Archive for November 2019

Barely there for the early

Posted on November 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another dense atmosphere morning for Sydney and the Bureau has the following warning on its Saturday forecast:

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Saturday.

It’s right at the lower end of surfability this morning at Dee Why and Narrabeen. If you figure ankle to knee with the odd thigh high bomb set, your expectations should be close to reality. Wind has come around to south and was 12-15 kts when I grabbed the pictures at 0630-0640.

Tide is currently running into what will be a swampy high at 1135. The bump is coming from the SSE-SE at 7 seconds apart and about 1.3 metres out at sea.

Outlook is for conditions to deteriorate surfwise as the day goes along and right now I’m not seeing much of interest on the models until around midweek when there seems to be prospect of a small south pulse into the waist-ish range.

Have yourself a top old Saturday everyone!

Paltry offerings at Long Reef

A few tiny bumps in the corner at Dee Why

Trying – but not succeeding – south Narrabeen

Waist high at Northy 0630

Near the Gardens 0630

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a cold front brings a southerly change to southern central waters today. This change is expected to stall and decay in the north during Sunday. A second, more vigorous cold front is forecast to affect southern waters later Sunday and continue through remaining areas on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early morning, locally reaching 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 1 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds locally reaching 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Monday 2 December
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy


Grey skies for Friday morning

Posted on November 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a morning to give it a miss at Dee Why unless you’re really, really keen. And if you are, you can have ankle to knee high dribble pretty much to yourself. Out at sea the wind bump is a couple of metres but less than 7 seconds apart and coming from the SE. Wind as of 0700 was light NE. Next tide is a high of 1.83m at 1055. And then there’s this from today’s forecast for Sydney:

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 29 November 2019.

We’re going to a high of 28.
Outlook? Ah, well, we have the Goat’s weekly wisdom to consider!
Go well with your Friday.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds over New South Wales waters. A cold front is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast late Friday, central parts on Saturday and northern parts on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 30 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early evening ahead of a late southwesterly change 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Sunday 1 December
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming west to northwesterly about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 28th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some warm, smokey days ahead with flip floppy winds and not much surf.

At least the water temp has gone up a little to make for some comfort…on those warm, smokey days ahead with flip floppy winds and not much surf…

Might get a spot of rain according to the Bureau..that’ll freshen the air a little together with the breeze changes

Friday: 1 metre or less North East

Saturday: around 1 metre North East then smaller

Sunday: maybe around 1 metre or so at dead South places only

Monday: probably less than 1 metre

Tuesday: 1 metre or less at dead South places only.

If the surf outlook’s the worst thing you’ve got to worry about anyway, then you’re laughing 🙂

TG

PS Does worrying about anything ever help>?

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 28 05:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 28 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast Alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Thursday 28 November 2019.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 29 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 29 November 2019

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Smoke haze. Sydney 19 29
Smoke haze. Penrith 16 33
Smoke haze. Liverpool 16 32
Smoke haze. Terrey Hills 17 28
Smoke haze. Richmond 15 32
Smoke haze. Parramatta 16 31
Smoke haze. Campbelltown 15 32
Smoke haze. Bondi 20 25

Saturday 30 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Possible raised dust from the evening. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h turning easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 1 December

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting north to northwesterly during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 2 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 3 December

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 4 December

Summary
Min 16
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly during the day.

Thursday 5 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Surf on hold at Dee Why

Posted on November 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

So, nothing doing on the surf front this morning for Dee Why. Swell is straight south and about 1.5 metres with a period of 9 seconds. Wind was coming faintly from the NW at 0730. Tide was ramping up to a swampy 1.9 m high at 1010. We’re going to a high of 29 on what is forecast to be a sunny day.  While there aren’t any waves at the south end, there might be a little something into the knee plus range up the beach toward Longy, but I don’t think you’ll find much of anything above waist high anywhere along the beaches.

The Goat should be along later with his thoughts about the surf prospects for the weekend and next week. I hope he’ll see something, because my reading of the runes is that we could be facing a proper summer style flat spell. Really hope to be proven wrong!

Have yourself a top old Thursday everyone.

