Hello Friends,
15-20 kt of southerly under darkly overcast skies as the day got started. Couldn’t see anyone in the water from the crow’s nest at 0650 either. As the pictures confirm, swell conditions are pretty ordinary.
As of 0500, the MHL buoy was seeing 1.9 metres of 6-sec chop from the SSE (156°). The Bureau says the swell should be coming up into the 2.5-3 metre range this morning. The Eden buoy popped up into the 2.4 metre range as of 0400, but the average period was still less than 8 seconds. So, only a slight hope for an improvement in that direction today.
The wind should back off and swing more SW over the next 24 hours but I’m only cautiously hopeful that we’ll see any improvement to surf prospects unless that period stretches out into the 10-second range. Some of the models are showing the period improving tomorrow, but there is more consensus about Weds afternoon through Thursday morning when the expectation is that we could see 2+ metres at 12 seconds from the SSE in combination with nice weather and light SW-SSW wind.
Our first tide today is a 1.4 m high at 0845 and then we’ll be back to a 0.43 m low at 1430. On Thursday morning when we’re hoping for the swell to pulse up, the high will be a moderate 1.48 m at 1040.
Have a great Monday everyone!
Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system in the Tasman Sea is generating vigorous southerly winds along the waters today. Winds are expected to ease on Tuesday and Wednesday as a new high pressure system develops over southeast Australia.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Southerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the morning. Winds decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore during the morning.
Tuesday 28 August
- Winds
- South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres.
- Swell
- Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 29 August
- Winds
- South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Weather
- Mostly sunny.
