Archive for May 2019

Dee Why pumping

Posted on May 31st, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Point very crowded and somewhat setty but bombs are head high. Too straight for the beach but a heap of people at the lagoon so zombies could also be a thing.


Curly bigger

Posted on May 31st, 2019 in Surf Reports.

A few stalwarts having a go at the south end, lots more at the bigger north end. Very straight with bombs solidly overhead. Wind offshore. Looks intense.


Snaps from Queensy

Posted on May 31st, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Swell showing at Queenscliff end of Manly stretch. Offshore, crowded and mostly straight-handers but definitely some sweet shoulder high sections on the occasional bomb sets.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 30th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 30 May 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Winter has arrived ahead of the calendar.  If you thought it was cold this morning, it was.

The temp at 7am this morning was around 8 or 9, but the apparent temp from the windchill meant it really felt like 1.7.

But it’s an ill wind that brings no one some good, and by this arvo there was an uptick in the swell offshore to around 2-3 metres, at 6-just under 10 seconds.

But the swell direction was spot on the 180 degree line on the chart and except for places that can drag in some of that swell, most was going right on past up the coast. Around dark there were people in the water catching waves… people with no physical feelings I think…

More south swell coming but for most of the time it will be due south, but there’ll also be an uptick in period so more will be getting ashore.

Friday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Saturday:around 2 maybe 2 and a bit metres South swell

Sunday: around 2, 2+ metres South swell

Monday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range dead South spots. then..

Tuesday: coming up again, bigger, maybe around 3-4 metres dead South

Wednesday: around 3 metres dead South

Thursday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range dead South

Stay warm!

TG

Up in the Air

Have a go at this…

Those lines on the map coming up our way from the direction of Antarctica are what’s making the air feel cold.

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 30 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

And there’s clear sky everywhere…

I’d guess there’ll be a few four or five dog nights coming up out back ‘o beyond the black stump.

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 30 06:30:00 2019

Winds??  Yep…

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is still around 21-22 off Sydney, but is down to 16 at Eden. 

You might want to start dusting off the heavy duty rubber for later on if you’re that keen. 

image

 

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:


Interesting…

Posted on May 30th, 2019 in Surf Reports.


Miniature lines

Posted on May 30th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Steady W-WNW wind as the morning got started was making for clean (and cold) conditions at the beach. Swell should start filling in as the day goes along, but as of 0730, there were only unsurfably tiny little lines showing at the Dee Why end of the beach.  The swell was making for catchable but somewhat gutless looking waist to waist plus waves for the hardy folks at the Lugga and inside Longy.

The MHL data from 0600 showed 2 metres of 9 second almost dead south swell out at sea. The wind is going to ramp up into the 20-25 kt range from the W-SW, so that, combined with a very straight and shortish period, pretty much dead south swell adds up to surfable bumps at the magnets. Judging by this morning at Long Reef, I’d guess that there could be the odd shoulder plus face on bomb sets later. Tide was high at 0600 and is currently dropping to the low at 1115.

The Goat will be along later with his week-ahead outlook on our surf prospects, so I’ll just observe that the weekend looks potentially interesting to me (for south spots of course) and so too does mid-next week. Wonder if his Goatness will concur…

Bumps on the horizon and soft, long-boardable things inside at Longy 0830

Bomb set near the lugga

Weak lugga left that fizzled away a second later

Too tiny to surf at the Pole

The point going unscathed by the swell

Weather Situation

Winds will tend south to southwesterly and gradually ease today as a strong high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge towards eastern New South Wales and becomes the dominant weather feature for the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
South to southwesterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 31 May

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 1 June

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Another no surf morning

Posted on May 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks flat as a tack this morning. Plus there was 10-12 kts of NW wind from early. The wind will pick up as the day goes along, which insures continued flatness thanks to the swell being a mere 0.6 metre SSE at 10 seconds.

Okay, that’s the bad news.

The good news is that we should see swell from tomorrow and, on current reckoning, it ought to last through the weekend. The big catch is that the wind will be very strong, although offshore.

So clear the decks and let’s see how things look on Thursday.

