Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on April 12th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 12 April 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There’s been a bit of hot air blowing our way from the inland of the Continent – Did you just say: ‘There must be a political convention on out there!’ … ‘I didn’t know they’d moved Canberra’ – Dear oh dear… Of course they haven’t moved it. The hot air is only temporarily coming from that direction.  Now, don’t you get me started.

The ocean has been agitated too… sometimes small, sometimes big..sometimes good, sometimes bad… It’ll probably be settling down soon into a bit more of a routine in the lead up to the school holidays.

Friday: down more from today, in the 1-2 metre range East South East, with some little sets

Saturday: around the low end of the 1-2 metre range North East and South East, still with an occasional pulse

Sunday: low end 1-2 metre range North East and South East

Monday: about 1 metre North East

Tuesday: about 1 metre at places that get dead South swell

Wednesday: up slightly in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: down to around 1 metre at dead South places.

Happy Birthday to Mark Morrisey

from TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Apr 12 06:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Apr 12 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216/waves?-34.881,151.216,7,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a balmy 23ish

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 13 April

Summary
Min 22
Max 35
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

 

Saturday 14 April

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Possible morning shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds northerly 20 to 30 km/h tending northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 15 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 16 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending westerly during the day.

Tuesday 17 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 18 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 19 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h later.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on April 5th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 5 April 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

  • Beautiful day.. blue sky .. sunshine.. birds twittering ..warm air… What more could you want???!!

Waves ???  Well there were pleasant waves at the right places, right tides if you were able…

I’m tired after being able to enjoy it all, and I want a little lie down now… perhaps to dream…

So I won’t take up any more of my time, and I’ll be brief…

Friday: size similar to today, around 1 metre or slightly more toward the middle of the 1-2 metre range East

Saturday: low to middle of 1-2 metre range East

Sunday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range East. Perfect conditions for the Newport to Avalon ocean swim and the Avalon Surf Swims…Don’t drive Round the Bends…Swim Round the Bends! Get your entries in here

http://www.oceanswims.com/swims/calendar/eventdetail/366/54/avalon-nsw-e.html

Monday: Middle of the 1-2 metre range East

Tuesday: coming up from the South East in the 1-2 metre range

Wednesday, Thursday: my eyes are getting droopy and the crystal ball looks foggy, but there could be a little something coming up from the East South East… let’s just wait a bit and see when things are clearer.

That’s enough for now.

TG

Up in the Sky

TC Iris looks like wetting FNQ but is not expected to come down south at this stage.  A run of Highs are in store for us…continuing the run of nice weather (nice if you don’t depend on rain falling).

MSLP Analysis for Thu Apr  5 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Apr  5 03:30:00 2018

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.942,150.872,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp

image

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Mostly sunny.Sydney27
Mostly sunny.Penrith31
Mostly sunny.Liverpool30
Mostly sunny.Terrey Hills26
Mostly sunny.Richmond30
Mostly sunny.Parramatta29
Sunny.Campbelltown30
Mostly sunny.Bondi25

Friday 6 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending southeasterly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Saturday 7 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 8 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting east to northeasterly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 9 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Tuesday 10 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.

Wednesday 11 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:20 pm EST Thursday.

 


TG’s Easter Surf Forecast

Posted on March 29th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 March 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

A chill out Easter weekend ahead for you :)..

Which may be just what you need.  Perhaps a little time for reflection too.  The change of season always seems to do that to me…remembering and being grateful for the good times and laughs, surfing and otherwise, at this time in years gone past.

Anyhoo I’ll keep it brief because you’ve got to get out there and buy those Easter eggs for the family…

Nice weather, small waves, warm water..nothing to get the heart pumping too much, but there should be waves for people who enjoy mals and SUPs at the right place, right tide.

Don’t expect too much and you won’t be disappointed 🙂

Friday: slightly bigger than today, up into the lower reaches of the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: down slightly ditto

Sunday: down more to around 1 metre or so North East

Monday: ditto East North East, then smaller from the South

Tuesday: up a little into the low end of the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South

Wednesday:about 1 metre East South East

Thursday: ditto but from dead South

Have a Happy Easter.

TG

PS Don’t forget>>>

Daylight saving will end at 3am on Sunday, 1 April 2018, when clocks go back one hour (NSW Government).

