"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Unexpectedly big early but…

Hello Friends,

The models missed and this morning saw a thumping 15-second, 3-metre S-SSE pulse make a quick appearance in Sydney. By the time I got to the beach, the surface conditions were texturing up as the wind began increasing from the ESE. Sets were still very solid, and the makeable sections along the Dee Why beach were mostly lefts and few and far between. The point was densely populated and the lulls between the bomb sets were long. Quality was similar to the beach in that most waves were sectioning. So, yeah, there are definitely solid waves, but between the surface conditions and the crowds, I’m not calling it all time. Oh, and the tide was really high.

Tomorrow should see a return to more usual 8ish second period metre-ish east wind swell with some residual south energy in the mix plus light northerly breezes for the dawn patrol gradually grading to 15-20 kt NE wind by lunch time. Tuesday could be into the marginal size range but with nice weather. Beyond that, the back half of the work week currently looks like being showery and marginal to tiny.

Have a great Sunday!

 

Weather Situation

A coastal trough lingers about the north coast while a high-pressure system in the southern Tasman Sea will maintain a fresh east to southeasterly airstream along the coast. Winds will become northeasterly early new week as the coastal trough weakens and the high pressure system tracks further east towards New Zealand while extending a ridge over eastern New South Wales, then a new cold front and its associated trough looks set to bring a southerly wind change along the southern and central parts of the coast during the midweek next week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Surf conditions in the early morning may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Monday 12 February

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then tending east to northeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 13 February

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.