Posts in Dee Why

Swell hasn’t yet arrive at Dee Why

Posted on July 8th, 2018 in At large, Big Picture, Dee Why, Surf Reports.

Flat at Dee Why Point

A ripple down the beach

 

According to the charts, at Dee Why, by now it’s supposed to be 2.3m at 11s with 18kn of wind. but it’s windless and there’s no sign yet of the impending swell. Small waves just folding over. Quite a bunch of people down at Long Reef, but in the 10 minutes I stood there looking up the beach, I didn’t see anyone catch anything. Not a soul in the water at Dee Why. Time will tell, I guess. I took a couple of photos, and I’l try to figure out how to load them.


Clear skies and tiny waves

Posted on June 29th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Chilly offshore under mostly clear skies as Friday kicked off. Down at the beach, conditions are distinctly smaller again this morning. There were waist high peelers at Kiddies, but it was just too small for the point to break (at least while I watched). At 0600 the MHL buoy was showing 1.3 metres of 10-second SSE (160°) swell, so the waist high stuff along the beach was in line with those numbers. I wouldn’t be surprised if it was a touch bigger up toward the Longy end.
Tide hits a 1.35 m high at 0900 and ebbs to the low at 1430.
As for the outlook, may I direct you to the The Goat’s weekly meditation upon Sydney’s surf prospects. FWIW, the long range models are pointing to a potentially significant swell event next weekend…
Here’s hoping on your behalf!
Have a top old Friday everyone and keep on smilin’!

Sets struggling to make it into the surfable range at 0720

Little waves along the beach

Not huge, but catchable

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is slowly moving east as a low pressure trough clears New South Wales and moves over the western Tasman Sea. Winds along New South Wales waters will tend west to northwesterly behind the trough, before turning west to southwesterly during the weekend as a cold front clips the far south, and another ridge extends across the state.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly in the early afternoon and increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 30 June
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 1 July
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southwesterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Gloomy start to Thursday but little waves

Posted on June 28th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell has dropped overnight and this morning at first light Dee Why was seeing very occasional sets into the chest range, but mostly it was smaller than that. The MHL data from 0500 showed 1.5 metres of 11-12 sec energy from the SSE (155°), but looking at it, I reckon it’s probably a bit smaller now. Tide will reach a 1.35 m high at 0820 and will be back to a 0.6 m low at 1355. Wind was light from the WNW at report time.
As always, I’m looking forward to seeing the Goat’s forecast later today. From what I’m seeing, there’s not much of interest on the charts over the near term. It’s academic where I’m personally concerned because from Sunday I’m into postcard mode again for the month of July. I’ll try to bob up with the odd over-the-horizon thoughts as wi-fi and schedule permit. And of course there’ll be pictures of this and that too. Needless to say, The Goat will be posting his predictions and possibly a few other morsels along the way.
Have a great Thursday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea, is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. From late today, winds will turn west to northwesterly as a trough moves over the western Tasman Sea and the high towards New Zealand. Behind this winds will tend west to southwesterly as another ridge extends across the state during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 29 June
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 30 June
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Wednesday waves

Posted on June 27th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Have to say that I didn’t expect it to look as promising as it did when I climbed aloft for the first observation of the day a little before 0800. The point and the beach were both seeing sets into the overhead range. It looked clean and consistent under the showery skies.
To put some numbers on it, at 0600 the MHL buoy was showing 1.8 metres of 12-second SSE (152°). Tide was right on the 0742 1.35 m high and is now dropping back to a 0.6 m low at 1320. Wind was around 10 kts from the west. Beachwatch says water is clean everywhere and the ocean temperature is still on 19C (about 2 degrees warmer than today’s predicted high).
Wind is expected to come around to the NE as the day goes along, so if the point is of interest, it’s a case of the earlier the better.
Outlook is for the swell to fade gradually over the next 48 hours and by this weekend it could be very small to flat most places.
Have a top old Wednesday everyone and stay happy!

