Posts in Surf Reports

Tiny lines

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Dee Why, North Narrabeen.

Out for a ride and can report there is more energy than this morning. Best waves were at Northy but there were close to 20 in the water chasing the very occasional sets. Biggest waves were around the chest high range maybe a touch bigger. Looked a bit sectiony too.

At Dee Why there were only a few in the water. Wind was more sideshow and waves both smaller and less consistent.

The point was maybe mal- able but no one was trying it.

Beautiful afternoon and looks like it might come up a little more…


A hint at Dee Why beach

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
The point looked to be flat at 0700, but there were a few people in the water at Kiddies chasing tiny, maybe knee high bumps. That’s more activity than I’ve seen since getting home on Sunday. The MHL buoy data from 0500 was showing 0.9 m of 12-sec south swell. Tide hit a 1.77 m high a little after 0700, so possibly as it drops, we’ll see a few more options. MHL’s modelling shows a slight increase toward midday. The northerly wind will be picking up as the day goes along – with obvious implications for some spots.
The Goat wasn’t able to drop a forecast last night, but he’ll be along with his wisdom later today, so I’ll confine my thoughts on the outlook to saying I’m a tiny bit hopeful for a small improvement tomorrow…
Have a great Friday one and all!

Nothing at the point but the occasional knee high bump at Kiddies as of 0700

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving eastwards across the Tasman Sea today, extending a ridge to the New South Wales coast. Meanwhile, a strong cold front is crossing South Australia, and will affect New South Wales on the weekend. Coastal winds are forecast to turn northerly and increase ahead of this system, which will bring a vigorous westerly change to the southern half of the coast on Saturday, extending throughout early Sunday. Conditions should gradually ease later Sunday and Monday, as a new high approaches from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 11 August
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 12 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Lake Dee Why

Posted on August 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another perfect winter’s day in Sydney. Dee Why fairly sparkled at 0700 when I grabbed the daily pics. But, alas, beautiful as the day promises to be, there was absolutely no hint of a wave. Nor is there any prospect in the Bureau’s predictions for an immediate improvement.

MHL’s Sydney buoy was detecting 0.7 m of 12 sec from the SSE (152°), so no hint yet of the predicted long period east component the models have been showing for a few days now.

As always, I’m keen to see the Goat’s thoughts on the prospects for the coming week because at least a couple of the models are showing some small hope.

Have a great Thursday and be sure to check back this evening for the Goat’s forecast!

Flatter than yesterday, or as flat?

Ocean doing its impression of zero

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is currently across northern New South Wales, while a cold front is crossing the south of the state, maintaining gusty westerly winds over southern coastal waters. The ridge is expected to extend further south during Thursday with winds easing. Northerly winds will strengthen on Friday and Saturday ahead of the next strong cold front, expected to reach New South Wales coastal waters on Saturday night.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 10 August

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 11 August

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.

 


Still on hold

Posted on August 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
You wouldn’t know it from looking at the conditions, but the MHL buoy was showing a touch under a metre of 10-sec SSE at 0500 which is up a tiny bit from yesterday. Unfortunately if the Bureau has it right, the swell will fade a little later. And hopes for late Thursday and Friday seem to have gone sour as well by their account. The only hope is that the models’ prediction of an increase in energy levels from 10 to maybe 12 seconds which could bring south magnet spots into the just surfable range by Friday morning. Some models are showing swell coming up around Monday – but with periods dialling back. So, it’ll be interesting to see the Goat’s take tomorrow evening.
Have a great Wednesday everyone!

 

Not a hint of a line at North Head


 

Dead calm at the point 0700


 

Zippo 0700


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is developing across northern New South Wales while a cold front passes to the south today, maintaining gusty westerly winds in southern coastal areas. The ridge is expected to extend further south during Thursday and Friday, with winds easing.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 9 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 10 August

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Yep, still flat as a tack

Posted on August 7th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As expected, this morning dawns cool, clear and utterly flat at Dee Why. Looks like another day for getting on with the non-surfing dimensions of your life.

