Archive for August 2020

Micro Monday

Posted on August 31st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nothing doing at Dee Why this morning I’m afraid. Weather was looking nice though. It was already a comparatively mild 15C as of 0700 under sunny skies with 10-12 kts of WNW breeze. Sadly, as the pictures show, the surf situation is that there isn’t any for Dee Why. Out at sea the waverider buoy was showing 1.2 metres at choppy 6 seconds apart from the SE. Water is clean and around the 17C mark. High tide was at 0710 and it’ll be back to low at 1245.
The Bureau and the models show the possibility of a slight bump in the swell late this afternoon, but it doesn’t really look like being much of an improvement. Prospects seem a little more hopeful for tomorrow morning when the period stretches out into the 9-10 second range with swell heights at sea getting into the 2 metre range. It’s predicted to be dead south, so I’m not expecting a wealth of surf opportunities, but there should at least be something…
Go well with your Monday and pack that mask for enclosed public spaces.

Weather Situation
An approaching cold front has brought a strong southerly change to the southern coast overnight. This change is expected to push through to central parts of the coast this morning, before easing as it moves along the northern coast later today. Northerly winds are then forecast to increase from Tuesday as another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 1 September
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the middle of the day before tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 2 September
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots offshore. Inshore winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots for a period during the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Surf Slumbering Sunday in Sydney

Posted on August 30th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
The scent of burning off in the air this morning and although it’s bright and sunny, it’s also definitely hazy too. Yesterday’s little south pulse faded away overnight and we’re now back to near flat conditions. I couldn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why from the RealSurf crows nest when I snapped this morning’s pictures. Looking at some of the cams, it seems that the 1.1 metre 12 second SSE swell is still producing the odd knee to waist high bump at the optimal exposures.
Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are predicting that the smallness will get smaller tomorrow but then we could see a little uptick from the south on Tuesday. After that they both predict a return to flat or near flat for the rest of the week… hope they’re wrong!
Go well with you Sunday and keep that mask handy for when you need to go into enclosed public spaces.

Back to micro this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea will move east ahead of an approaching cold front. This cold front looks set to bring a strong southerly change to the southern half of the New South Wales coast late tonight and early Monday, before it eases as it extends along the northern coast later on Monday. Northerly winds are forecast to increase from Tuesday as another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 31 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 1 September
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly about 10 knots during the morning. In the afternoon winds becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Lots of surf options at south favourables

Posted on August 29th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Super clean, lightly offshore and head high plus on the bomb sets at south magnets on Saturday morning. It was kind of missing Dee Why point but the peak north of the club and several focal points between there and the bombies at Longy were all keeping the crowds entertained. Swell was showing from just south of Marquesas almost to Northy. It was busiest at Surfrider Gardens but a patient attitude and enough time should see you scoring something worthy.

Swell at sea was 1.6 metres at 12 seconds from 166°, so definitely down from yesterday evening’s peak. The forecast tells us to expect the energy to dribble away as the day goes along. Tide was high at 0530 and is back to low at 1100 as we head to sunny high of 21. Water is 17C and clean everywhere.

Outlook? Well, like the Goat said, there could be some waves around tomorrow morning, then it may fade back…

Surfrider Gardens busy

Narrabeen

Marquesas

Longy

Longy Bombies set

That peak at Dee Why

Weather Situation
A recent cold front is bringing fresh to strong southwesterly winds to New South Wales waters today. Following this, a strong high pressure system will drift across from the west during Saturday, reaching the Tasman Sea by Sunday. Winds will ease then shift northerly in most coastal areas as the high passes overhead. The next cold front looks set to arrive on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly about 10 knots tending northerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 30 August
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 31 August
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 27th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney

How was that weather today??? Freezing this morning (7 degrees at 7am with an apparent temp of 3) then 22 and hot at 2 pm… TG didn’t know if he was hot on the inside/ cold on the outside, or vice versa.

Anyhoo, variety is the spice of life, and you’ll get some spice from the surf this week. (is that possible? you’re wondering)

TG has read how students are doing it tough this year with everything else that’s going on, especially those studying for the HSC.  TG feels for them. He’s done one or two tests in his life too… jump this fence… eat this hat etc etc.

