Posts in Surf Reports

Posted on June 25th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 June 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lovely sunny day today with lots of blue sky.

Cool days coming up then a little warmer… Could get some cool waves  from time to time if you’re lucky~~~~~~~

Friday: up from today…say into the 2-3 metre range South East, with some oomph at times but with S wind to chop it up .. swell could get into protected corners ok

Saturday: easing back into the upper end of the 1-2 metre range East South East, with sets at times

Sunday: easing back more into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South South East, but with some sets from the East

Monday: around 1 ish metres at places that get dead South swell

Tuesday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: same

Thursday:around 1 ish metres, more or less, South East

Have a good one and Stay Happy.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 25 06:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 25 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.066,150.816,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18, 19… not cold just makes the wind feel a bit cool after a while.

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 26 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 9 18
Mostly sunny. Penrith 5 18
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 6 18
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 7 16
Mostly sunny. Richmond 3 18
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 6 18
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 5 18
Mostly sunny. Bondi 11 17

Saturday 27 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 28 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight (20%) chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 29 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Tuesday 30 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 1 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 2 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

 


Curly and Dee Why

Posted on June 25th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

A bit bigger at Curly and Dee Why but in both cases the waist were long and the waves were kinda slow looking. For the most part riders had to bog along until it stood up just before shutting down in the shallows. Glorious morning though.

Curly bomb set
Finding a little energy in Curly shorey
Typical Dee Why set around 0930
Nice little wall for a couple of seconds right on the bank at Dee Why

Clean lines but small

Posted on June 25th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Tiny but cute knee to waist high mal waves at Queensie this morning.

Out at sea the swell was 1.3 metres from 150° at 8-9 seconds apart as of 0700. Beachwatch ways the water’s good most everywhere and still a balmy 19C. Tide was low at 0520 and will be back to a moderate 1.37 m high at 1125. Weather should stay sunny all day, winds will be light SW in the morning and then settle to the S in the afternoon as they pick up into the 15-20 kt range.
Outlook seems to be about where it’s been for the last few days, namely that there should be an uptick from the south from tomorrow. I await the Goat’s thoughts with interest…

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, while a high pressure system is approaching the state from the west. This pattern will maintain south to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters for the coming days. A weak cold front is forecast to briefly strengthen winds in the south on Friday as it moves away to the southeast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 26 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Saturday 27 June
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Wednesday morning micro at Dee Why

Posted on June 24th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The pictures tell the story. Not much of anything in the way of a bump at Dee Why this morning. Closer to flat than this time yesterday actually.

Out at sea it’s 1.2 metres at 8 seconds from the SE. So, there could be the odd knee to waist high sets at magnets every now and then. Wind was west 10-15 kts under sunny skies. Tide was low at 0435 and is back to high at 1035. Water is around 19C.

Looks like staying really tiny through tomorrow but then stuff should start happening on Friday as the consequence of the complex low system currently in the Tasman starts arriving on our shores. Keep your surf options open for Friday!

Ultra tiny at the point

Barely there bumps

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system currently lies over the Tasman Sea. This low will linger offshore for much of the week, maintaining south to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 25 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 26 June
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Forecast for the rest of Wednesday
SummaryMax 18Partly cloudy.Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mmChance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Thursday 25 June
SummaryMin 9Max 19Sunny.Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Sunny. Areas of fog in the west in the early morning. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 26 June
SummaryMin 9Max 18Mostly sunny.Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.


Sunny, cold and near flat at Dee Why this morning

Posted on June 23rd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Should be a mostly sunny day with a high of 17 in Sydney. Unfortunately there were no waves at the Dee Why end of the beach when I grabbed the pics this morning. And it seems likely to remain quiet for another couple of days on the surf front. So pursue your alternate exercise plans and get ahead on your obligations just in case the swell ramps into the fun range from around Thursday…
Have a good one and stay safe everyone.

Tiny lines at No Mans

SUP pilot poking around at the point

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system currently lies over the western Tasman Sea. This low will linger well offshore for much of the week, maintaining south to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Wednesday 24 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 25 June
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots offshore during the morning and afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Micro Monday morning at Dee Why

Posted on June 22nd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

When I checked the beach yesterday evening there were little knee to waist high plus waves at spots attuned to the ESE direction, but judging from Dee Why this morning, it definitely hasn’t improved. For some reason the offshore buoy data isn’t working, so I can’t give you a solid set of numbers but the way it looks I’d be very surprised if there was anything much above knee high anywhere. Tide isn’t helping either. It peaks at 0900 and is back to low at 1430. Yesterday’s hopeful outlook for midweek seems to have flipped back to tiny. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing swell energy ramping up on Friday as the switch flips to southerly. So, the usual deal, good size at the most exposed locations – but with heaps of wind in on top of it. Could be a south corners weekend.

The virus is resurgent in Melbourne, so don’t slack off on the handwashing, physical distancing and avoiding crowded places. Take care and go well everyone.