 

Weather Situation

A front moving through New South Wales today is generating vigorous winds along southern and central parts of the coast. Winds tend south to southwesterly and gradually ease from Thursday as a strong high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge towards eastern New South Wales and becomes the dominant weather feature for the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning westerly 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 30 May

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 31 May

Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Surf on tap this morning

Posted on May 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another chilly start to the day, but as anticipated, the waves have arrived. The 2.5 metre 10-sec SSE (156°) swell is producing shoulder to head plus faces on the sets at the north end of the Dee Why to Longy stretch. It’s more in the waist to chest plus range at the south end. And less consistent too. Swell is somewhat jumbled at the north end, and very straight from south of the lugga.

Tide is dropping to the 0.6m low at 0950. Weather should be sunny with a high of 19C. Water is a summery 23C(!)

Special extra report from the B1:

“Collaroy flat but sunny, 2 out.

Long Reef smalll and straight.

Dee Why calm and restful”

Outlook is for the swell to fade out to near flat for a couple of days, but there could be something in the surfable range by Friday morning – ahead of a stiff south change by the middle of the day. Swell looks like being fun size from Saturday into mid next week, so here’s hoping the blasting wind gets a little SW at some point…

Have a great Tuesday!

Very straight in the corner this morning

Lugga not super clean but definitely some rideable ones

Lugga

The bombies

Setty and inconsistent at the point 0730 

Weather Situation

A short lived ridge of high pressure extends across New South Wales today from a high centre near Perth before a cold front sweeps through the state on Wednesday with strong westerly winds. Winds will shift south to southwesterly and gradually ease during the later part of the week as a strong high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge toward the eastern New South Wales and becomes the dominant weather feature.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the evening, reaching up to 30 knots.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 29 May

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning westerly 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 30 May

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots turning southwesterly 20 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Cool breeze, sunny skies and no waves for Monday morning

Posted on May 27th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

No real surprises this morning. The dire flatness of the last few days continues and that means fresh opportunities to pursue activities other than surfing.

While there isn’t anything this morning, the models and the Bureau are saying we should see a very brief south pulse tomorrow morning. It looks as though it’ll be pretty straight south and the period may not be enough to really produce much more than knee to maybe waist on sets at magnet spots. All the models show energy levels subsiding again overnight into Wednesday morning.  It then looks like being micro to tiny until about Saturday when the next south event arrives. Unfortunately right now it looks as though next weekend’s wave energy will come with heaps of south and ESE wind. It could be mid-next week before the wind situation improves.

Have a great day and a great week!

Glowing but waveless Dee Why on Monday morning

Up the beach, nothing. 

Weather Situation

A series of cold fronts crossing the state will maintain strong westerly airflow over the the coastal waters until midweek. Winds will shift to south to southwesterly and gradually ease during the later part of the week as a strong high pressure system over the Bight, with its associated ridge extending toward the eastern New South Wales, becomes the dominant weather feature.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 25 to 30 knots about midday, reaching up to 35 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 28 May

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 29 May

Winds
West to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Dee Why imitates a billiard table

Posted on May 26th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Whatcha got on today? Not surfing if you live in Sydney, that’s for sure.

Hard to see how it could get any tinier than it was this morning at Dee Why.  Although the MHL buoy was detecting 0.8 m of 15-second swell from 156° as of 0500, there wasn’t so much as a hint of a line when I took the picture 3 hours later.

From the look of the ECM and Wavewatch models, we’re in for more of the same tomorrow, but come Tuesday south magnets could start to perk up into the waist plus range. It looks as though it’ll be a brief pulse, fading through the day and being pretty much gone by Wednesday.  The next prospect looks to be at the weekend when the models are showing a longer lasting and bigger south arriving from as early as Friday. The downside is that the wind could be pretty strong and south.

You may not need to pull on the steamer either as Beachwatch was measuring 23C water this morning. Good but not good, if you know what I mean.

Go well with your Sunday!

Not a ripple for Sunday morning

Weather Situation

A ridge extending to the northern New South Wales coast from a high near New Zealand will bring moderate to fresh north to northwest winds to the central and southern Waters today. These winds will strengthen today ahead of a cold front that moves through late Sunday and Monday, bringing fresh southwest winds.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 27 May

Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots becoming westerly 25 to 30 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
1st Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the late morning and afternoon.

Tuesday 28 May

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

 

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