Posts in Dee Why

Sunny skies

Posted on October 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A change from the recent rainy conditions as this morning sees sunny conditions with a light westerly breeze. Sadly the swell has dialled back at Dee Why. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 m from the ESE (127°) at 10 seconds. There might be a little more energy showing at better exposed stretches but where Dee Why’s concerned it’s too small for the poiint and the beachy wasn’t looking too populated either. Tide hits a 1.7 m high at 0910 and then heads back to low at 1515.

Weather should start to cloud up later and there’s a 20% chance of rain later. The showers return tomorrow along with the southerlies. And the swell should start to come back up during the morning. Expectations for a major south swell event have changed pretty dramatically downward from predictions just a day or two ago. The latest projections are calling for a couple of metres from the south in the 9-10 second range from Thursday into next week. It looks as though wind will be steadily onshore during the period in question – unfortunately.

Ah well, at least there’s the hope of some scrappy stuff for the extra keen.

 

Fading but still little lines coming in

 

Not quite big enough to make the point work at 0745

Weather Situation

A weak low pressure system off the Illawarra coast will gradually move southeast away from New South Wales today. At the same time, a strong high pressure system over the Bight is expected to push a ridge along the south coast later today, then along the north coast tomorrow. As a result, winds will shift south to southeasterly along whole coast over the next day or two. Winds are forecast to tend east to southeasterly on Thursday and Friday as the high drifts from the Bight to the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly below 10 knots, tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon the shift south to southeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 10 October

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 11 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Clean looking early with more showers on tap

Posted on October 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

12-15 kts of SW wind at 0800 made for clean looking surface conditions at Dee Why. Another area of showers was sweeping in from the south as I grabbed the pictures. As of 0500 the 2 metre swell was coming from the SSE (148-152°) at 7 seconds apart.

The call is for the swell to drop toward the middle part of the day, when the wind is predicted to swing to the SE. From the shape of the swell prediction models, we can expect the current waist to chest size to be more in the knee to waist high range tomorrow and Wednesday.

That big south pulse for Thursday to Sunday is still showing on the models. Unfortunately they’re also continuing to predict heaps of south wind while the swell is peaking at close to 3 m between late Weds and Friday. With luck the surf won’t fade completely once the wind becomes less annoying around Sunday.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Smooth at Dee Why and little sets coming in

 

Still a hint up the beach at 0800

Weather Situation

A near-stationary trough lies across the north coast and extends southward offshore, with a low pressure circulation off the central coast. This has recently generated vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while southwest to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The low is is expected to affect central coastal areas during today while gradually weakening. Winds will tend back to the north ahead of a cold front which is expected to move along the south coast on Tuesday and reach the north coast on Wednesday, bringing a vigorous southerly change.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending northeast to southeasterly in the middle of the day then tending southeast to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Tuesday 9 October

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots in the morning then shifting south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Wednesday 10 October

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Sunday morning and waves

Posted on October 7th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunday morning sees mostly cloudy skies with regular light showers, a chilly SW wind and clean chest plus sets at Dee Why point and just up the beach toward No Mans. Around at Curly there were some weak and occasional sets into the same range at the south end. But the rest of the beach was oddly non-descript from a surf perspective. Where Dee Why was Sunday crowded, Curly was only lightly populated. Despite 16mm of rain in the last 24 hours, Beachwatch says water is fine for surfing at Dee Why (but not so good at some other locations). It’s about 19C too.

Tide was high at 0740 and is currently headed to low at 1330. The MHL buoy data was offline when I checked, but from what I saw, swell conditions match the Bureau’s forecast (see below). They’re predicting it to go more SE and to even come up a little more later. Plus the models show the wind staying SW.

Wind looks like being okay again tomorrow morning, but the swell models show the period getting shorter and wave heights fading. Tuesday looks less interesting still and then on Wednesday the models show a return to southerly conditions by afternoon. Swell should push up again, but quality has a questionmark over it thanks to short periods. Thursday could see the period improve and the south wind moderate slightly. At the same time swell heights are looking to push past the 3 metre mark. So, maybe some south corner action…

Have a great Sunday one and all!

 

Nup.