So to help the kids out, he’s provided some sample exam questions and answers scattered in the forecast. That way you learn to keep some balance in your life … you know… study, play, study,… – just make sure you keep alternating. There are some tricky questions here, but hey… don’t worry if you get some wrong.. Just do your best. Some of you older kids may have even seen them before, so don’t give the answers away.

Friday:

Surf: Smallish to start – say around 1 metre or so at places that are open to the South, then coming up through the day to around 2ish metres, but messy and pushed along by the S wind.

Sample Q: Briefly explain what hard water is…

Saturday:

Surf: Well that was a short lived uptick in the surf…back to around 1ish – 1+ metres only at dead South spots.

A: Ice.

Are you coping with the format so far??

Sunday:

Surf: Around 1ish metres or less from South East

Q and A: To give you a little break, here’s the next question and answer…

Monday:

Surf: Ditto East/ North East

Q: Name one of the early Romans’ greatest achievements…

Tuesday:

Surf: Chopping and changing again.. little uptick to 1 – 1+ metres but only at dead South places

A: Learning to speak Latin.

Wednesday:

Surf: dittoish South East

Q: Don is driving at 2 metres per second and the speed limit is 60 kph. Is Don speeding?

Thursday:

Surf: similar

A: Don could find out by checking his speedometer.

PS: bonus marks if you said, Don would never exceed the speed limit.

I think that’s enough hard work for today..

Take a break, have the weekend off, surf if you can, and laugh a lot.

TG.

Up in the Air

On a High High High generally means nice weather and temps

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 27 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 27 05:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18 offshore.  I’ve had some people tell me it’s a nice temp inshore and others say it’s freezing… guess it depends where you are and what currents are swirling around your tootsies

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast updated at 10:19 am EST on Thursday 27 August 2020.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 22
Sunny. Penrith 23
Sunny. Liverpool 22
Sunny. Terrey Hills 21
Sunny. Richmond 23
Sunny. Parramatta 22
Sunny. Campbelltown 22
Sunny. Bondi 20

Friday 28 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 29 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning fog in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 30 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 31 August

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southwesterly during the day.

Tuesday 1 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning

 


Little waves at selected spots

Posted on August 27th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies, light and variable breezes, low tide at 0850 and high at 1535, plus 1.3 metres of 9-second SE swell meant magnet spots were seeing the odd waist high set or even a touch bigger. But it was inconsistent and close to flat between sets. So, you can get wet, but just take a buoyant water toy to play.
On a schedule so will leave it there. Check back later for the mighty Goat’s weekend surf forecast!

Kiddies set

Kiddies crowd waiting

Bomb set at the point

South Curly set

South Curly

South Curly

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia extending a ridge across the northern Tasman Sea. Coastal winds will increase across the south on Thursday ahead of a cold front, which is expected to bring a strong southerly change to much of the New South Wales coast during Friday. On the weekend, winds will tend northerly as the high pressure system reaches the Tasman Sea and another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 28 August
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 4 metres around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 29 August
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning northerly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.


Backed off but not gone

Posted on August 26th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Waves have faded back pretty much in line with expectations, but there were definitely still a few fun looking sets left in the mix as the morning got started. A shoulder high set came into the point as I was taking the pictures. The beach breaks looked to be in the waist high range.
Swell at sea is 1.6 metres at 9-10 seconds from 161°. Low tide was at 0745 and will be back to a 1.6 m high at 1425. Weather should be sunny with light winds as we head to a high of 18C. Ocean temperature is sitting on 17C.
The Goat will be along with his weekend outlook tomorrow so as always I’ll be keen to see his take, but for now it looks to me from the models as though we should have at least surfable size waves at the better exposures. The swell direction’s gone a little more to the southeast since yesterday morning and the average period is still hanging in there. With luck this pattern will persist into next week.
Go well, mask up inside public spaces and have a great Wednesday.


Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia is extending a ridge across New South Wales, causing fresh southerly winds to ease along the coast today. Winds are forecast to increase across the south on Thursday ahead of a cold front, which looks set to bring a strong southerly change to much of the New South Wales coast during Friday. On the weekend, winds will tend northerly as the high pressure system reaches the Tasman Sea and another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 0.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 27 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 28 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southwesterly during the day then becoming southeasterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Icy start but waves on tap for the hardy

Posted on August 25th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
It was under 9C at RealSurf HQ at 0730. There was a steady WSW breeze of around 10-15 kts under mostly sunny skies and out at sea the swell was 2 metres at 12 seconds from 166°. Tide was just coming off the low at 0650 and will be back to a 1.6 m high at 1320. The Bureau says we’ll have a chilly high of 16C today.
As you can see from the pics, sets were head high to a bit overhead at both the point and along the beach. It seemed to be reasonably consistent too, so although there are a fair number of people in the water, your chances of picking off the odd fun one look okay.
Swell should decline gradually across the day but still be surfable tomorrow. Thursday and Friday may be marginal but then it currently seems that we may get another little south pulse as we go into the weekend.
Stay safe, mask up indoors and have a great Tuesday!

Set at the beach 0720

Solid sets at the point

No Mans


Weather Situation
Fresh south to southwesterly winds will gradually ease today as a complex low near New Zealand moves away to the east and a high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge across the state. This high looks set to become the dominant feature across New South Wales for the coming days, promoting light winds. The next cold front is forecast to clip the southeast late on Thursday, bringing a strong southerly change to much of the New South Wales coast on Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Wednesday 26 August
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 27 August
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Signs of swell

Posted on August 24th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Just made the run from Manly to Dee Why and there are clear signs that the swell is filling in.

Gliding North Steyne

Swell was knee to waist high at North Steyne where the swell was focusing. There was a fair old crowd riding mostly mals.

South Curly

Curly was waist to chest on sets at the south end but looking a bit fat for the moment.

Teaser line at Dee Why
Set at the point

Dee Why point had the occasional soft waist plus moment, but the beach peaks up towards No Man’s looked more consistent and bigger.

Will be keeping an eye on it


Coming up

Posted on August 24th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
As predicted, the swell has started to build out at sea. It was 2.3 metres at 11 seconds from 174° (ie, dead south) as of 0715 but the call is for it to be 3-4 metres as we get to lunchtime. Wind was 11-17 kts from the WNW. That should swing to the W to SW as the swell builds. Weather should be sunny as we go to a maximum of 17C, which is a degree cooler than the current water temperature. Tide was low at 0600 and will be back to high at 1225. As the pictures show, it was knee to waist plus before 0800 and only a few people were in the water.
The models show the energy levels peaking quickly and then fading across the rest of the work week. Right now it looks as though today could be good for the fit and experienced. Tomorrow should be open to a few more riders and by Wednesday it should be fun for all at south magnets. Average periods don’t look like getting much above the 10-11 second mark, so surf options will be limited.
Have a top old day, and maybe check back later in case I’ve managed to get a picture or two…
Oh, and don’t forget the mask – if you haven’t had COVID-19, you’re just as vulnerable as you were when this all started.

No Mans slider

Not quite big enough to catch, but coming close

Near the Pole 0715


Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system with its main centre over the southern Tasman Sea is bringing strong south to southwesterly winds and large and powerful surf conditions to New South Wales waters. Conditions will gradually ease later today as the low moves away to the east and is replaced by a high pressure system. This high looks set to become the dominant feature over the state during the coming week, promoting a return to lighter winds.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots. tending south to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots by the late morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 25 August
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 26 August
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Flatness continues into Sunday morning

Posted on August 23rd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
No waves at Dee Why this morning.
Wind was 18-26 kts from the west. There’s a gale warning, so we can expect it to blow even harder as the day goes along. And that means that although the swell at sea has actually started to come up, those fierce winds are keeping the energy from getting into the beach. It isn’t up spectacularly (1.4 metres at 4-5 seconds) from the south.
As you can see from the forecast below, the Bureau is calling for large and powerful surf conditions tomorrow as the swell builds into the 3-4 metre range by the afternoon. But, the wind will still be roaring and swell will be dead south with current predictions saying periods will be around the 10 second mark – meaning it won’t refract much into spots that aren’t facing south.
Go well with your Sunday everyone and take that mask with you when you go to the shops.

Nothing at No Mans

Zip on a bright, cold and windy Sunday morning

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system with its main centre over the southern Tasman Sea is directing a series of cold fronts and troughs across southeast Australia, bringing vigorous westerly winds to New South Wales waters. Conditions are expected to gradually ease later Sunday and Monday as the low moves away to the east and is replaced by a high pressure system. This high looks set to become the dominant feature over the state during the coming week, promoting a return to lighter winds.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
2 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Monday 24 August
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 25 August
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.