Hello Friends,
Tide was high at 0615 and is now dropping to the low at 1300. Skies are bright blue as the day gets started and we have an offshore breeze. What more could you ask for on a Saturday morning? Well, waves would be nice.
Unfortunately yesterday morning’s south pulse faded away quickly and by dark we were back to micro. You’ll be doing well to find anything above knee to waist high as our swell is about a metre at 9 seconds. South magnets are the go, anywhere else will be unsurfably tiny.
The models this morning say we should see an uptick from the south tomorrow but it’ll only be a tiny one and by the time it’s noticable, I reckon the wind will be around to the SE where – unfortunately – it will stay through Monday as the swell builds under grey and possibly showery skies. There might possibly be something in the south corners, but it won’t be much.
It looks as though there’ll be a large an intense low pressure system rattling up along the west coasts of NZ and then blobbing up into the southern boundary of the tropics while at the same time some sort of tropical low looks like having an influence on Qld and the far north coast. Unfortunately, it currently looks as though our region will miss out anything significant from all the activity.
Oh well, at least thing look a little more dynamic, so that’s a good thing. What’s not a good thing is that despite not having an el Nino pushing things along, our dear planet’s atmosphere set a new warmth record. As the Guardian online put it:
“Nasa and Noaa scientists report 2014 was 0.07F (0.04C) higher than previous records and the 38th consecutive year of above-average temperatures.
The numbers are in. The year 2014 – after shattering temperature records that had stood for hundreds of years across virtually all of Europe, and roasting parts of South America, China and Russia – was the hottest on record, with global temperatures 1.24F (0.69C) higher than the 20th-century average, US government scientists said on Friday.A day after international researchers warned that human activities had pushed the planet to the brink, new evidence of climate change arrived. The world was the hottest it has been since systematic records began in 1880, especially on the oceans, which the agency confirmed were the driver of 2014’s temperature rise.”
Read the whole story here
Every morning when I look at the models to see what surf prospects lie in store for us, I also have a quick look through the daily air and sea surface temperature anomaly models generated overnight from satellite data on the Climate Reanalyzer from the University of Maine.
This morning it showed that yesterday the world’s atmosphere was 0.69 C above the 1979-2000 baseline. The northern hemisphere was 1.20C above, the arctic 1.11C above, the tropics 0.46 above, the southern hemisphere was +0.19 and only the Antarctic was 0.39 below. I’ve been watching it for some time now and can’t recall ever seeing all the indicators registering below trend. Anyway, it’s a link to be shared widely.
Roll on with your Saturday and get up to some good where you can!
