems will move fairly slowly during the next day or two, directing northeasterly winds along the much of the coast. A weak trough will pass through Bass Strait later Thursday and should bring a southerly change to the southern New South Wales coast. The southerly change is expected to move north to affect central coasts on Friday before stalling.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
- Winds
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely.
Friday 5 December
- Winds
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Saturday 6 December
- Winds
- North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Swell
- Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
