Archive for November 2017

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 30th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 30 November 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

First of all… I said to Waz I had to do a forecast tonight… He said, So you just cut and paste?…

Cut and Paste??!!

The surf forecasts are all TG’s original, ir-responsible, work.

Hours of detailed analysis of lots of complicated stuff go into putting together the surf forecast.  TG constantly strives for precision and perfection . The typing alone takes forever, using two fingers.

Waz, Read this>>>>The Goat FAQs… FYI>>>>

The Goat FAQ

Now, the Surf Forecast for the first week of Summer

There should be some fun, rideable waves at the right tides (generally lower tides), at the right places, most of the coming week…

Don’t expect too much and you won’t be disappointed…

Friday: should be a little bigger than it was today –say around the mid point of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Saturday: dittoish

Sunday: same again, but maybe a tad bigger

Monday: down into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: ditto East

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: and again, East North East

See if you can find where that was cut and paste from.

Any cut and paste bits are from the sources identified below….

Enjoy!

TG

The Sky is Blue

How fascinating is that 1004 isobar below, tracking along the northern coastline, where the land meets the sea.

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 30 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 30 08:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.156,5

The Sea is too

Water temp is still bouncing around from day to day as the East Coast Current swirls down the coast and gets disturbed by days and days of Noreasters and the occasional short Southerly spell. So tomorrow, the next day or the next, might be 18 …or might be 22. You’ll just have to stick your big toe in the water to find out each day.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 1 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Possible afternoon shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 2 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Rain at times.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before turning northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 4 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 5 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 6 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

Thursday 7 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.


The waiting game

Posted on November 30th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Impressive clouds over the city this morning but far from impressive conditions at Dee Why as we finished up November. Wind was faintly SSW early but should come around to the NE and reach 10 -15 kts as the day warms up. The MHL buoy is showing a metre of swell height at sea – unchanged since day before yesterday. The dominant period and direction have been bouncing around between coming from the east at about 8 seconds to coming from the south at around 12 sec. The advice is once again to go back to where you found waves yesterday.

Tide hit a 1.5 m high at 0610 and is currently dropping to a 0.5m low at 1220.

Should be a warm 27 today and given the clouds, it’s no surprise that the possibility of showers are in the forecast.

The Goat’s Thursday forecast should be along later today so I’ll be keen, as always, to see what he makes of the models. From my cursory look it would seem that there’s reason to be hopeful about next week’s surf outlook – particularly for the mornings at east magnets.

Have a great Thursday everyone and go well!

Spectacular clouds over the city at 0640

Barely a hint at Dee Why

Not a hint at No Mans

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, directing generally east to northeasterly winds along the coast. Winds will freshen gradually ahead of a significant southerly change on Sunday and Monday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower this morning.

Friday 1 December

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower inshore in the afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.

Saturday 2 December

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Maybe up a tiny bit at Dee Why

Posted on November 29th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light fog just burning off when at 0700 when I grabbed the pictures. It looks as though the energy levels might be ever so slightly higher than yesterday. The MHL data shows no real change in the height (1 m) or direction (E by ESE) from yesterday, but as of 0500 the period was nearly 13 seconds out at sea – which is up a fair amount from yesterday’s 8 or so seconds. I didn’t see either of the punters at the point score a wave, but looking at it, I’d guess they’re getting the odd barely catchable knee plus one along the rocks. So nothing to get excited about really, but there might be the occasional set.

We’re heading to a high of 26 along the coast today and there’s a 60% chance of a light shower. Wind should be out of the east to SE but only around the 10 kt mark. Tide was high at 0520 and will be back to low at 1120 – when you might have the best chance of finding a wave.

Tomorrow looks like being more or less similar to today but from Friday the NE wind should start to kick in pretty hard. That may push up some junky wind swell for the semi-protected north corners.

Looking out to next week there seems to be some hope for a little influx from east which could stick around for a few days…

Have a great Wednesday everybody and keep on smilin’!

Hopeful types at the point at 0700

Faint line up the beach toward No Mans

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, directing generally east to northeasterly winds along the coast. Winds will freshen towards the end of the week ahead of a more significant southerly change later on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers this morning.

