Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 7th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Revised forecast issued Friday 8 November

How inconvenient Mother Nature can be… I guess it’s her prerogative to change her mind…but it is inconvenient…. sigh…

She still hasn’t decided for sure, and conditions will probably vary throughout each day, but let’s change the Weekend Outlook to>>>

Saturday: starting to come up through the day at places that get dead South swell… hard to say how much will get in to beaches as there’s a lot of SW in it, so if it gets in let’s call it somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..

Sunday: down at first then let’s say ditto as above

Monday: could be more consistent in the 1-2 metre range dead South

And we’ll leave the rest as is…

Darned inconvenient of her at times, (some of us are busy), but you can’t tell her what to do … and ain’t Nature grand in all her glory 🙂

TG

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Warm today, but The Bureau expects the temperature over the week ahead to be bouncing up and down like a yo yo.

Nothing too exciting on the wave front, but if you’re lucky and have a look around there might be something from time to time.

Friday: 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots

Monday: 1 metre or so dead South

Tuesday: 1 metre or less North East

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: 1 ish metres or less at dead South places.

Enjoy…

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 7 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 7 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is coolish but warmer than the 17 some were reporting it to be… the Sydney buoy is/was offline for a bit…  I’d say around 18-19, as measured by body immersion..

image

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday
Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 8 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 30
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending northwest to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Sydney 18 30
Sunny. Penrith 15 31
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 15 30
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 16 28
Sunny. Richmond 14 30
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 15 29
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 12 29
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Bondi 19 30

Saturday 9 November

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 10 November

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 11 November

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 12 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 32
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 13 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 14 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 31st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 October 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Very small today, but at the right tide with the right board it’s amazing at times to watch what young/fit agile people can make of what little is available and have fun, which is after all the object of surfing.

Very smokey hazy and foggy early, then just the smoke haze, now seems to have mostly cleared away. But the Bureau expects it to be back tomorrow, then after a fresh Noreaster which should clear the smoke on Sat and Sun morning the forecast is, hey hey, for rain at times.. . Hope some falls on the fires up the coast.

The surf outlook is for Noreasters to push in a little windswell for the weekend, then a short Southeasterly period, then back to Noreatsers… Spring/Summerlike.

Friday: a tiny bit more than today, still around 1ish metres from the North East… more noticeable on the lower tides with highs being so high and full

Saturday: up more form stronger Noreast wind, into the 1-2 metre range toward the more southern parts of beaches

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: down a bit in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or less South East

Thursday: ditto North East

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 31 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 31 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19, 20

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of smoke haze. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 1 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog, mainly in the west. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Smoke haze. Sydney 17 26
Smoke haze. Penrith 15 33
Smoke haze. Liverpool 15 31
Smoke haze. Terrey Hills 16 26
Smoke haze. Richmond 14 32
Smoke haze. Parramatta 15 30
Smoke haze. Campbelltown 13 31
Becoming windy. Bondi 18 25

 

Saturday 2 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Becoming windy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 3 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Rain at times.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. High (70%) chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 4 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 5 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 21
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 6 November

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 7 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 24th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 October 2019

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Decidedly small today, and the outlook for the week ahead is for no significant change.

But that doesn’t necessarily mean it won’t be okay for some people…. mal riders might be able to find a small wave from time to time, and it’s perfect for learners or for people who just want to sit out there in Nature and have a chat with friends…

Friday: similar to today, say around 1 metre or less Noreastish

Saturday: dittoish, or could be up ever so little bit slightly from wind

Sunday: not much, from dead South

Monday: around 1 metre at dead South palces

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: ditto from North East

Enjoy

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 24 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 24 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is slowly improving.. around 20 or so.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the west. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the west. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 25 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 36
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 18 36
Mostly sunny. Penrith 16 37
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 15 36
Sunny. Terrey Hills 17 35
Mostly sunny. Richmond 15 36
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 16 35
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 12 36
Sunny. Bondi 19 33

Saturday 26 October

Summary
Min 22
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 27 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 28 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 29 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 31 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 17th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 October 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

At last, a touch of Summerish weather, warm, sunny, bit windy ! but not humid… maybe the waves could be better, but better than nothing.

The outlook is as follows… just a quickie for you…

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at places that are open to dead South swell, then easing back

Saturday: around 1ish metres from dead South

Sunday: ditto

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: dittoish and Eastish

Could be ideal, or could be ordinary, depending on lots of wind variations and the tides.

How’s that for precision.