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 29 02:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 29 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.217,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Sunny.Sydney28
Sunny.Penrith33
Sunny.Liverpool31
Sunny.Terrey Hills27
Sunny.Richmond32
Sunny.Parramatta30
Mostly sunny.Campbelltown31
Sunny.Bondi25

 

Friday 30 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Sunny, cloud developing during the afternoon. The chance of fog in the outer west in the early morning. Slight (20%) chance of a late shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Saturday 31 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 1 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then turning south to southeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 2 April

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 3 April

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 4 April

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 22nd, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf Forecast issued Thursday 22 March 2018:
Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Messy again tomorrow. Then it should start to tidy up a bit from Saturday onwards, gradually going down through the week, but with waves for most of the time… And it looks like we’ll get some more patches of nicer, warmer weather too…
Friday: around 3 metres East South East and messy
Saturday: down to around 2 metres or in the upper part of the 1-2 metre range East South East (bigger up the coast) and going down as the Noreaster tidies it up and knocks it down
Sunday: down in the 1-2 metre range East North East
Monday: down more in the 1-2 metre range North East
Tuesday: down more in the 1-2 metre range East South East
Wednesday: ditto again South East
Thursday: low end of the 1-2 metre range South South East
Have a good one, or two.
TG

Up in the Air

http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDY00030.201803220000.png
http://www.bom.gov.au/gms/IDE00135.201803220430.jpg
Winds
https://www.windy.com/?-33.983,151.067,5,i:pressure
Down in the Sea
Water temp is a delightful 24
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDYOC141.+000.jpg
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau
http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 15th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

 

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 15 March 2018: Eight day outlook for Sydney:
Hmm….  hmmm.. not what you’d call straightforward.
Lots of things to consider, whirling around in the sky and the sea.
Ok how can I put this as something you’ll easily understand ???  OK..I know…
You know when you’re juggling three fresh eggs…??…
And suddenly someone throws you another one from left field??
Well, think of the surf outlook for the week ahead as just like that!!
TG is a master at this game…Ignoring the background noise, the advice of the crowd …He remains focussed on the main game, and just ploughs ahead, calling it as he sees it.
So what if an egg breaks along the way.
You’ve still got 3, 2, at worst none to kick that goal.
Are you still with me?? I’m not sure I am… haha
Anyhoo…here we go…
Friday: down from today but still in the 1-2 metre range with swells from NE and SE, and some smaller sets from NE
Saturday: in lower 1-2 metre range E,  NE and with some sets from NE…see the BoM warning
Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range NE with some sets..see the BoM warning
Monday: in the 1-2 metre range E/NE
Tuesday: down more in the 1-2 metre range NE
Wednesday: possibly coming up at dead South places…SW swell so let’s call it around 1 metre on the beach at those dead S swell places…while noting could be more . Noted?..Right??
Thursday: arrr let’s be devils and say….though it’s really too early to say…but let’s call it around 3 metres dead South for the heck of it!
Friday: down to around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range South East… like Luna Park… Just For Fun.
You have fun too!
TG.
Up in the Sky
Winds
Down in the Sea
Water temp is 24…the pretty red colour here…
Tides
Weather from the Bureau:

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 10th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast for Sydney issued 9 March 2018 from south of the Border using TG’s patented long range over the horizon binoculars…

There should be waves for Sydney but

The outlook looks like being determined in large part by what pesky TC Hola out in the Coral Sea does.
If he/she does what is currently expected, then
Saturday:in the 1-2 metre range East South East…could possibly be some solid sets methinks
Sunday: ditto all round but easing ever so slightly
Monday: ditto again… and Just BTW… from here on Qld should be copping it
Tuesday:up a little
Wednesday: similar
Thursday: down slightly but from more North East, bigger up Northern NSW
Friday: up from the North East and larger if TC Hola…etc etc.
Stay well have fun enjoy life and stay safe!
TG

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 1st, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 March 2018:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

I can’t resist starting with the Bureau’s summary of the:

Weather Situation
A vigorous southerly change has moved along the southern and central coast overnight, and is forecast to reach the far north coast by this evening. Following this change, a weak high pressure ridge will extend across New South Wales waters as a high pressure system slowly moves from the Bight to the Tasman Sea by the weekend. Winds will turn north to northeasterly during Saturday as this high moves over the Tasman Sea, ahead of another southerly change expected on the south coast on Sunday morning.

It certainly was “Vigorous” at our place when it came through in the very early nighttime hours, blowing things around the bedroom. I remember hearing this and noticing that it made my wife get up and close the window!

The waves were small to nothing first thing this morning, but came up later at places open to dead South, along with the wind, which made it very unattractive to hmm….everyone.

