That’s interesting. Yesterday’s forecasts and models pointed to declining energy levels overnight, but it only looked a bit smaller as of 0700. There were shoulder plus sets along the beach north of the surf club and chest to shoulder plus at the point for the 20 or so already in the water. Wind was light NW under sunny skies when I grabbed the snaps. Out at sea, the swell was 3.7 metres at 12 seconds apart from the SSE-SE. So, if you had a good session yesterday, I’d go back there again today.
Outlook on the ECM and Wavewatch models is for the wave energy to fade back to sub one metre tomorrow. But the Bureau begs to differ, predicting a mix of east and south swell for Friday. – and they see the south pulsing up on Saturday (along with some south wind). Beyond that, we’re left to the ECM and Wavewatch for a look into the future and they’re telling us we could be in for an extended period of weak and small conditions.
Make a move today if you can!
A high pressure system near the Bight is extending a ridge across the state as a low near New Zealand moves east. Winds are forecast to freshen a little from the west to northwest on Thursday ahead of a cold front that clips the state’s south. Late on Thursday and during Friday a southerly change is forecast to move up the New South Wales coast as a cold front clips the south. Another front is expected on the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon. Winds tending northwesterly in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly around 1 metre during the morning.
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Friday 13 September
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 0.5 metres by early evening.
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Easterly around 1 metre.
The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Saturday 14 September
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the evening.