No Mans lines at 0750

Clouds and the City

Waves at the point and the beach

Very nice looking set rolls in at 0755

No Mans lines

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea, is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. From late tomorrow, winds will turn west to northwesterly as a trough moves over the western Tasman Sea and the high towards New Zealand. Behind this, on Saturday winds will tend south to southwesterly as another ridge extends across the state.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Thursday 28 June
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore at night.
Friday 29 June
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Monday morning waves

Posted on June 25th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A hardy crew amongst them at the point and along the beach by 0730 this morning. Sunny skies and a chilly 8-9 kt WNW wind were creating an attractive setting for the 2 metre 9-10 sec SSE (165°) swell. It looked a bit inconsistent and the average wave face on sets was around the waist to chest high range at the point, but from where people were sitting, there must be a few bigger ones. The beach seemed to be about the same size as the point, maybe a touch bigger as you head north, but as we head toward low tide at noon I’d expect the shutdown to makeable ratio will go the wrong way.
The forecast calls for the swell to fade across the day and tomorrow should be a little smaller – but hopefully not flat. The dropping trend could see us back to flat or near enough by the end of the week.
Speaking of next week, I’ll be back in postcard mode for July as I travel through some non-surf corners of the world. As usual I’ll try to take advantage of the time zones to post early summaries of the prospects for Sydney, but it’ll be sporadic I’m guessing.
Have yourself a great Monday everyone!

Nice looking shutdown at Dee Why 0730

Waist high sets for the most part

The occasional bigger one

Weather Situation

A south to southwesterly flow over the waters will tend southeast to northeasterly during Tuesday as a high pressure system moves over the southwestern Tasman Sea extending a ridge to the northwest.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 26 June

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming easterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 27 June

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny, clean, small but still surfable

Posted on June 24th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As expected, the swell continued its slow fade overnight and this morning sees only about a metre of 9-10 sec period  SSE (152°) waves. At 0745 the wind was coming from the west at 9 to 12 kts and skies were mostly clear. There were a few people in the water along the beach at Dee Why but there just isn’t enough in the swell to get the point going. Size looked to be in the waist to occasionally chest range. Waves were breaking pretty close to the beach on the dropping tide.

From what I’ve seen over the last few days, lower tides are mostly seeing shutdown conditions, but as we get back to high tide some interesting peaks in close to shore start to work. Tide’s low at 1120 today and will be back to a 1.7 m high just after dark at 1755.

Yesterday evening Eden buoy went hard south and began to see swell in the 1.8 metre range but only about 9 seconds apart. The Bureau tells us to expect the wind to swing south and be 15-20 kts later, so I expect that swell to get here at around the same time.

Tomorrow should see more swell from the south with decaying southerly wind.  Could be interesting…. surf of one sort or another seems likely through to midweek but after that… not so red hot looking on the models right now.

Have a top old Sunday everyone!

 

Another fun little wave

Not enough energy for the point to light up

Shoulda gone the left

Breaking just off the beach 

 

Weather Situation

A south to southwesterly flow over the waters will tend southeast to northeasterly during Tuesday as a high pressure system moves over the southwestern Tasman Sea extending a ridge to the northwest.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Monday 25 June

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 26 June

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Looking good Dee Why

Posted on June 22nd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies at last and as foretold, we still have swell this morning. The point looks to be in the head plus range on sets and it’s a similar size up the beach. Surface conditions were clean and wind was lightly offshore. The MHL buoy was detecting 1.7 metres of 9.5 sec SSE (162°) as of 0600. The good news is that it should stick around at about that intensity all day. Tide is on the way to a 0.5 low at 0950. It’ll be back to a 1.6m high at 1615.
I sure hope the more optimistic models have it right about the front half of next week just quietly…
Have a great Friday one and get out there if you can!

