Hello Friends,
Seth’s surf began filling in yesterday and this morning sees 2.5 metres of ENE swell at 12 seconds smashing into Dee Why. As the pictures show, it is very lumpy, messy and chaotic, so you need to be experienced, fit and really keen to paddle out for a taste. Anyone else really should give it a pass as it’s both dangerous and not really what you’d call fun.
Wind was 8-12 kts from the SSE, so there’s that as well.
Seth swell looks like fading over the next 24-48 hours, but a new southerly pulse should start filling in tomorrow. I’m not too confident about the quality though. The wind is set to stay out of the easterly quarters through Thursday, which is not ideal for clean conditions. Obviously the early sessions will give you the best shot at clean conditions.
Take care, mask up with an N95 and find rapid antigen tests if you possibly can to check yourself 3-5 days after suspected exposure. I learned this morning that I’ll be doing this in a few days. The virus is everywhere, so avoid enclosed places as much as possible.
Weather Situation
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Seth, currently located about 300 km to the east of the far north coast of New South Wales is bringing large and powerful waves, hazardous surf conditions and strong to gale force winds over northern coastal waters today. Winds and surf conditions should gradually ease from later today through Wednesday as the system slowly heads northwest towards Queensland coast and weakens through the mid week. Elsewhere a ridge of high pressure extends across central and southern waters, with the ride forecast to strengthen over the coming days.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- Winds
- Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Northeasterly 2.5 metres, tending easterly 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 5 January
- Winds
- East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon and evening.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
- 1st Swell
- Easterly 2 metres.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre offshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Thursday 6 January
- Winds
- Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
- Seas
- 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- 1st Swell
- Easterly 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