No sign of a wave at 0730

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system lies over southeast Australia and is slowly moving east, forecast to reach the Tasman Sea later today. This low is then expected to linger well offshore for much of the week, maintaining south to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters throughout the week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 23 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots tending southwesterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning.
Wednesday 24 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Cool, grey, drizzly and tiny – but not flat

Posted on June 21st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Winter solstice saw a cloudy and chilly start to the year’s shortest day in Sydney. Wind was out of the WNW at 6-12 kts and out at sea the ESE swell at 1.4m was a bit bigger than yesterday and the average period has stretched out to 12 seconds. I’d expect to see a little more action at Dee Why but when I took the pictures at around 0800, the only rideable thing I saw was a glassy little waist high bump at Kiddies. There were folks floating around at the point, but nothing came through while I watched. From where they’re sitting, I’d guess there might be the occasional waist plus set. Another issue is likely the fact that high tide was at 0815.

The wind should be out of the N-NW today, so maybe as the tide drops, a few of those sets will start looking more interesting.

The coming week is looking reasonable for surfing. The next few days look likely to bumble along in the waist high and a bit range on favourable tides. From around midweek the picture is currently looking, how should we say, more energetic. It all depends on what happens when the next low pressure system crosses into the southern Tasman. Will it just hurtle across to NZ, or slow down and bomb…

Take care everyone and don’t slack off on your handwashing and distance keeping.

 

Hanging out at the point in hopes of a bump

Bomb set pops up just off the beach at 0800

 

Weather Situation
Northerly winds are increasing ahead of a cold front which will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal waters today. This front is expected to form a low offshore over the Tasman Sea early in the new week, leading to south to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast for much of the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, increasing up to 25 knots offshore in the evening ahead of a late westerly change.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible hail this afternoon and evening.
Monday 22 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers offshore, 50% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 23 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Posted on June 20th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak the buoy data showed 0.9 metres of 9-second swell from the ESE. There was a faint 2-3 kt north breeze and skies were mostly clear. Tide was just about at the 0730 high and the ocean was 19C. Waves were in the ankle to knee high range at spots that were doing anything with the low energy bump. Take your longest, floatiest surf toy and your most kick-backed attitude and you’ll be good.

Outlook is for conditions to be about the same as they are now through to about midweek when we might have a change to some blowy but a bit bigger south conditions…

Go well!

Sinking out at No Mans 0700

Kiddies action

Had it to himself at Gardens

Northy crew getting knee high bumps at daybreak

Winter morning sky

Low power Longy

Weather Situation
A weakening high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales north coast, directing a generally northerly airstream over the coastal waters. This ridge will weaken further over the weekend as a cold front crosses the mainland. The front will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal areas on Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 21 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Possible hail in the late afternoon and evening.
Monday 22 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Small to tiny at Dee Why this morning

Posted on June 19th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another morning with ankle to knee and a bit waves for the keen at Dee Why. Wind was light west early under partly cloudy skies. Out at sea the buoys were seeing a metre of 9-11 second bump from the SSE. First tide of the day was a high at 0650 and we’re now dropping to a low at 1230.

As usual the Mighty Goat has rolled out a fresh set of predictions for the coming week and as always, I commend his surf wisdom to you all.

Have a great Friday and may it all be going well for you and yours!

Rock-runners at the point

Kiddies momentary peak

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. This ridge will remain the dominant feature until Saturday, when it will weaken as a cold front approaches from the west. The front will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal areas during Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 20 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 21 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 18th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 18 June 2020: Seven
day outlook for Sydney:
Been warm, cold, cool, warm, cool… TG doesn’t know where he is.
The ocean has started to come alive with more whales headed up the coast. They’re mostly out wide and are traveling in groups, but if you see one spout you’ll see more.  If they start to come closer inshore, keep an eye out for their camp followers.
There should still be some waves around of varying quality, depending on the winds, in the coming week.
Friday:  somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East
Saturday: ditto
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East
Monday: around 1 metre South East
Tuesday: heey ditto
Wednesday: starting to come up say 2. 2+ metres at dead South spots
Thursday: somewhere in the 2-3 metre range based on the current outlook (but that can always change over a week)
You’re all doing very well. Keep up the good work!…so TG might be able to go somewhere it’s more consistently warmer!!
Keep smiling and stay happy. 🙂
TG.
Up in the Air
MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 18 06:00:00 2020 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 18 11:30:00 2020
Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 19 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Areas of fog mainly in the west in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 10 19
Mostly sunny. Penrith 7 20
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 7 19
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 9 17
Early fog then mostly sunny. Richmond 6 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Parramatta 8 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 6 19
Partly cloudy. Bondi 12 19

Saturday 20 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Patchy fog in the morning, mainly in the west. Medium (40%) chance of showers at night. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 21 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 22 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Tuesday 23 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 24 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h.

Thursday 25 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.