For the record, the MHL buoy was showing 0.7 m of 8 sec wind bump from 158° as of 0500. At report writing time, wind was WNW 13-17 kts.

Surf prospects remain unchanged according to this morning’s models. Today and tomorrow are looking flat, Thursday might see a faint sign of life and then from Friday to maybe Sunday there could be very small but surfable waves from the east. By “surfable”, I mean knee to waist at magnets.

Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!

 

Just about perfectly flat at 0700

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is developing across northern New South Wales, while a series of cold fronts pass to the south, maintaining gusty westerly winds in many coastal areas. The ridge is expected to extend further south during the second half of the week, with winds easing and shifting more northerly.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 8 August

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 9 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Normal service resumes

Posted on August 6th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
First full day back from our great family adventure and after weeks of neglect, I’m back to my usual routine. Sadly this morning that means telling you that the utter lack of anything rideable continues to be the situation. As you can see from the pics, there was only a bit of froth around the rocks from the metre or so of 6-7 sec ESE wind bump. North Head was showing a light westerly as I tapped out these words. That’s due to go NW and pick up soon as it builds into the 30 kt range later. Not that it matters, but tide hits low at 0850 and then comes back up to a 1.56 m high at 1530.
I’m not liking the look of the forecasts for the next few days. Basically from what the Bureau, MHL and the various forecast models say, we’re outta luck until maybe Thursday-Friday when a little se pulse could make itself felt with some knee to waist high bumps at magnet spots as it moves around to the east. If you want some real waves, head down to Bells. From the look of the charts it should be absolutely pumping and offshore all week. The lucky pups. (If anyone’s down that way and wants to share a pic or two, drop me an email)
Have a great Monday everyone. It’s good to be back, even if there aren’t any waves yet!

 

Monday at 0800 and the point is flat under dull grey skies


 

Up the beach, just as flat and hopeless as the point


 

Spotted at a National park in Sweden a long, long way from any place with surf.


 

Weather Situation

A trough and associated cold front are crossing New South Wales today, bringing a vigorous west to northwesterly change to southern and central waters this morning, reaching northern parts at night. Following this, a high pressure ridge will develop across the state’s north, while further cold fronts skim across the south during Tuesday and Wednesday, maintaining gusty westerly winds in many coastal areas. The ridge is expected to extend further south in the second half of the week, with winds easing and shifting more northerly.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning, reaching 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Tuesday 7 August

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 8 August

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 3rd, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Friday 3 August 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Very small NE windswell today, that was not breaking at high tide…

Nice day, except for the howling Northerly, and horrible air quality from necessary bushfire control burnoffs on the Central Coast.

If you thought it was small today, wait till you see tomorrow, and the next day, and the next>>>>>>>>>>>

Saturday: less than 1 metre NE.. and not breaking at high tide

Sunday: similar

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: smaller or Flat

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: about the same.

Friday: might be little wave around 1 metre or so at places open to dead South

Keep smiling 🙂

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Aug  3 03:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Fri Aug  3 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a fresh 17… watch that ticker… and wear a wetty

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf
SAT
0036 1.43
0704 0.49
1330 1.43
1933 0.66

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of haze in the morning, clearing in the afternoon. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Sunny.Sydney23
Possible late shower.Penrith24
Possible late shower.Liverpool24
Sunny.Terrey Hills21
Possible late shower.Richmond24
Sunny.Parramatta23
Possible late shower.Campbelltown23
Sunny.Bondi21

Saturday 4 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 5 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Areas of morning fog. Areas of morning frost in the west. Sunny day. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 6 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending west to northwesterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Tuesday 7 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 8 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Thursday 9 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Postcard from Cali flatness

