Hello Friends
You can write off surfing this morning. It’s flat everywhere – and choppy.
The SW’ly should kick in this afternoon and by tomorrow be going strongly. At the same time this morning’s forecast from the Bureau confirms what the models have been saying for awhile now, namely that we should see a south pulse fill in tonight and be obvious tomorrow. It looks like being just short period stuff, so only the magnets are likely to see anything of interest — and they have to be friendly to the strong SW wind as well. The models show the swell staying around the 2 metre mark through Friday, but the average period doesn’t look likely to improve significantly. A mixed bag really and I’m not expecting all time conditions anywhere – just hoping it’ll be somewhat surfable somewhere.
Have a great Monday everyone!
Weather Situation
As a cold front moves off the New South Wales coast today, a low pressure system will develop over the southwestern Tasman Sea. This low is expected to deepen later today before moving rapidly east away from the coast tonight and through Tuesday. A vigorous south to southwesterly change will extend along the coast as the low moves offshore. Winds will gradually ease later on Tuesday and through Wednesday as a weak high pressure system briefly develops across the state. An inland trough and low pressure system are forecast to move across the state on Thursday, reaching coastal waters by Thursday evening.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning. Winds shifting wets to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon, and reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Tuesday 1 August
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning, then tending south to southeasterly 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Wednesday 2 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
