"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 October 2021: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

As TG was about to put hoof to keyboard, the Southerly hit with a bang, a whoosh and continuing annoying whine, not unlike the antics of TG himself. So what will it mean for the surf??? you all say… sitting on the edge of your seats.

The short answer: Not a lot.

If the surf today was small and pleasant where you were, Friday looks like being small and unpleasant.

The weekend and next days are expected to see flip flopping wind directions from South to North to South, until a slightly stronger push from down South might provide a little something, or not, around Wednesday/ Thursday.

Friday: aound 1 ish metres or so South South East, with wind messing it up

Saturday: around 1 metre or less from the North East

Sunday: let’s say aound 1, 1+ metres from the North East, ie bigger at southern ends of beaches than northern ends

Monday: around 1, 1+ metres from due South, maybe increasing a little later briefly, with wind

Tuesday: maybe 1 – 1+metres due South

Wednesday: somewhere around 1, 1+ metres South East

Thursday: maybe similar or starting to come up a little more, or not.

The possibility of Thunderstorms on some days according to the Bureau. Lightning likes open spaces – including on beaches and out on the ocean water. If you don’t like the idea of getting zapped, when it rumbles you might want to avoid those places and get under shelter.

Stay safe in and out of the water.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  7 00:00:00 2021 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  7 06:30:00 2021

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.368,151.221,8,m:cIKaknd

Down in the Sea

Water temp is still cold and you can still see it clearly here>>>

17.9 degrees, before Thursday’s Southerly change. TG thinks the push from the Southerly could disturb it briefly, upping it a half degree or so Friday, but further wind changes will still see it feel cold again without a wettie…sigh.

image

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-07/tide-tables-2021-2022.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds west to southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h turning south to southeasterly 35 to 50 km/h in the evening.Winds reaching up to 60 km/h at times near the coast during the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 8 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloudy, sunny breaks during the afternoon. Slight (20%) chance of a shower during the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Saturday 9 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 10 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 29
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds northerly 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 40 km/h before shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 11 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 12 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 13 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 14 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day