It’s the ocean, it’s nature, it doesn’t work by precision.  Just embrace the vibe~~~~~~~~~~

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 17 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 17 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19… improving, but could do better

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 18 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 12 23
Sunny. Penrith 10 28
Sunny. Liverpool 10 27
Sunny. Terrey Hills 11 22
Sunny. Richmond 9 27
Sunny. Parramatta 10 26
Sunny. Campbelltown 9 27
Sunny. Bondi 13 21

Saturday 19 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming westerly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 20 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 21 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 24 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 10th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 October 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well today was very large and out of control with fierce Southerly wind pushing along at places open to the South. Tthe ocean was pretty much unpopulated except for a couple of thrill seekers who like wind, cool water and large uncrowded waves that were quite sketchy.  Most people sensibly choose less exposed activities.

The weekend’s outlook is for the surf to get bigger and turn more SE. Lighter winds forecast might make the waves more attractive looking but will be strictly for the experienced at the large wave locations.  If that’s not you, then stay outta the water. Know your own limitations.

Friday: easing back from today to around 2ish, 2+ metres South East , with sets

Saturday: looking like it could be around 3-4 metres, plus, South East, with sets

Sunday: around 2-3 metres South East with sets

Monday: easing back to around 2ish metres, 1-2 metres, with sets

Tuesday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday:: around 1 metre East

Me, I’m over this cold wind, cold water October weather, thanks. Bring on Summer.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 10 06:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 10 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a unwelcome 18-19.. alright for those with no sensitivities

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely along the coast later tonight. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 11 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 18
Showers at times.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Showers at times. Sydney 13 18
Showers at times. Penrith 10 19
Showers at times. Liverpool 10 18
Showers at times. Terrey Hills 11 16
Showers at times. Richmond 9 19
Showers at times. Parramatta 10 18
Showers at times. Campbelltown 9 18
Showers at times. Bondi 13 16

Saturday 12 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 13 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 14 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 15 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 16 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 17 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 3rd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 3 October 2019

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Beaut day today and enough movement in the water to keep the young kids on school hols happy.

Using the cutting edge technology available to him and his gut feel, TG can confidently say to you… the outlook for the week ahead is for…

Variable weather ^V.. Variable winds>><<.. Variable waves ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Just try and keep up, OK?

Friday: you can expect some small Noreast windswell at first, say around 1 metre or so, then a southerly change will bring wind and chop

Saturday: maybe around 1 metre at places open to dead South

Sunday: lowish end of the 1-2 metre range South East, then turning North East

Monday: around 1 metre North East

Tuesday: around 1 metre or so North East before it turns South

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range, probably lowish end, at dead South places’ nothing much elsewhere

Thursday: sort of ditto.

I think that’s enough to keep you going for the moment…

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  3 07:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  3 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18, 19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 4 October
Summary
Min 16
Max 33
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Sunny day. Slight (30%) chance of a shower at night. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Sydney 16 33
Sunny. Afternoon cool change. Penrith 14 34
Sunny. Liverpool 13 33
Sunny. Terrey Hills 15 31
Sunny. Afternoon cool change. Richmond 13 34
Sunny. Parramatta 14 33
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 11 33
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Bondi 17 33

Saturday 5 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 20
Morning showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers in the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 6 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 7 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the afternoon.

Tuesday 8 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 9 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 10 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 26th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf Forecast issued Thursday 26 September 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There were waves late today, around 2ish metres on the sets from the South East..

Good for those that like dull overcast afternoons with a cool wind, choppy sea surface, water that’s not warm enough to entice me… but are keen to get wet, or just don’t know any better yet, or just want to let off steam, use up some energy, etc…Well, Good luck to them.

The surf outlook for the start of the school hols, and the start of the Flags going up, is for moderate waves of some sorts all week at places open to the South… and not very much happening at other places.

Friday: easing back from today, say 1-1+ South East

Saturday: not much happening at first but might start to come up a bit later at places open to the South

Sunday: then ease back to somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Monday: around 1ish metres at spots that get anything from dead South

Tuesday: up a little in the 1-2 metre range dead South

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range dead South

Thursday: and a ditto.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 26 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

 

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 26 07:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18

The ocean is hot up north towards the equator, and cold down south towards Antarctica, and not warm enough for me in the middle.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 27 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Areas of morning fog, then mostly sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 13 25
Morning fog. Penrith 9 28
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 10 27
Sunny. Terrey Hills 12 24
Morning fog. Richmond 8 28
Sunny. Parramatta 10 27
Morning fog. Campbelltown 9 27
Sunny. Bondi 13 23

Saturday 28 September

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 29 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then turning southerly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 30 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 1 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 3 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

TG’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 September 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Still some size there today, though a bit ordinary in places.  Size is easing back today and should be fun size tomorrow morning, then build a little through the day with the Noreaster behind it. Lots of runoff in the ocean from the rains.  Could be a few more showers from time to time over the next few days ~~~~~~

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East at first, then building a little through the day with the wind pushing it along

Saturday: around 2 metres or so from the East North East

Sunday: 1-2 metre range North East

Monday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range North East

Tuesday: similar size from the East South East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Thursday: less than 1 metre dead South

TG is back on deck!

