For much of the last week the swell models have been showing a little south pulse this morning, but as of 0700 it wasn’t really evident at Dee Why. The MHL buoy was showing a slight uptick from the S-SSW into the 1.7 m range. Unfortunately, the average period was a meagre 6 seconds. About the best one can hope for is that there might be a knee high set every now and then, but only at the optimally aligned spots. And just to add to the dour outlook, the wind forecast says we can expect 15-20 kts of S-SE wind later this morning. Tide is low at 0730 and back to a 1.4 m high at 1400.
And the outlook? Well we have a fresh forecast from the Goat!
A low pressure system off central parts of the New South Wales coast is moving east and extending a trough to the north coast. The low is directing southeast to southwesterly winds to the south of the trough, while northwesterly winds along the far north coast will turn southerly as the trough moves north, reaching Queensland waters this afternoon. During Saturday winds are expected to turn northerly ahead of an approaching front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to the New South Wales coast during Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning then decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon.
Saturday 28 October
Variable below 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly below 1 metre during the morning.
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Sunday 29 October
Northerly 20 to 30 knots.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.