Hello Friends,
The Bureau has a surf conditions warning this morning, but I couldn’t see any sign of dangerous conditions at Long Reef or Dee Why this morning. Indeed, as the pictures show, it was only just barely surfable at Longy. Looking at the latest MHL data as of 0400, there was 1.4 metres of 11-12 sec south swell at sea. Wind was coming from the east at around 10kt under cloudy skies when I checked the beach. It’s expected to pick up as the day goes along. Tide was high at 0640 and ocean is on 23C.
From the look of the models this morning we’re going to see swell building through the weekend, but the forecasts also show relentless onshores with it. I hope the Goat has a more encouraging take on the prospects this afternoon.
Have a great Thursday everyone.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system will remain near-stationary over the southern Tasman Sea for the next several days, bringing onshore winds to the New South Wales coast. A low pressure trough is expected to deepen near the northern coast today and during Friday, extending to parts of the central and southern coast on the weekend. Easterly winds are likely to strengthen around the south of this trough over the coming days.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 7 February
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres from the middle of the day.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 8 February
Winds
Easterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. Rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