Thursday 30 November

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Friday 1 December

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Micro morning at Dee Why

Posted on November 28th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Just a faint offshore breeze at 0615 ensured a smooth surfaced ocean at Dee Why. Out at sea the MHL buoy was detecting a metre of 9-sec ESE bump, but from what I could see, it wasn’t translating into surf. No one seemed to be in the water and there was no obvious reason to think there should be. Tide was a 1.3 m high at 0430 and is now dropping to a 0.7m low at 1015.

We’re going to a high of 26 with a 30% chance of a sprinkle or two in the afternoon. By then the wind is expected to be coming from the south, but only at around 10 kts.

This morning’s swell modelling continues to project flat to near flat until Friday morning or so.  But thereafter it seems we could see a period of stong NE wind and accompanying building NE wind swell. Then over the weekend the wind swings south and by Sunday there could be a mix of reasonable size NE and S wind swell. It then looks like maybe the wave energy will stick around and the wind starts to back off, particularly in the mornings of Monday ant Tuesday. Maybe. Possibly. We can hope!

Have a great Tuesday and get up to some good where you can!

 

Not a hint of a line up the beach

Temple pokes above the morning fog

No sign of a wave at the point

 

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, directing east to northeasterly winds along the north coast, while a feeble trough has brought a weak southerly change to the southern half of the coast. Winds will turn east to northeasterly throughout by Wednesday as the trough dissipates and the ridge reasserts its dominance over southern waters. Northeasterly winds will freshen towards the end of the week ahead of a more significant southerly chance forecast for the weekend.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, tending southerly about 10 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Wednesday 29 November

Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Thursday 30 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Dee Why looked dull this morning

Posted on November 27th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

High overcast and 7-9 kts of NNE breeze made for a rather dull picture this morning when you correspondent climbed aloft to the crows nest for a scan of the surf situation. Swell settings are pretty much where they were yesterday (ie, a metre of 9-sec east bump at sea). So the short version is: if you found a little wave on the low tide yesterday, get back there  soon because said low is at 0905 this morning. I reckon a waist high wave would be doing pretty well this morning, so take your tiny surf option if you’re going hunting.

According to the Bureau despite all the high cloud, there’s only a slight chance of a shower today. It should get to 26 along the coast and wind should pick up to 10-15 kts as it swings to the NE by late morning.

Outlook for the remainder of the week is for the current conditions to gradually decay toward midweek before turning around and gradually coming back up into the waist to chest range at east magnets by Friday-Saturday. On current reckoning next week is shaping to broadly similar to this, but possibly with a south pulse arriving on Monday – along with heaps of south wind.

Onward friends, onward through the season of tininess!

SUP rider on the hunt for a ripple at 0710

Maybe go fishing?

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand with a ridge to the northwest is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Little change in the synoptic pattern is expected over the forecast period.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this evening.

Tuesday 28 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending east to northeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening.

Wednesday 29 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Beautiful but small Sunday morning

Posted on November 26th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Faint ENE breeze lightly texturing the surface as of 0730. Swell’s a smidgen bigger over yesterday and a touch more south at 103 degrees. Tide was closing in on the 0800 low when I grabbed the pics. It’ll be back to a 1.46 m high at 1415. By then the wind should be chugging along at 15-20 kts. At the same time the wind swell should bump up according to the Bureau.

The latest run of the models seems to be pointing toward the slight increase of later today being sustained across the rest of the week. So, more hunting around for knee to occasionally waist high bumps on the low tide. For what it’s worth, the long rage models are currently projecting a change to more southerly conditions next weekend. But it’s likely to be accompanied by southerly wind.

Have yourself a fine old Sunday everyone and keep on smilin’!

A few bods in the water at Kiddies but no one at the point as

0715 Picturesque clouds over the city

Looks like the local Kooka family’s youngster is going well

Dee Why in the sunshine

Nothing obvious up the beach but a tiny line evident

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand with a ridge to the northwest is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Little change in the synoptic pattern is expected over the forecast period.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.

Monday 27 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Tuesday 28 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

 


Take the mal

Posted on November 25th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Early was the plan this Saturday. Tide was low at 0700 so the tiny 0.9 m 8-sec east wind bump wasn’t getting swamped. Even so, it was pretty gutless and struggling to get much above the knee high mark. Wind was light from the NNE when I checked conditions at 0620. There weren’t many surf options around, so expect to be cheek by jowl anywhere that’s picking up the bump.