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 19 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 19 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18ish

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 20 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning, chiefly in the west. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h near the coast in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 15 23
Partly cloudy. Penrith 13 27
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 13 25
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 14 21
Partly cloudy. Richmond 11 26
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 12 24
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 12 24
Partly cloudy. Bondi 16 21

Saturday 21 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon or evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 22 September

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 23 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 24 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 25 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 26 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 29th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Surfing ??!! You’re joking!!  It’s freezing. the air is cold the water’s cold. Even the schoolkids and backpackers weren’t out today. It’ll be up at places open to dead South tomorrow but with wind too so do you really care?? Take a short break till it warms up.

Friday:  say a messy 2-3 metres or more at dead South spots

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East with S/SE wind

Sunday: 1-2 metre range East

Monday: 1-2 metres East and starting to get a few sets

Tuesday: 1-2 metres South East, coming up briefly from dead South

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range dead South easing back

Thursday: ditto easing back more, relaxing into a 28 degree day! But with an occasional set from South East to wake you up.

Have fun

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 29 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 29 07:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.069,150.815,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is 17-18

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 30 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 15
Rain.
Possible rainfall: 20 to 60 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Heavy falls possible at times in the east. Winds south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Rain. Sydney 11 15
Rain. Penrith 8 15
Rain. Liverpool 8 15
Rain. Terrey Hills 10 13
Rain. Richmond 7 14
Rain. Parramatta 9 15
Rain. Campbelltown 8 15
Rain. Bondi 12 14

Saturday 31 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 1 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Monday 2 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southwesterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Tuesday 3 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 4 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 5 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 22nd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Big waves today…

The offshore MHL buoy late today was showing 6 metres to off-the-scale-for-max-height (9+m), at 8-12 seconds. The S wind was blowing 50-60kph and the wind chill brought the temp down to 4 degrees.

The swell is from dead South (186 degrees – what’s dead South kids??), which means it’s “only” the side ripples that are coming onto Sydney beaches in sets.. But they are still large enough. I’d say 3-3+ metres on the sets…closing out across the bay in some big wave locations. At other places it might have looked ok for a challenge after school at first sight…

But kids.. Trust Uncle TG… Surf like this, in these conditions, is not to be messed around with.

If you’re caught out there on your own and an accident happens (and they do).. you are literally on your own.  Unlike the Big Wave contests you see on whatever you watch, there is no rescue service just hanging around waiting to go and get you if you get into trouble.

Think about it….

Anyhoo… Tomorrow should be bigger than today, then easing back gradually as the Low moves further away to NZ, with a few ups and downs till later in the week when it looks like coming up again…

Friday: let’s call it 4 metres, easing back to 3-4 metres at places that can get swell from dead South

Saturday: say around 2 metres on the sets at dead South spots

Sunday: around 1-1+ metres dead South at first then coming up briefly

Monday: then back down again in the 1-2 metre range South

Tuesday: around 1 metre or so South

Wednesday: let’s say Ditto

Thursday: looks like coming up again, around 2-3 metres at dead South places.

Stay safe.

TG

I’ll be going away for a little while but will try to post from time to time. Miss you already… 🙂

Up in the Air

The Low is moving away pretty quickly~~~~~~~~~~~~

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 22 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

How artistic is that brush stroke eh>>>

… “Mother Nature is a natural artist!” (c with circle, TG 2019…haha)

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 22 06:30:00 2019

Winds

Yes…but easing off and changing direction, again and again

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is starting to get chilly at around 17

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds southerly 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Friday 23 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 7 19
Sunny. Penrith 2 21
Sunny. Liverpool 2 20
Sunny. Terrey Hills 6 17
Sunny. Richmond 0 21
Sunny. Parramatta 3 19
Sunny. Campbelltown 0 20
Mostly sunny. Bondi 9 17

Saturday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 25 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 26 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 27 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 28 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 29 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.