Posted on July 30th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Apologies for the long radio silence. I’ll be back to daily reports in a week or so, but for now, a postcard from Southern California where the swell has died out in the last couple days – not that it was particularly interesting up this way, but at least it could be surfed. From the look of the latest MHL data, the situation for Sydney is pretty much the same as here, ie flat. At 0800 the MHL buoy was showing a metre of SSE off Sydney. Unfortunately, the period was an utterly gutless 4-5 seconds. Throw in the brisk 13C air temp as of 0930 and the gradually increasing westerly wind, I’d say doing something else this morning is the plan. The Bureau is talking about the swell coming up in the afternoon, but for what it’s worth, the models aren’t hopeful at all. MHL, surfline and magicseaweed are unifromly dour about the prospects of a wave until at least the end of the week. We’re not likely to fare any better here either, although tomorrow I’ll be heading out to the Channel Islands off Santa Barbara (that’s right, that’s where Al Merrick got the name for his little shaping business).
Hope you have a grand week, and if I can, I’ll pull together another postcard or two from the Islands visit.

Only the barest hint of a south line at Campus Point, Goleta, CA

Weather Situation
A series of cold front will brush the south of the state through the start of the new week, bringing W to SW winds over the waters. Later in the week a high pressure system will assert itself over the waters, shifting winds onshore.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 31 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 1 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 27th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Sunday update

This morning the Pacific is pacific, to be specific. While it’s normally terrific, right now it’s Flat!.

Lovely day ..24 max.. N/NNW wind might make some tiny NE windswell later if you’re lucky.

Have a good one.

Saturday update

Yep..beautiful morning …teensy tiny waves..you wouldn’t say surf …at places open to the South.. Only for sitting chatting on longboards SUPs etc etc if you’re keen for some paddling exercise.

Have fun.

Surf forecast issued Friday 27 July 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Beautiful weather Ordinary waves… to continue this week. Don’t shoot the messenger! OK

Saturday: pretty much flat

Sunday: might be a tiny Nor East windswell, but don’t expect much to be happening at high tide

Monday: flattish

Tuesday: might be a little something around say 1 metre or so briefly but only at South facing beaches

Wednesday: down again to not much

Thursday – Friday: maybe around 1 metre or so at places that get dead South swell.

Meanwhile, while waiting for the surf to come again, stay healthy!

TG

Up in the Sky:

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 27 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 27 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.633,151.333,5

Down in the Sea:

Water temp is around 17, 18

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Sunny.Sydney22
Sunny.Penrith23
Sunny.Liverpool22
Sunny.Terrey Hills19
Mostly sunny.Richmond23
Sunny.Parramatta22
Sunny.Campbelltown22
Sunny.Bondi20

 

Saturday 28 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 29 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning west to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 30 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Tuesday 31 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 1 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 2 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 20th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Saturday update: There is a little swell coming in already at South facing beaches… about 1 metre or so. Not too crowded as the air is a bit chilly.  Currently 10 but apparent temp is 4.  Nice conditions ..clear blue sky, light offshore W/WNW/WSW wind, and the sun is shining on the golden cliffs.  Low tide’s around 9.  Have a good one. TG.

Surf forecast issued Friday 20 July 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Flat today and flat tomorrow before it starts to come up a little later at South facing beaches.

Not a lot in store for the coming week… so kids and parents will be happy to go back to school and work.

Saturday: flat to small to maybe around 1 metre or so at South facing beaches later

Sunday and Monday: around 1 metre or so at places facing dead South

Tuesday: flattish

Wednesday through Saturday:  small to maybe around 1 metre or so, mostly South with a bit of Eastish

TG

Up in the Sky

Looking dry down there

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 20 03:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 20 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.632,151.324,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 17, 18

Haven’t seen many whales this week… think they might be out offshore where the water’s a bit warmer

image

Tides are here

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 19
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloud clearing. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.Sydney19
Partly cloudy.Penrith18
Mostly sunny.Liverpool18
Mostly sunny.Terrey Hills17
Mostly sunny.Richmond18
Mostly sunny.Parramatta18
Windy. Partly cloudy.Campbelltown17
Windy. Mostly sunny.Bondi18

 

Saturday 21 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Winds west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 22 July

Summary
Min 6
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 23 July

Summary
Min 5
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Tuesday 24 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 25 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 26 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.


 

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