Archive for October 2018

Postcareds from Cali

Posted on October 31st, 2018 in At large.

Santa Barbara this morning

Santa Barbara (12 people in water)

Waves in southern California this morning…

Top of the point, California Street, Ventura

The Wall, Ventura county

Overview, California Street

C-street


Cloudy but at least not windy

Posted on October 29th, 2018 in At large.

Cloudy morning but at least the howling cold southerly wind of yesterday has gone.

Waves around 2 metres or so at South magnets. Water surface is clean and smooth but it’s currently crowded before people go to work or school (they’re late now).

Max of 22 . Mid tide coming in.

Have a good one if you can.


Windy Sunday morning

Posted on October 28th, 2018 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Looks as though the overnight showers were clearing away before 0730 but the wind was hammering in from the SSE at 20-25 kts. At 0400 the MHL buoy was only seeing 1.3 metres of 5-sec SE chop. However, the Bureau’s hoisted a large and powerful surf warning for building south swell. Wind is supposed to decrease as the day goes along but my guess is that you won’t be seeing great quality anywhere today.

Tide was low at 0500 and will hit a deepish 1.78 m high at 1130.

Beachwatch reports water temp is 20C, so it’s come up a bit in the last week.

From the look of things, tomorrow morning could be the best combo for a surf (at south spots) for the front half of the coming week.

We have heavy fog and tiny waves at Santa Barbara, but there were little longboardable bumps 80km south of here in Ventura…

Sideshore, knee to waist bumps at California St. (Surfline framegrab)

 

Weather Situation

A cold front near the south coast is moving northwards, bringing a vigorous southerly change to the New South Wales Coast today. A high pressure system south of the Bight will gradually move across to the Tasman Sea by the end of Monday, allowing winds to ease and then shift northeasterly during Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, tending southerly 20 to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds decreasing to 15 to 25 knots later in the morning and easing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the day.
Weather
Cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Monday 29 October

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Surf conditions in the morning may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 30 October

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Today

Posted on October 27th, 2018 in At large.

There are waves around today… with nice conditions. Currently in the 1-2 metre range from pretty much dead South.  Wind is light and from the North, expected to go NE later.

Best in north corners of longer beaches or at South swell magnets befoe the wind gets up.Watch out for blueys… there were several along the shore yesterday from the onshore wind.

Water temp today is 18… Forecast max air temp of 24.

Have a good one.


Postcard from Cali: foggy afternoon

Posted on October 27th, 2018 in Surf Reports.

Hello friends,

First full day here so still shaking off jetlag. Amazingly there are actually waist plus little lines at Santa Barbara spots. However there’s a thick fog right along the shoreline so my surf pic is practically black and white. 50 metres inland it’s sunny.

Have yourself a top old saturday!

Fog just barely to the hillside above the beach

Fun size and consistent for the 6 people in the water – not always crowded in Cali


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 25th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.
Waves of varying sorts in the coming week. Water temp is very slowly creeping up and warmer water is still offshore but coming closer. Might even attract me back in after being away in warmer climes.
Friday: down a little from today but still in 1-2 metre range East South East
Saturday: up in the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South
Sunday: up some more, into the 2-3 metre range at dead South places
Monday: still up, with some oomphy sets, and probably coming into protected corners
Tuesday: down a little, around 2 metres South East with some sets
Wednesday: down some more  – around 1 metre Eastish
Thursday: around 1 metre North East South East
Have fun. Stay safe.
TG
Up in the Air
image.png
image.png
Wind
https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure
Down in the Sea
http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/idyoc300.shtml?region=NSW&forecast=SST
Water temp is around 19-20.   Warmer water is coming closer but the whales are still a long way offshore yet.
Tides
https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf
Weather from the Bureau:
http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

Grey skies and dribbly waves

Posted on October 25th, 2018 in Dee Why.

0625 high tide bumps for the keen at Dee Why beach

Hello Friends,

Another grey morning with lumpy but catchable waist plus sets at Dee Why. Sorry about the blurry picture, but I was using a 40 year old lens handheld in low light, so, well anyway. At least you can sort of make out the little A-frame at Kiddies. So, not great quality, but at least they can be caught and fun can be had.

The MHL buoy was seeing 1.8 m from the SSE at 9 seconds apart. Wind at North Head as of 0600 was coming from the WSW at 6-9 kts but it will drift around to the easterly quarters as the day goes along. First tide of the day is a deep 1.7 m high at 0920. Despite the overcast conditions, there wasn’t much in the way of percipitation showing on the radar early and the Bureau doesn’t expect anything more than the odd sprinkle.