The outlook as you can see is for more chopping and changing of winds,  so don’t expect too much in the way of surf…

Friday: down from this arvo, around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, with wind, and very little elsewhere

Saturday: down more, say 1 metre or less South East

Sunday: ditto East South East/South

Monday: around 1 metre East North East, then starting to come up later from SE with the wind

Tuesday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range East South East/ South, possibly with some sets

Wednesday: down low end of the 1-2metre range South East

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: ditto

Enjoy!

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar  1 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar  1 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.167,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24.

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 2 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower near the coast in the morning and early afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly in the late morning and early afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 3 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 4 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 5 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 6 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 7 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 8 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 22nd, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How about that pop up surf today!?   Smaller yesterday than it’s been, and this morning… wave height was 1-1.3 metres SE, and then… by 6pm offshore it was clicking 3 -5.7 metres SE!

My neighbour said around 2 pm ‘it’s too big for you’… I ignored that and kept doing what I was doing because he says that when it’s ankle high.

So I got a surprise later to see swell pumping at several places … And yes, it was too big for me at many places! Realistically, fast overhead tubes are not for me, or for most people.

So what’s happening…

Waves all week… though of varying size, suitability and quality…You’ll just have to be agile…. (oh how I love that word)…. and work around how the following might suit you:

Friday: down from this arvo’s pop up surf, but still in the upper end of the 1-2 metre range with sets East South East

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range, but more benign East/ East North East, NE wind-affected later in the day

Sunday: 1-2 metre range East North East, then starting to come up form the S with a windy Southerly change

Monday: big early on at places that get dead south swell, with wind to match…say around 2-3 metres, gradually easing back

Tuesday: 1-2 metre range with sets around 2 metres or so, dead South places only

Wednesday:1-2 metre range with punchier sets, say 2, 2+ metres South East

Thursday: 1-2 metre range, with some solid sets around 2 metres East/ South East

See if you can plot yourself a course around those little numbers

Stay safe in the Surf. Have fun.

TG

 

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 22 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 22 08:30:00 2018

Wind

https://www.windyty.com/

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 24

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 23 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 24 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 25 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 26 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 27 February

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 28 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 1 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 15th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hey, you know those Warnings on labels that you never read?… And those Alerts on things you just ignore???

Well here’s TG’s upfront Alerting Warning

The Surf Forecast below, particularly for later in the week is what is likely to happen IF Severe Tropical Cyclone Gita out in the South Pacific BEST TRACKS where she is currently expected to (Gita herself isn’t expected to come near Oz). IF SHE DOESN’T, the Surf here could turn out smaller. The BoM says that Tropical Cyclones have a reputation for being unpredictable.

And another thing… Current weather forecasts suggest more chopping and changing SE/ NE onshore winds.

So I wouldn’t get too excited about the Outlook for Wave Quality if the Big Waves do come.

Stay cool and Go with the Flow…

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range East; watch for the sets in the upper end of the range

Saturday: ditto similar

Sunday: ditto and up a little on the sets

Monday: similar

Tuesday: up into the 3-4 metre range East South East and sets (What did I tell you??.. see above)

Wednesday: 2-3 metre range East South East and sets (ditto?)

Thursday: 1-2 metre range South East 

Apropos nothing in particular, or maybe as a homage to possibly Big(ger) Waves, here’s a little something to enrich your education and entertainment experience…Learn something new each day
Tick off all those you’ve been to! And yes… there is a “Big Wave”!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia%27s_big_things

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 15 06:30:00 2018

There’s Gita…off to the right

Colour Forecast map for next 4 days

Down in the Sea

Water temp’s about 24

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Oh, here’s some more Large Surf warnings for you…

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower at night. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 17 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning northeasterly in the late morning and afternoon.

Surf conditions in the evening may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 18 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 19 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Tuesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 24
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 21 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 22 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 8th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 8 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some more warmish days ahead… See, Summer hasn’t really gone away.  And that means more Summer wave conditions.

The Bureau expects the wind to be chopping and changing directions from day to day, so that won’t help bring swell.

But there should be small waves for the right equipment at the right tides in the week ahead.

There should also be a little uptick, briefly, on Sunday.

Friday: about 1 metre or so East

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: up, briefly, into the 1-2 metre range East, then South East later

Monday: eased back say 1-1+ South South East

Tuesday: about 1-1+ East South East

Wednesday:about 1 metre or so North East

Thursday: around 1-1+ metres South East

Have a good one!

TG

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb  8 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb  8 07:30:00 2018

 

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp when I was in earlier this week was beautiful…around 23.  The Noreaster has really been honking today, which has kept the coastal temperature to a pleasant level, but if it continues as expected over the next couple of days I wouldn’t be surprised if the water drops a degree or so before the next southerly change.

image

Weather from the Bureau:

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml


 

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