Dee Why tiny Thursday morning

Faint line up the beach

Weather Situation
A weak ridge of high pressure extends across the region with northerly winds generally prevailing next couple of days. A cold front passing to the south will bring a brief southerly change to the far south coast this afternoon. A stronger front looks set to bring a southerly change to southern parts late Friday, central parts on Saturday and northern parts on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon and reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 29 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 30 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly in the morning. Winds shifting southerly in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Beautiful morning with waves

Posted on November 27th, 2019 in At large, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Had a look around this morning to see if I could spot a worthy wave. Swell has come up as expected. It’s straight south and a couple of metres out at sea with a period of 11 seconds. This meant it was biggest at north ends such as Long Reef. Unfortunately in the latter case the SW wind was chewing it up pretty severely before 0900 when I looked. Plus a deep 1.9 m high tide was coming into the to the peak at 0925. The tide and straight south combo weren’t delivering a lot of joy down at the Dee Why end. There were plenty of folk in the water from Kiddies up to No Mans, and some set wave faces looked to be into the shoulder high range, but they were really difficult to paddle into and the sets were not too frequent.

By the time the tide is ready to play nice, the wind will be southerly, going around later to the NE at the end of the day. So, timing will be everything if you’re going to have a go – as usual.

Water quality’s basically good everywhere but Queensy lagoon and temp is sitting on 20C.

Right now it looks as though the general settings will be retained through tomorrow and then the models show the period decreasing as we get into Friday-Saturday. So if you can find something today, I’d do it.

Have a great Wednesday everyone.

No Mans wave of the morning

Fat shoulder at Dee Why

Lotta waiting around for short rides near the Lugga

Size but scrappy and lumpy in high tide, sideshore Longy.

Heart-stopping action at Collaroy 0830

The Ile De Brehat, a French cable-laying vessel off Narrabeen this morning

 

Weather Situation

A weak ridge of high pressure is establishing itself about coastal parts in the wake of a cold front. Northeasterly winds will prevail over the coming days, before a southerly change moves up the waters behind the next cold front on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots shifting northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 28 November

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 29 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny and smoke hazy with no waves

Posted on November 26th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The smoke from the bush fires up and down NSW has dropped visibility to around 10 km along the beaches this morning. As the picture shows there’s no real reason to take anything smaller than a SUP down to the seashore at Dee Why. The MHL buoy is showing a little under a metre from the NE at 8 seconds and North Head was reporting 8-9 kts from the NNE at 0720.

The wind will get into the 15-25 kt range today before swinging SW late and tomorrow should see it light SW early with a rising south swell. From the look of the models, it’ll be straight south, so the waves will probably only be surfable at the magnets. How big? Well, I’m hoping for waist with the odd chest plus on bombs. But we’ll see…

Have a great Tuesday!

Another flat and smoky start to a hot day

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, promoting northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front looks set to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on this afternoon and evening, and then weaken as it reaches northern parts of the coast on Wednesday. Following this, winds are expected to gradually ease as a weak high pressure ridge extends along the coast through the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 40 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny morning. 80% chance of showers during this afternoon and evening. A thunderstorm likely during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe.
Wednesday 27 November
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then shifting easterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 28 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Micro Monday

Posted on November 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW breeze early brought the smoke haze back to the beaches this morning. It should pick up later as it swings NE and gets up to 15-25 kts. Out at sea the MHL buoy was detecting less than a metre of 8 second bump from the SE. But it wasn’t doing anything surfwise at Dee Why. It should heat up to 29C and there’s a 60% chance of a shower or two. Yesterday’s Beachwatch report said that our water temp is up to 21C now. So, no more steamers until next June – apart from the odd NEr dropping the temps for a few days…
There might possibly be a few little semi-rideable bumps this afternoon when the wind’s been up for a few hours, but I’m not expecting much. Tomorrow doesn’t look a lot more interesting, but Wednesday morning could have the odd chest high face at south exposures.
Go well with your Monday!

