Posts in Surf Reports

Options early on Saturday

Posted on October 13th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Wind was light and offshore at daybreak and there were little waves too. Size was into the shoulder plus range on the bigger ones, but it seemed to be pretty inconsistent and quality overall was so-so – which is probably why there were very few in the water. Skies were mostly cloudy.

The wind was coming back around to the east by 0700, and the Bureau tells us it’ll build to 15-25 kts before later. If you weren’t back in the carpark by 0800, you missed the best of it I’d say.  FWIW, nexdt tide is a high just before noon.

As of 0400 the MHL buoy was registering 2 metres from the S-SSE at 9 seconds. The Bureau tells us to expect some additional SE component to start mixing in later, causing them to raise a warning about possibly being more powerful than they first appear. Oh, and there’s a 90 percent chance of more showers.

Outlook is for the swell to hold, and maybe even build a little over the next 48 hours. While the wind isn’t expected to back off, it’s predicted to go around to the NE – which could open up a few possibilities in north corners…

The long range models are also looking hopeful for sizable (but wind affected) conditions mid to late week…

Have yourself a great Saturday everyone!

 

Daybreak wanderer at Long Reef

 

Nothing much at Butterbox

 

You wait for these

 

Couldn’t quite get into this one near Longy at 0635

 

Near the pole

 

Possibility at Kiddies 0630

 

Northy a maybe 0625

 

Gardens empty

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating east to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile a coastal trough is expected to deepen along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast during the weekend, strengthening winds in the north. From Monday, north to northeasterly winds are expected as a cold front moves over the state’s west and the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, reaching up to 2 metres in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 14 October

Winds
East to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Monday 15 October

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Junky Friday morning

Posted on October 12th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Nothing of interest for surfers this morning between Dee Why and North Narrabeen (and every where else no doubt). 10-15 kts of ESE wind going when I checked around 0815. Waves were in the waist to chest high range at Long Reef but smaller everywhere else.

Outlook is for more showers today – and for the weekend.

And, speaking of outlooks, the Goat is back! You’ll find his expert prognostications for the week ahead, right here.

Kiddies at 0820

 

No Mans

 

The point not doing anything

 

Collaroy flat and wind blown

 

Northy not looking hopeful

 

Crunchy one at south Narra

 

Delightful. First bluey of the season with two plastic spheres dumped by humans into the environment

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Tasmania is extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast, bringing east to southeast winds. This high will drift eastwards over the Tasman Sea today, and remain there for the next few days, with winds tending east to northeasterly.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the late morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Saturday 13 October

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 14 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 11th, 2018 in Surf Reports.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 October 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

What kind of weather do you call this!!!?? It’s cold, wet, windy, uninviting, and the surf matches it.

Six weeks of lovely warm to hot weather in Europe and assorted places in between and I come back to this!

Oh well, six whales showed they were happy to see me back… At least, I assume that’s why they were leaping about.

For those keen on getting themselves wet(ter)…

The surf outlook looks overall to be biggish, but messy for the next few days.  Conditions might improve from Monday onwards and still sizeable.

Friday: bit bigger than today.. say around 2, 2+ metres South East but messy

Saturday: uppish end of the 1-2 metre range South East, though the sets might have a little punch, and coming up through the day

Sunday: in the 2-3ish metre range East

Monday: 2-3 metres East North East and maybe a bit bigger on the sets

Tuesday: dittoish

Wednesday: easing back in the 2-3 metre range East North East

Thursday: ditto

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 11 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 11 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.632,151.324,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp

http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/idyoc300.shtml?region=NSW&forecast=SST

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Shower or two.Sydney18
Shower or two.Penrith18
Shower or two.Liverpool17
Shower or two.Terrey Hills16
Shower or two.Richmond18
Shower or two.Parramatta17
Shower or two.Campbelltown17
Shower or two.Bondi16

 

Friday 12 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning easterly in the late morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Saturday 13 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 14 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 15 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Tuesday 16 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 17 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.


Chilly, grey and windy

Posted on October 11th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

12-16 kts of SE wind to kick off the morning’s beachside activities. More cloudy skies too, and although the swell popped up to 3 metres at 11 seconds from the SSE (158°), it’s not looking too enticing at Dee Why. As of 0830 there didn’t appear to be any people in the water and sets looked to be maybe chest to shoulder high.

Unsurprisingly given the rain, Beachwatch reports that pollution is possible from Collaroy south to Manly (apart from south Curly). They report that water temp is 19C.

Outlook is for the onshores to continue into the weekend, although they are set to swing more to the NE from Saturday and stay that way right through most of next week. So, possibilities maybe in a few north corners, particularly early…

Have a top old Thursday!

Junky junk at No Mans

 

Bigger than yesterday, but no cleaner

Weather Situation

Vigorous south to southeast winds have been affecting the waters in association with a cold front that moved across the region yesterday. In the wake of the front, a high pressure system near Tasmania is forecast to extend a ridge along the New South Wales coast. As this high drifts eastwards to the Tasman Sea at the end of the week, winds are expected to tend east to northeast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.

Friday 12 October

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, tending southeasterly 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy.

Saturday 13 October

Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Back in grey

Posted on October 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

20 kts of southerly under dark grey skies as Wednesday rolled into view. The wind is beating up the surface conditions at Dee Why and the swell is still small and weak (it was 1.6 metres at 5 seconds from the south as of 0600). The Bureau tells us to expect it to increase across the day but the wind’ll blow hard from the south to SE for at least the next three days. Plus there’s near certainty of showers today. Missable in a word.

Swell’s expected to peak tomorrow but wind’s also set to be more SE, so my hopes are modest. And the long range outlook is for generally onshore conditions into next week. So, we’ll be looking to the corners for now.

Have a great day everyone!

Southerly herding the white horses past North Head

 

Scrappy at No Mans 0800

 

Not enough energy to make the point work

Weather Situation

A trough will move up the north coast today while a cold front to its south will follow in its steps. The trough will bring a south to southeasterly change to the north coast, while the front will strengthen these south to southeasterly winds. Both features will clear the far north coast early tomorrow. In their wake, a high pressure system south of the Bight is forecast to extend a ridge along the New South Wales Coast. As this high drifts eastward to the Tasman Sea toward the end of the week, winds are expected to tend east to northeasterly.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Thursday 11 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 12 October

Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Sunny skies

Posted on October 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A change from the recent rainy conditions as this morning sees sunny conditions with a light westerly breeze. Sadly the swell has dialled back at Dee Why. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 m from the ESE (127°) at 10 seconds. There might be a little more energy showing at better exposed stretches but where Dee Why’s concerned it’s too small for the poiint and the beachy wasn’t looking too populated either. Tide hits a 1.7 m high at 0910 and then heads back to low at 1515.

Weather should start to cloud up later and there’s a 20% chance of rain later. The showers return tomorrow along with the southerlies. And the swell should start to come back up during the morning. Expectations for a major south swell event have changed pretty dramatically downward from predictions just a day or two ago. The latest projections are calling for a couple of metres from the south in the 9-10 second range from Thursday into next week. It looks as though wind will be steadily onshore during the period in question – unfortunately.

Ah well, at least there’s the hope of some scrappy stuff for the extra keen.

 

Fading but still little lines coming in

 

Not quite big enough to make the point work at 0745

Weather Situation

A weak low pressure system off the Illawarra coast will gradually move southeast away from New South Wales today. At the same time, a strong high pressure system over the Bight is expected to push a ridge along the south coast later today, then along the north coast tomorrow. As a result, winds will shift south to southeasterly along whole coast over the next day or two. Winds are forecast to tend east to southeasterly on Thursday and Friday as the high drifts from the Bight to the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly below 10 knots, tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon the shift south to southeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 10 October

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 11 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Clean looking early with more showers on tap

Posted on October 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

12-15 kts of SW wind at 0800 made for clean looking surface conditions at Dee Why. Another area of showers was sweeping in from the south as I grabbed the pictures. As of 0500 the 2 metre swell was coming from the SSE (148-152°) at 7 seconds apart.

The call is for the swell to drop toward the middle part of the day, when the wind is predicted to swing to the SE. From the shape of the swell prediction models, we can expect the current waist to chest size to be more in the knee to waist high range tomorrow and Wednesday.

That big south pulse for Thursday to Sunday is still showing on the models. Unfortunately they’re also continuing to predict heaps of south wind while the swell is peaking at close to 3 m between late Weds and Friday. With luck the surf won’t fade completely once the wind becomes less annoying around Sunday.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Smooth at Dee Why and little sets coming in

 

Still a hint up the beach at 0800

Weather Situation

A near-stationary trough lies across the north coast and extends southward offshore, with a low pressure circulation off the central coast. This has recently generated vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while southwest to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The low is is expected to affect central coastal areas during today while gradually weakening. Winds will tend back to the north ahead of a cold front which is expected to move along the south coast on Tuesday and reach the north coast on Wednesday, bringing a vigorous southerly change.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending northeast to southeasterly in the middle of the day then tending southeast to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Tuesday 9 October

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots in the morning then shifting south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Wednesday 10 October

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Sunday morning and waves

Posted on October 7th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunday morning sees mostly cloudy skies with regular light showers, a chilly SW wind and clean chest plus sets at Dee Why point and just up the beach toward No Mans. Around at Curly there were some weak and occasional sets into the same range at the south end. But the rest of the beach was oddly non-descript from a surf perspective. Where Dee Why was Sunday crowded, Curly was only lightly populated. Despite 16mm of rain in the last 24 hours, Beachwatch says water is fine for surfing at Dee Why (but not so good at some other locations). It’s about 19C too.