We’re going to a high of 27 today and the wind will do the summery thing and pick up into the 15-20 kt range from the NE by this afternoon. Next tide is a 1.5 m high at 1320, so get in asap.

Tomorrow’s shaping to be pretty similar to today and it appears that we’re going to be stuck in this marginal pattern for another week or so – if the models are to be believed.

Have a top old Saturday everyone!

Almost too soft for a SUP at the Pole

Kiddies krumblers 0630

Narrabeen on Saturday morning

Contemplating the shories at south Narrabeen

The crew on it at Northy 0620

.

.

.

.

.

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand with a ridge to the northwest is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A little change in the synoptic pattern is expected over the forecast period.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 26 November

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.

Monday 27 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Little waves for the very keen

Posted on November 24th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not a cloud in the sky when I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crow’s nest to check the surf for the first time today. As you can see from the snap below, we’re still going sideways with the wave situation. There were a few keen types in the water near Kiddies but waves looked to be knee high at best. It was too small for the point to be doing anything.

As of 0700 North Head was seeing 3-4 kts of NNW breeze. The Bureau says it’ll swing around to the NE and come up to 10-15 kts later. Out at sea, the MHL buoy was seeing 0.8 m from the ENE in the pre-dawn hours. Unfortunately the period was a wind choppy 5 seconds. So, it’s super tiny and super gutless.

Outlook you ask? May I direct you to the Goat’s freshly baked forecast below …

Have a great Friday everyone!

Looks like a quorum at Dee Why 0630

Out for a paddle on Narrabeen lagoon

 

Lion Island and Ettalong this morning

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea is maintaining a ridge to its northwest, directing mostly east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. This pattern is expected to persist over the weekend before a southerly change arrives on the south coast on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 25 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 26 November

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 23rd, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 November 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Mother Nature has heard you all cry out: Onshore! again! day after day.

But she’s misheard that as: Encore! again!  The wind has drowned you out while she’s conducting her symphony of the elements.   So could you please all speak more distinctly in future.

In the meantime, she’s already programmed in a bit more of the same, thinking that’s what you want.

With the onshores has come some marginal to tiny surf… But some pretty fabulous weather, and the water has warmed back up a little.  It ain’t all that bad.

If you’ve been able to jag a wave at the right tide, then stay alert and grab it when you can.

The surf outlook for the week ahead:

Friday: around 1 metre or so East

Saturday: around 1 metre or so East North East

Sunday: ever so slightly up into the low end 1-2 metre range East North East

Monday: somewhere in lower end of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: somewhere in the low end of the 1-2 metre range North East

Thursday: ditto.

Happy Thanksgiving to all our American friends, here or there, and to everyone who likes a good turkey!

Heard of a worthy cause this morning … Saturday 5 k walk to raise money for research to cure brain cancer in young people. 8.30am registration at Shelley Beach Manly for pleasant walk to North Curl Curl.

So the surf’s not perfect. There’s still an awful lot to be thankful for.

Stay well.. Have fun!

TG.

High in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 23 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 23 04:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.167,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19, 20…still swirling around

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west early this evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 24 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the west in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 25 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 26 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 27 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Tuesday 28 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 29 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 30 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Another morning of tiny conditions for Dee Why

Posted on November 23rd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Beautiful sunny morning with light WSW breezes but the little east wind bump of the last few days has slipped down another cog. The MHL buoy’s most recent report showed 0.8 m of 7-sec east and as you can see from the pictures, the results where Dee Why is concerned are not impressive. It’s weak, inconsistent and struggling to make the knee high mark. And given the settings, I’d be surprised if it was substantially bigger elsewhere. To the extent it matters tide was low at 0525 and will be back to a 1.6 m high at 1155.

We’re headed to a high of 25 today and the Bureau says there’s a 30% chance of a possible shower later. The NE wind should kick in for this afternoon, but only be into the 10-15 kt range.

According to the Bureau the next three days aren’t likely to show much improvement on the surf front, so I’m hoping today’s forecast from the Goat will give us some reason for optimism later in the week…

Have yourself a terrific Thursday everyone and stay happy!

 

Looking for something to ride at 0700

Hopeful crew at Kiddie, 0700

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea is maintaining a ridge to the northwest, directing mostly east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Very little change is expected in the pattern during the next few days.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower during the morning and afternoon.

Friday 24 November

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 25 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin