Archive for June 2019

Windy and rainy outlook for Sydney

Posted on June 22nd, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Wind was still WSW at daybreak in Sydney, but the forecast is for southerly wind and rain today. The MHL buoy was seeing 3.2 metres of 9-second bump from the SSE as of 0500. That period is on the short side to refract into protected corners though, which makes me think finding anything resembling a reasonable wave will be quite a challenge.
Right now the prospects do not look like improving before mid week in Sydney. Lots of southerly to easterly wind in the models, sadly.
While there are fun size waves down south in Orange and San Diego counties, up the coast in Ventura and Santa Barbara we’re still in a holding pattern with flatness for the latter and marginal knee high dribble for the former until the end of next week.
Have a good Saturday one and all!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over southeast Australia for the remainder of the week, before shifting into the southern Tasman Sea on Monday. This will maintain mostly southeast to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Sunday 23 June

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds tending southeasterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Monday 24 June

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, tending southeasterly 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

 
POSTCARDS FROM CALI

Unlovely little anklesnapper sets at foggy Campus point in Goleta

Pretty ordinary and tiny at California Street

Lower trestles has a contest and perfect fun size head plus with some surface texture


E88 views on the city run

Posted on June 21st, 2019 in Surf Reports.

The following from our special correspondent

“Am on the E88 bus today. Observations:

Overall, a rising (3 foot plus)south swell currently not being helped by the low tide. But….prospects are good for later in the day.

Bungan: A bit straight on but the odd minor gem is there for the patient. Rockpools nothing doing… yet.

Collaroy: Flatski. (Couldn’t get a window seat today). ”

Collaroy

Bungan


Waves on tap for Sydney

Posted on June 21st, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Definitely some waves around this morning for Sydney – and the Bureau says it’ll pick up later. From what I can tell it’s around the chest to shoulder high range at good exposures. The swell looked kinda close together but the MHL buoy is showing 2 metres at 11 sec from the SSE. Water is 20 and wind should be SW most of the day. Looking ahead, well we have the Goat’s latest forecast to mull over.

Went for a drive with a mate this morning and can report that Santa Barbara has no waves whatsoever but there were little glassy bumps at Ventura’s California Street. They were real weak so I wasn’t feeling too bad about not getting amongst it.

Soft and weak but plenty of face and suitable for longboarding at California Street this morning  

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will lie over southeast Australia for the remainder of the week. This system will maintain mostly southeast to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 95% chance of showers offshore, 60% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Saturday 22 June

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Sunday 23 June

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely.

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 20th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lumpy, bumpy, windblown waves and cold air do not make me want to go for a surf… So this week I haven’t. Yes there were times when the waves looked ok if you were young and fit, or silly, and the water temp is still ok (for the moment), but ’twas not for me. So I did other things.

This week I’ll be doing more ‘other things’ and you might want to do that on several days too (unless you’re a Hell Man), with colder air, bigger waves (at South spots) and wind to go with them… but conditions might get a little more civilised at some places  later in the week>>>

Friday:: around 2 ish metres at places open to dead South swell; some smaller waves might possibly get into protected corners, maybe

Saturday: up a bit say in the 2-3 metre range dead South; some smaller waves might get into protected corners

Sunday: ditto and should get into protected corners

Monday: ditto, and ditto for sets

Tuesday: around say 2 metres at dead South places, some into corners

Wednesday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South; some little ones might get around the corner

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: ditto East South East.

Stay warm, stay cool, stay safe.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 20 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 20 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is currently just under 21 but it should start to get cooler soon by the looks of this>>>

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 17
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Cloud increasing in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Medium chance (40%) of a late afternoon or evening shower in the east, slight (20%) chance in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible late shower. Sydney 17
Partly cloudy. Penrith 16
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 16
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 15
Partly cloudy. Richmond 16
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 16
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 16
Possible late shower. Bondi 16

Friday 21 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 22 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium (40%) chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 23 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm along the coastal fringe in the afternoon. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 24 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Tuesday 25 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 26 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

 


Bumps here and bumps there

Posted on June 19th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

a 1.38 m high tide at 0900 meant fairly fat and full conditions for surfing in Sydney this morning. There’s definitely a little swell around too. Size looks to be in the knee to waist plus range thanks to a mix of NE and SSE swells in the metre plus range. Period is around the 8-9 sec mark, so I wouldn’t be expecting tremendous power.

Wind is light as the day gets started, but it should pick up from the SW later. Water temp has nudged down to 20C and water quality from Narrabeen south to and including the Bower is rated as pollution possible grading to pollution likely.

Looks as though the swell should bumble along in the surfable range for the remainder of the work week, but wind will intermittently be an issue.

Meanwhile here in Southern California the nearest surfable waves are an hour or so south of where I am. As you can see from the pics below, it’s about the same size as Sydney once you get down to California street in Ventura, and then it’s a little bigger again once you’re in southern Orange county. Water’s about 15C in Venturua but it’s getting toward 19C at Trestles.

Have a fine old Wednesday everyone!

 

California Street midday Tuesday, peaky and not super busy either

Must be a comp on, only 4 people in the water for head high Lowers!

Not super busy at Church (near Trestles) at midday

From the Bureau for Wednesday in Sydney

Weather Situation

Fresh to strong south to southwesterly winds are expected today in response to a cold front developing over the western Tasman Sea. Generally southerly winds are then expected to prevail for much of the remaining week as a large high pressure system slowly approaches the region from the west.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly during the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 20 June

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 21 June

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Flat in Sydney, dull and nearly flat in Cali

Posted on June 15th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The Sydney flat spell persists for another couple of days at least. A quick scan of the local cams revealed nothing remotely surfable looking. So another day to pursue your non-surfing interests. And the forecast models are not overly hopeful of a significant improvement, although there is at least the hope of some small barely rideable and windy bump around mid next week…

California is likewise pretty ordinary. Here in Santa Barbara the local wave magnets are struggling to get above knee high on the bomb sets. It’s not much better south from here at Ventura, nor is anything coming into the Santa Cruz surf zone up north. The models are looking very summery too… ie nothing of any significance for the coming week.

Herewith a couple of postcards for your mild amusement…

Surf school in no danger of being swamped at Campus point, Santa Barbara

June gloom and ankle to knee high at California Street, Ventura


nice looking morning for Sydney but still no waves

Posted on June 14th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

On the other side again. Happily I actually have a picture from the N.Beaches to share thanks to our special correspondent. As you can see there are no waves here or there.

Somewhat jetlagged so catch you tomorrow with more postcards…

Beautiful morning from our bus correspondent 

Halfway across the Pacific 

Little southern hemisphere line showing at windy Ventura


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 13th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 13 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Look let’s keep it simple..no sugar coating.. no gloss…no waves.

Oh maybe some little ones from time to time but basically flattish or small most of the week

Friday: 1 metre or less dead South

Saturday: less than 1 metre mostly but maybe a little mal-rideable pulse from time to time at places open to dead South

Sunday: ditto

Monday: 1 metre or less dead South

Tuesday: 1 metre or so South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or so East

Thursday: ditto at dead South places

Or maybe might be different Mon or Tues depending on development of a currently expected to be not too intense Low

Have a good one.

TG

Up in the Sky

Clear, clear across the country… country. Was that an echo…..

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 13 09:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 13 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

 

 

Winds

/www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21… nice for a swim.

Warm water is still being pushed south near the coast by the currents>>>

image

 

Tides

 

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. West to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 14 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of an afternoon shower along the coast. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 10 20
Mostly sunny. Penrith 6 20
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 7 19
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 9 17
Mostly sunny. Richmond 4 19
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 7 19
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 5 19
Partly cloudy. Bondi 11 18

Saturday 15 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coast. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 16 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 17 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending south to southwesterly during the day.

Tuesday 18 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 19 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Thursday 20 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.


No surfin’ today

Posted on June 13th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Nup and nup. See below…

Why you can’t go surfing today in Sydney

Your correspondent grabbed this little snap on the way to the airport this morning.

See ya in 6 weeks Coathanger!

Beach Conditions from Beachwatch

Weather – Partly cloudy. Medium chance of light rain, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening.

Winds – N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning.

Rainfall – 0mm in the previous 24 hours.

Expected maximum temperature – 21oC

Ocean temperature – 21oC

Swell – Southerly below 1 metre.

High tide – 1.7 metres at 17:25

Low tide – 0.45 metres at 10:56


Surfrider News: International Surfing Day

Posted on June 12th, 2019 in Top stories.

FANTASTIC NEWS that Bennett Surfboards (Barry and Greg pictured below) will be displaying a dozen of their finest creations over the six and a half decades of the shapeshop to help Surfrider Foundation celebrate International Surfing Day 2019! One week only from this weekend at Harbord Diggers- if ya miss it you’ll kick yourself! #surfrideraus #isd#bennett surfboards#HarbordDiggers #respectthebeach # lovethesurflovetherider
Check out Surfrider Foundation Northern Beaches’ FB page here

Barry & Greg Bennet