Tide was high at 0740 and is currently headed to low at 1330. The MHL buoy data was offline when I checked, but from what I saw, swell conditions match the Bureau’s forecast (see below). They’re predicting it to go more SE and to even come up a little more later. Plus the models show the wind staying SW.

Wind looks like being okay again tomorrow morning, but the swell models show the period getting shorter and wave heights fading. Tuesday looks less interesting still and then on Wednesday the models show a return to southerly conditions by afternoon. Swell should push up again, but quality has a questionmark over it thanks to short periods. Thursday could see the period improve and the south wind moderate slightly. At the same time swell heights are looking to push past the 3 metre mark. So, maybe some south corner action…

Have a great Sunday one and all!

 

Nup.

 

Oddly weak and fat south Curly as of 0945

 

Fun at the point 0935

 

A bit slow looking but definitely rideable just up from DYSLSC

Weather Situation

A near-stationary trough lies across the north coast and extends southward offshore, with a low pressure circulation off the central coast. This is generating vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while southwest to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The low is is expected to affect central coastal areas through to Monday before weakening. Winds will tend back to the north ahead of a cold front which is expected to move along the south coast on Tuesday and to reach the Hunter coast in the evening, bringing a vigorous southerly change.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres around midday, then tending south to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 8 October

Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southeasterly below 0.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Tuesday 9 October

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending west to southwesterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Great morning for a little extra kip

Posted on October 6th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Raining lightly but steadily when I cracked the peepers for the first time this morning. Over at North Head the wind was out of the SSW at 10-18 kts. The forecast calls for it to come up into 20-30 kt range from the SE before long.

There’s a warning for large and powerful surf conditions today, and it’ll be cloudy and showery until Monday at least.

As of 0400 the MHL buoy was seeing 3.2 metres at a shade under 9 seconds from 150-154° (SSE). There was also some longer period but small stuff from the south, plus some small NE component. First tide of the daylight hours was a 1.48 high at 0550. The low’s at 1140.
Needless to say, pollution is likely at lots of Sydney’s beaches today. As the pictures show, the water had an unhealthy brownish-grey cast.

Outlook is for the swell to fade back into the marginal range on Monday-Tuesday-Wednesday (but winds for the early could be okay). But thereafter it currently looks as though we’ll see a return to roaring southerly wind and an influx of substantial SSE swell (as in 4-7 metres substantial). Friday could be the peak day, but the energy is predicted to be at solidly surfable intensity through to Monday week on the longest range modelling.

Have a great Saturday everyone!

Shorey near south Narrabeen SLSC

 

Brownwater teaser 0625

 

I’d give Northy a pass

 

Water not looking clean at Dee Why

 

No go for White Rock

 

Dee Why point before the wind change

 

Waiting…

 

Weather Situation

A trough has stalled about the Lower Mod North Coast, and a low pressure circulation has developed within it offshore. This is generating vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while lighter north to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The trough and low is expected to be near-stationary today and slowly weaken over the weekend as a high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge northward along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning southerly 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 7 October

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late morning and afternoon. Winds tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Monday 8 October

Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Much needed rain but surfing is out

Posted on October 5th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Went out in the rain for a look at the surf conditions and can report that protected spots such as Collaroy are way too small to surf. The exposed stretches were hopelessly blown out thanks to the gale conditions. So, a good day to get on with other things. Rain should slacken off across the day and be back to showers tomorrow. Beachwatch has hoisted the ‘pollution possible’ warning for beaches up the peninsula and likely polluted from Curly on south. Water’s 20C.

The wind is set to be south to SE through Monday while the swell remains short period and junky.

Tuesday might offer a little respite, but then, if the long range models have it right, there’s going to be another burst of intense southerly wind from Wednesday into the weekend. The more dramatic predictions are showing 4+ metres in the 11-12s range at the peak. Not sure if we’ll get much in the way of surfable opportunities though…

Have a great Friday everyone and stay happy!

 

 

Collaroy micro in mono

Weather Situation

A trough has stalled about the Hunter Coast, and a low pressure circulation is developing within it offshore. This is generating vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while lighter north to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The trough and low is forecast to gradually move northward today, pushing the south to southwesterly change along parts of the the north coast. This system is expected to weaken on the weekend as a high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge northward along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 6 October

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 7 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

 

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