You can cross Dee Why off the list for a surf this morning. The sub-one metre, 11-second south swell is barely making an impression. Better exposures should be seeing a little something though. Wind blew NNW in the wee small hours, but now that the sun’s been up for an hour or two, it’s coming from the north at 5-9 kts. In another few hours it’ll be NE and picking up as it comes up to a standard issue summer afternoon 15-20 kts.
The Bureau tells us to expect the swell to come around to the east by tomorrow, but it doesn’t look like picking up much, if at all. The GFS model is showing 5-second periods and 0.6m swell heights for Tuesday morning, while the ECMWF is a bit more hopeful with 0.7 m at 10-sec. Either way, we’re looking at another day of very paltry conditions. Beyond that, the outlook is pretty much sticking to the Goat’s call, ie small to micro.
Have a top old Monday everyone!
A high pressure system has now entered the Tasman Sea, with winds shifting more northerly along the coastline. The next southerly change front looks set to arrive mid next week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
- North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 26 September
- Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southwesterly before dawn then tending south to southeasterly in the early afternoon.
- Around 1 metre.
- Easterly below 1 metre.
- Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 27 September
- South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
- Below 1 metre.
- Easterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Partly cloudy.