 

Oddly weak and fat south Curly as of 0945

 

Fun at the point 0935

 

A bit slow looking but definitely rideable just up from DYSLSC

Weather Situation

A near-stationary trough lies across the north coast and extends southward offshore, with a low pressure circulation off the central coast. This is generating vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while southwest to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The low is is expected to affect central coastal areas through to Monday before weakening. Winds will tend back to the north ahead of a cold front which is expected to move along the south coast on Tuesday and to reach the Hunter coast in the evening, bringing a vigorous southerly change.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres around midday, then tending south to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 8 October

Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southeasterly below 0.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Tuesday 9 October

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending west to southwesterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Raining lightly early

Posted on October 4th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The rain was falling lightly but steadily when I climbed aloft for a look at the conditions. As the picture shows, it was very small at Dee Why as of 0720. Wind was south at 8-9 kts and the latest MHL data from 0600 showed 1.4 metres from 158° (SSE) at an eye-popping 16.7 seconds. Given that period, the lulls between sets will likely be long ones, so take the picture with a grain of salt. There could be bigger waves every now and then.

Tide is low at 0925 and then back to a 1.6 m high just before 1600.

The rainy conditions are forecast to continue through Saturday and the wind should be in the 20-30 kt range from the SE through the period. The models show wind staying southerly until Monday night. Against that backdrop, the swell is expected to peak into the 2.5 metre range tomorrow and to be close to that size Saturday as well.

Looking ahead to next week, most of the models are showing swell filling in again from Wednesday afternoon, but at the same time the wind outlook is for more SE wind. Sigh.

Have a happy and productive Thursday everyone!

Small to tiny looking at 0720

Weather Situation

A trough that brought a southerly change to the south coast yesterday has stalled about the Hunter coast. A low pressure circulation is expected to develop within the trough today and then strengthen overnight, bringing vigorous south to southeasterly winds to central parts of the coast. The trough and low is forecast to gradually move northward during Friday, pushing the southerly change along the north coast. This system is expected to weaken on the weekend as a high pressure system over the southern Tasman extend a ridge northward along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore later in the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 5 October

Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 6 October

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Mild morning, tiny bumps

Posted on October 3rd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Just the pics for now…

More of a hint of a line yesterday

 

Slightly more activity than yesterday

Weather Situation

A trough of low pressure is forecast to move through western and southeastern New South Wales today, bringing a southerly change to the south coast later. A low is expected to develop off the central part of the New South Wales coast tomorrow before moving northeast on Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 4 October

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 5 October

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Beautiful morning but still tiny

Posted on October 2nd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Blue skies and just a hint of breeze from the NW as of 0800. But, as the pictures indicate, there’s still no real swell energy to speak of at Dee Why. At 0600 the MHL buoy was showing a metre of 12-second stuff from 158°. Beachwatch is reporting 19C water temps and we’re currently heading toward a 1.57 m high tide at 1330. We should see a high of 23C as it stays sunny all day.

The micro conditions are set to continue through to around Thursday evening when southerly conditions should take over for Friday and Saturday. There may possibly be something in the protected corners, but at this stage the models are predicting periods under 10 seconds. With luck we’ll get a reasonable wind and swell combo Sunday morning with the potential for chest high sets at magnets.

Have a great day everyone!

 

Training on the lake?

 

Nothing much at No Mans

 

A few hopefuls on the beach, no one at the point 0740

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the north coast of New South Wales. A trough over the Bight looks set to move through much of the state during the week bringing a southerly change to the southern half of the coast late Wednesday or Thursday. A low is expected to develop in the trough on Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 3 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 4 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Beautiful morning but waves not so much

Posted on October 1st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Corker of a day out there, but no hint of a wave that I can see. Modelling continues to offer only slight hope for any improvement – and only then from about mid-week. As always I hope to be found unduly pessimistic about the prospects. But I gotta call it as I see it too. So keep on smilin’, our waves will return!

