Smoked out early

Posted by: on May 22nd, 2019

Hello Friends,

Burning off around the Sydney basin resulted in low visibility and air quality was fair to poor. Also, I couldn’t get a picture of the beach first up this morning. The MHL buoy at 0500 was detecting 1.4 metres at 13 seconds from the SSE (154°), so if you got waves yesterday, I’d be checking there again today. A week ago the models were telling us to expect abject flatness by now. From the numbers, I’d be expecting mostly knee to waist at better exposures, but with the very occasional bigger set keeping things interesting. Wind is set to shift around to the SE this morning, but not be too vigorous. Tide was low a little after 0400 and will be back to a moderate 1.3 m high at 1050.

Outlook is for surf options to fade to flat soon and to stay that way well into next week. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing short period and tiny swell through to at least Monday. But the very long range outlook is currently more hopeful for late next week…

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east and weakening, while maintaining a ridge across the state. This ridge will be the dominating feature over the northern half of the coast for much of the week, while a weak low pressure system off the South Coast will direct a moderate southerly wind change, expected to Hunter Coast by the end of today. The low is expected to move offshore later Thursday, and the ridge extend along the entire coast.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly below 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this evening.

Thursday 23 May

Winds
Southerly about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly early in the morning then becoming north to northwesterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 24 May

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Sunny day.

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