Hazy and micro at Dee Why 0650

Nothing going on at No Mans

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, promoting northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front looks set to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast from Tuesday afternoon, and then weaken as it reaches northern parts of the coast on Wednesday. Following this, winds are expected to gradually ease as a weak high pressure ridge extends along the coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 26 November
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 27 November
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the early morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres developing during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny


Gloomy, choppy and small for Sunday morning

Posted on November 24th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a great day to do something other than try to surf at Dee Why (and elsewhere along the beaches no doubt). The pictures really tell the story, but for the record out at sea the bumps are into the 1.5 metre range, they’re coming from the SSE but the period’s a febrile 5 seconds. So, just chop really. Just to round out the picture, the wind is a steady 10kt SSE’r. Blergh. Oh and there’s a possibility of very welcome showers.
Tomorrow looks like being hot and smoky again. Surfwise we’re probably not going to see anything much until maybe Wednesday morning when a little south pulse could turn up with light wind.

We had a brilliant turn out for yesterday’s paddle out at Manly. I put a few pictures on Surfrider’s Facebook page from the Fight For The Bight paddle-out .  To see some of the 50 or so other paddleouts around the country, check out the Great Australian Bight Alliance FB page This should give Equinor a very clear message: no fossil fuel drilling in Australia.

Go well everyone!

 

No Mans bumps 0830

Small crew in the water at Kiddies, but waves look paltry.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea while a weakening trough lies about the lower Mid North Coast. South to southeasterly winds lie to the south of the trough and north to northeasterly winds to the north. This trough trough is expected to have weaken during today, such that by Monday the high will be promoting northerly winds along the coast till the next front brings a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts on Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Monday 25 November
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the early morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 26 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty south to southwesterly change 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Cloudy and calm early for Saturday

Posted on November 23rd, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a safe morning for the Fight for the Bight paddle-out at Manly just before noon today. Grab a board and be part of history! Anyway, if you were hoping for a surf beforehand, you’d better dial down the expectations pretty severely because it’s just about flat. The biggest wave I saw on this morning’s radio report run was maybe just into the knee high range. Not only is it really tiny, but it’s gutless too.

Although it doesn’t have much bearing on things, next tide is the low at around 1220. We’re going to a high of 25C along the coast today and it looks like being cloudy with maybe the odd little shower in the mix. Water’s nice though, Beachwatch said it was 21oC yesterday morning. Wind was light from the south at 9-10 kts early, but it should pick up a little later while coming around to the SE.

Outlook is for the small and weak conditions to last until midweek when we might see an uptick into the fun range around Wednesday. The swell is predicted to be out of the south and the wind will be too if they have it right, but it may not blow too hard. At this stage I’d be circling Wednesday morning at a south magnet.

Have a great Saturday and Fight for the Bight paddlers, I’ll see you at Manly around 1130 this morning.

 

Tiny dribble at Kiddies around 0630

A long mal or a rescue board looked to be the go at Long Reef

No takers for this knee high dribbler at south Narrabeen

Very quiet at Narrabeen

There’s always a crew at Northy…

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea, while a weakening trough lies about the lower Mid North Coast. South to southeasterly winds lie to the south of the trough and north to northeasterly winds to the north. By Sunday, the trough is expected to have weakened, with the high promoting northerly winds along the coast till the next front brings a southerly change to southern and central parts on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, turning southeasterly in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre in the late morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Sunday 24 November
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon. Winds inshore tending northwesterly around 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 25 November
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening


Another smoky morning

Posted on November 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The beach was just barely visible from RealSurf HQ thanks to another day of smoke from the fires devouring vast areas of the bush around NSW. Waves look very small and the MHL buoy shows why: it’s around 2 metres from the north out at sea but average period is only 7 seconds. I’d call it ankle to knee with the odd plus where Dee Why’s concerned.
Tide is currently dropping to low at 1115.
Outlook for tomorrow and beyond we now know thanks to the all-seeing, all-knowing, very stable Goat who graced us with a forecast overnight.
Have a good Friday everyone!

With a severe amount of processing, you can sort of make out that there are waves.

The point just barely visible at 0710 (unprocessed image)


 

 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea will direct increasing north to northeasterly winds along the coast, as a cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring a vigorous southerly change to central parts of the coast, reaching the lower Mid North Coast by Friday afternoon, when it is expected to stall and weaken.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 23 November
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the afternoon then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.
Sunday 24 November
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm