Lots of sunny breaks by 0900 when your correspondent first clapped eyes on the ocean. The parking lots at Dee Why looked to be full and there were plenty of folk in the water chasing waist high sets. Surface conditions were pretty smooth thanks to light WNW breezes during the pre-dawn hours. By 0930 when this was written, it had drifted around to the N-NNE and was 7-12 kts. The swell was 1.45 metres at 11 seconds from the south. Tide was low at 0550 and will be back to a 1.77 m at 1230. Weather should be partly cloudy as we head to a high of 24. Beachwatch ways water’s on 20.
Outlook is for stiff NE wind tomorrow and Monday, so your best shot will be to hit it as early as possible. The ECMWF model is projecting short period and small east wind swell and gloomy, showery weather from Monday through to next weekend. By contrast the GFS model is showing a brief longer period south pulse Sunday night that might see a NE wind-south swell combo for Monday morning. Beyond that, it too is showing cloudy, showery weather and short period south wind swell with southerlies dominating the wind picture Wed-Thr.
So, enjoy the sunny skies while they last and have yourself a top old Saturday.
A trough of low pressure is sitting along the western slopes and plains, while a ridge of high pressure extends across the south of the state. A weak high is developing over the western Tasman Sea, extending a ridge along the coast. A new trough is expected to deepen over the inland during Sunday and persist over the region through the coming week. From Tuesday onwards a coastal trough is expected to move northward along the south and central Coastal Waters districts.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
- Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
- Partly cloudy.
Sunday 19 November
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
- Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
- Mostly sunny.
Monday 20 November
- Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.