Lots of folks on it this morning at the point

Up the beach it’s all happening

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge over New South Wales will remain near stationary for the coming days, directing light to moderate southeast to southwesterly winds along the coast. On Saturday a front will slip to the south, freshening southwesterly winds along the southern half of the coast later on Saturday and Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 23 June

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 24 June

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Smaller but surfable

Posted on June 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Gloomy grey skies and the odd shower as Thursday got underway along the beaches. Swell energy levels have cogged down significantly since yesterday, but conditions are generally much cleaner too. People at the point and along the beach were getting waist to maybe shoulder high set waves when I checked for the first time at 0745.
At report writing time the wind was 6-7 kts from the WSW. Tide was dropping to a 0.47 m low at 0900. The 1.5 m high happens at 1520. Beachwatch ways the water should be much better today.
MHL’s Sydney buoy was showing 2.3 metres of 10-sec SSE (156°) swell. Beachwatch says water temp is 19C.
Outlook you ask? Well the Goat’s your man!
Go well with your day and keep on smilin’!

Set at Non Mans 0745

Set at Kiddies

Set at the point 0745

Up and riding

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea with a ridge to the north is directing southwest to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly about 10 knots in the afternoon then east to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Friday 22 June

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 23 June

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning west to southwesterly below 10 knots during the morning then becoming south to southwesterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Rough and messy morning

Posted on June 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

15-20 kts of SSE wind ripping it to shreds this morning at Dee Why. As the pictures show, conditions are far from flat, but there’s definitely some swell. The MHL buoy was seeing 3.7 m of 10-second SSE (156°) swell under almost as much chop. The at times heavy rain last night resulted in Sydney water notifying Surfrider Foundation that partially treated discharge from Warriewood STP occured at 1945 yesterday evening and that flows were receiving wet water treatment. Beachwatch has hoisted the Pollution-likely warning for most of Sydney beaches. Given the woeful surf quality along with the prospect of encountering unsavoury microbes, makes it an easy day to advise taking a pass.

Tomorrow the Bureau tells us the wind will be S-SE again as the swell starts to fade back. Friday morning looks a more hopeful prospect as the wind decreases in intensity (but stays out of the easterly quarters). And it looks from the models as though surfable conditions should prevail through Sunday.

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Typical wave at 0700

Bomb set fills in about 0715

Not a pretty picture up the beach

Weather Situation

A low pressure system near New Zealand with a trough to the northwest is slowly moving east and weakening and a high pressure system is moving towards Tasmania. As the high pressure system becomes the dominant feature over the next few days, winds over the waters will gradually ease.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 metres, tending southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Thursday 21 June

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 22 June

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Blowy old Monday

Posted on June 18th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
20-25 kts of WSW wind meant surface conditions were pretty clean at Dee Why. Unfortunately the swell is
only 7 seconds apart, so although it’s 2 metres or so out at sea and coming from the south, the wind is holding it offshore. Eden buoy was picking up 3 metres of dead south swell this morning and the Bureau tells us we can expect the energy to get here by this evening. The wind is going to belt along at 30-40 kts from the w to sw, and there’s a high likelihood of rain, but given the forecast, I reckon there could be some surfable stuff in the protected corners soon. I’ll keep an eye on it and if possible will update.
Tide was low at 0610 and will be back to a 1.45 m high at 1220.
Outlook is for the wind to be straight south by tomorrow and to stay that way through to Thursday. The models have the swell peaking tonight and then gradually decreasing across the coming week. The good news – apart from the wind – is that waves should stay in the surfable range into the weekend.
Have yourself a good Monday everyone!

Clean in the south corners, but not much energy

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system in the southern Tasman Sea will slowly move east over the coming days. A south to southwesterly change will move up the coast from the south and strengthen on Monday. By the middle of the week, winds are expected to ease as the low moves closer to New Zealand. A high centred south of the Bight will move to the southern Tasman Sea on Tuesday and persist for the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 30 to 35 knots tending south to southwesterly 30 to 40 knots early in the morning.
Seas
3 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times offshore. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 19 June
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots early in the morning.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 20 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


 

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