Your correspondent is off to the northern hemisphere in a few hours. Postcards to follow in due course.

 

 

Weather Situation

South to southeast winds will begin to tend northeast today as a high pressure system moves over the western Tasman Sea. A cold front, currently over the Southern Ocean to the west of Tasmania, will bring another southerly change on Friday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly below 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 26 October

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 27 October

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Windy, grey and small again

Posted on October 24th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Turned southerly last night and this morning sees us back to heavily overcast skies and 15-25 kts of S-SSW wind. Out at sea the swell height zipped up to 2 metres as the change came through. But as of 0300 it was only 7 seconds apart. So, choppy and tiny.

The gutless wind affected tininess doesn’t look likely to change across the day unfortunately. And near term prospects according to the models aren’t very interesting either. Tomorrow looks sad, but Friday the cloud should break up, the winds should go offshore for the dawn patrol and there might possibly even be a little tiny something at spots that like east wind bump. I’m thinking ankle to knee with the odd waist if it works out. Beyond that a couple of the models are predicting slightly more interesting prospects for Mon-Tue of next week.

Not sure if I’ll be in a position to file a report tomorrow as I’ll be heading to the airport for my trip to California.

Have yourself a great day everyone!

Back to grey and tiny conditions

 

No real activity at the point or Kiddies as ot 0625

 

 

 

Weather Situation

Northeasterly winds are expected along the north coast ahead of an approaching cold front, which has brought a southerly change to southern and central waters overnight and will reach the north coast today. Winds will begin to turn northeasterly again during Thursday, as a high pressure system moves from the Bight to the Tasman Sea in the wake of the front. A second cold front is expected to bring another southerly change on Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots, easing to 20 to 25 knots later in the morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Cloudy.

Thursday 25 October

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Friday 26 October

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny morning, but waves? You want waves too?

Posted on October 23rd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Haven’t seen a clear morning like this one for awhile. Wind is light too. Unfortunately, as the pictures show, there’s no real sign of surf at Dee Why.
The MHL buoy report from 0400 showed a metre of 9-second bump from the east. As of 0715, wind was coming from the NNW at 4-6 kts. First tide of the daylight hours is the 1.5 m high at 0810. It’s back to a 0.4 m low at 1415. We’re headed to a high of 26. Beachwatch reports water temp is up a touch to 19C.
Outlook is for surf intensity to stay around the current marginal to near flat level for most places for the rest of the week. The wind will pick up again tomorrow from the northern quarters and although the Bureau says the swell will pick up, the models are showing only short period stuff, so I’m not overly hopeful. Oh, and we’ll be back to cloudy conditions again. Beyond that, the long range modelling for our region doesn’t look too exciting. Hope the predicitions prove unduly pessimistic. By then I’ll be sharing my thoughts on matters surfin’ from the other side of the planet as I spend most of November in California.

Have a top old day and good luck wave hunting!

 

Weather Situation

Southeast to northeasterly winds will turn northeasterly and freshen as a cold front approaches from the west. This front is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern waters later today and the remainder of the coast on Wednesday. Winds will begin to turn northeasterly again during Thursday, as a high pressure system moves from the Bight to the Tasman Sea in the wake of the front.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 24 October

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending southerly 20 to 30 knots before dawn then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.

Thursday 25 October

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the late morning then northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Birds enjoying a quiet morning on the lagoon

Only fanitest hint of activity at 0655

No Mans not showing


Tiny but not totally flat

Posted on October 22nd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Had a look early and can tell you that as of 0630 the centre zone of the Longy to Dee Why stretch was seeing weak knee to waist high bumps with smooth conditions under early morning grey skies. Around at the Collaory to Narrabeen stretch, apsrt from a couple of hopefuls at south Narrabeen, the only place with a wave was up at the north end.
As of 0400 the MHL buoy was showing 1.3 m of 9-sec SE and as of 0715 wind was light SSW. It should eventually get around to the NE by this afternoon. The weather should clear up too and we’re expecting a high of 23.
Tomorrow morning should be similar but warmer and waves could be around the same intensity.
Outlook for the rest of the work week is equally ho-hum. Ah well, that’s spring for ya.
Have a great Monday everyone!

South Narrabeen undistinguished

Northy crew at 0630

Soft little peak at Kiddies

Slo-mo south of the Lugga


 

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