"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Beautiful day but only tiny

Hello Friends,

Another glorious day coming up for Sydney but it looks like only ankle to knee high for surfers. Wind was light WSW at 0700 but it’s expected to come around to the NE and be a bog standard summery 15-20 kts by this afternoon. At 0500 the MHL buoy off Sydney was seeing 0.8 m of 9-sec swell coming from the east (102 degrees). Tide hit a 1.56 m high at 0700 and is now headed to the low at 1315.

As the wind picks up this afternoon there should be some onshore burgers into the waist high range at magnets. I don’t think it’s likely to last overnight and that tomorrow will likely start out small and weak  before the NE cycle kicks in again. And it looks like that pattern will likely hold through the weekend. But Monday might be rather interesting. If the more hopeful models have it right, we could see a solid pulse from the east. Unfortunately the models also show steady onshore flow too. It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks tomorrow evening.

Have a great Wednesday one and all and keep on smilin’!

Dee Why point not being a surf spot this morning
Maybe knee high at No Mans
Jacaranda season under way on the Northern Beaches

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast. This ridge will weaken briefly at the end of the week, before strengthening again on the weekend, maintaining generally east to northeasterly winds throughout the period.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower this morning.

Thursday 16 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening.

Friday 17 November

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.