 

The point and Kiddies unoccupied at 0830

 

Perfect conditions but for one crucial thing

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over southeast Australia is directing southeast to northeasterly winds onto the New South Wales coast today. This high is drifting slowly east, and will move over the Tasman Sea by today, where it should remain until mid-week. The next trough and southerly change looks set to affect the coast during the second half of the week, although its movement is currently quite uncertain.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

Tuesday 2 October

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 3 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Windblown and junky

Posted on September 30th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Late start for your correspondent, so by the time I got to the beach at 1000, things were looking half-past ordinary. The wind had settled to the south (it’ll go SE later). Although it was 1.7 m from 165°, the windswell period was a shade under the 8-second mark. So, weak and gutless and close together wind blown slop. Tide was about 90 minutes away from the 1.6 m high when I grabbed the pics.

Should be a partly cloudy Sunday for us with a high of 19C and only a small chance of a sprinkle. About the only good news is that Beachwatch says the water’s up to 20C.

Still looking like a very small week ahead. Right now the models are showing the wind being light in the mornings and onshore by midday. From Thursday afternoon we go back into vigorous south wind conditions that could last right through into next week – when they swing more, wait for it, SE. Groan.

Looks like yours truly will be clocking up the k’s on the pushy….

Have a fine Sunday everyone!

Kiddies set at 1000

 

No Mans dribble

 

Burbling slop at Longy

 

Tearing it up at Longy

Weather Situation

A pressure system over Victoria extends a ridge up the New South Wales coast as a low pressure trough over the Tasman Sea moves eastwards, bringing south to southeast winds to the Waters today. The high is drifting slowly east, and should be over the Tasman Sea by Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of a shower.

Monday 1 October

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 2 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Should be a little something somewhere

Posted on September 28th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell’s faded away pretty dramatically this morning compared to 24 hours ago. Wind was out of the north at 9-10 kts under sunny skies. As of 0600 the MHL buoy off Sydney was showing about 12 seconds of 1.4 metre SSE (158-164°) swell. As the pictures show, this meant the point was too small to have any takers and up toward No Mans it was maybe a touch bigger but again, with no one in. My guess is that it might be a touch bigger up toward Longy (knee to waist plus?).  The Bureau says it’s likely to fade across the day.

Tide hits a 1.62 m high at 1010 and is back to a lowish 0.36 m at 1620. Water’s around the 18C mark.

Not too exciting on the outlook. Tomorrow is going to be cloudy and southerly but there doesn’t seem to be much hope for much, if any, improvement to the energy levels. The models are showing very short periods and heaps of wind unfortunately.

As of this morning the surf prospects for next week are still shaping to be very small to flat until (maybe) late in the weekend. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing big seas south of the content all week, but they don’t show the energy ’rounding the corner, so to speak, until maybe next weekend. Maybe.

So on that cautiously hopeful note, may I wish you and yours a fine Friday!

Still the odd set in the mix at 0730

 

Much smaller than yesterday and no takers at 0730

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will promote fresh northerly winds along most of the coast ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast today, before moving up the north coast on Saturday. On Sunday, a new high pressure system is expected to move across from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.

Saturday 29 September

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the late morning and afternoon.

Sunday 30 September

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to southeasterly about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny skies and nice lines

Posted on September 27th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunny with light NW wind and clean looking lines at Dee Why this morning. Sets looked to be into the shoulder high range at both the point and along the beach. At 0600 the 2 metre swell was coming from 156-160° at 11 seconds apart.

Wind is set to come around to the NE by midday, so the clean conditions at Dee Why won’t last long. Tide is coming into a 1.6 m high at 0930 and will be back out to the 0.35 m low at 1535. Water is 18C according to Beachwatch.

From the look of the forecasts, this morning is really it for the south ends. As the NEr kicks in, the models show the swell beginning to tail off. The very long periods have yet to materialise in the MHL data and tomorrow the predictions are that we’ll be back to small to marginal conditions tomorrow. And beyond that, the weekend and next week are shaping to be rather ho-hum.

Get in if you can and have a top old Thursday!

Distinct line at No Mans

 

Set arrives at the point

 

Set waves for the crew at 0710

Weather Situation

Northerly winds will increase today with a high pressure system drifting into the Tasman Sea and a front approaching the far west of the state. This front will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Friday, before continuing to the north on Saturday. Behind this, a new high is expected to move across from the west on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 28 September

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 29 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

 

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