Posts in Surf Reports

You have to wait but there are waves this morning

Posted on May 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Back in Sydney from the annual run up the coast (23rd since ’77!) and have awoken to a sunny Sunday morning with little offshore lines rolling into the beaches. Between sets it looked very small, but if you just waited there were chest high wave faces to be had up the beach toward No Mans and waist-ish sets (less frequently) at the point.
Wind was a light westerly early. It’s set to pick up and go more SW-S by midday.
At 0600 the MHL Sydney buoy was showing a metre of 11-12 sec energy from the SE (140°). The forecast is for it to pick up as the day goes along and be in the 1.5-2 m range by close of play. Tide was a 0.37 low at 0625 and is now running in to a 1.4 m high at 1230.

Tomorrow’s outlook is very similar to today’s except that the swell should pick up into the 2-3 metre range – causing the Bureau to issue a caution for deceptive surf conditions.

The models continue to look hopeful for the coming week. Right now it looks as though Wednesday could be pretty dramatic with a combo of 2-3+ metre 15-17 sec south swell, sunny skies and offshores all day. And if the more hopeful models have it right, there should be waves through next weekend and into the following week…

Have a great Sunday one and all!

Clean little bumps at 0750

 

One wave sets turn up every now and then at the point 0800

 

Another one at No Mans

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary, strong high pressure system south of the Bight with a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea is directing south to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 21 May

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 22 May

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Postcards from Lennox, Boulder, Crescent

Posted on May 18th, 2018 in At large.

Getting impressively high for such a tiny, gutless wave at Crescent Head at dusk

Half an hour of light left…

Will the lines still be here tomorrow morning…?

Much smaller at Boulder by midday

Waiting…

soft but more than enough size at Lennox Head for the dozen or so in the water

Mat riders team up for a little Lennox Head runner

Generating energy from the weak but surfable waves at Lennox Head late morning Friday

Another set comes into view

Watcha lookin’ at mate!

Lennox from town beach

Early morning wave at 7-mile

Lennox view

If only these sections were more frequent at the reefs, Lennox Head

Racing out to get a few before his heat

Early morning small lines showing up at the poine

Teaser!


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 17th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 May 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

What a week! Cold, windy and messy out of control surf for most of it. Not much use to anyone except the very few people that I saw in the water at a couple of rare times: young keen kids (they have to learn sometime), very experienced (good luck to them), or the odd lunatic. For the rest of us it was doing-something-else time.

Now that it looks like it’s finally starting to calm down, you may well find that your favourite sandbank has been dredged by the constant onslaught of rips from larger waves and wind.  Sigh.  Never mind, it’ll come back – sometime in the next 6 months!

In the meantime, to help bring back the banks more quickly, you can sing along while you read the rest of the forecast. You know you want to –

Ahh, they don’t make songs like that any more, do they? !?

Singalong Surf Forecasts…  What’ll they think of next!

The surf…

Friday: down from today in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range at places that are open to dead South swell

Saturday: up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, with some sets showing a little oomphyness at times

Sunday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Monday: coming up again! 2 – 2+ metres, with sets, at dead South spots

Tuesday: down in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range… yes dead South

Thursday: I could speculate, but let’s not scare the horses at this early stage.

Have fun if you can find somewhere with banks… and stay safe. Surf within your abilities at suitable places.

If you can’t find somewhere, then just sing along … At least it’ll be sunny.

TG

Up in the Sky

 

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 17 07:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 17 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7

Down in the Sea

Water temp is getting cooler at around 19.

Ahh that’s where the whales are… Look how nice and warm it is way out offshore.

If you were a whale wouldn’t you rather be swimming north in warmer water? If you were a people wouldn’t you too??

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 18 May

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Patchy fog in the early morning. Sunny day. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 19 May

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Early fog patches in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 20 May

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Early fog patches in the west. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 21 May

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming southwesterly during the evening.

Tuesday 22 May

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 23 May

Summary
Min 9
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 24 May

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

 


Postcards from up North: 7-mile and Boulder

Posted on May 17th, 2018 in At large.

SUP rider on the reefs off Lennox at 0730


Postcards from Byron and beyond

Posted on May 16th, 2018 in At large.

Soft lines at Lennox this afternoon

Hangin’ out at Lennox, noon

The right equipment for the weak swell at Lennox

Famous lighthouse

North of the Wreck tiny longboard lines 0930

Riding these on a shortboard wasn’t nearly as fun. North of the Wreck 0930

Johnson’s shories were shutting down heavily but for a second or two…

The takeoff was the thing at Johnson’s 0900

Sole rider doing the soul ride at the Pass


Postcards from Lennox Head

Posted on May 16th, 2018 in At large.

Exiting one

In the corner at Lennox 0715

Stoked!

Lennox Head beach 0715

The odd wave at the Point

Jagging one before school

Swell close together and piling inat 0700

Taking the top off one at Lennox 0700


Postcards from up the coast

Posted on May 15th, 2018 in At large.

Crescent head early: high tide, inconsistent, fat, slow. Prob. much better on lower tide…

Bomb set & rider didn’t make the section. Crescent Head, 0735

 

Arrawarra 1135: Irregular sets in the knee to waist plus range, dozen out, weak and slow looking.


Wooli breakwater pretty but really small and well protected from the south wind. No one out. Size prob knee to knee plus…

Wooli up the beach a little peak trying to do something but failing 1300 Tuesday

Where I’ll be until Friday morning…


Postcards from up north

Posted on May 14th, 2018 in Crescent Head.

Dusk at Pebbly Beach, Crescent Head

Little lines at the end of the day

Small but not totally flat at Crescent Head this afternoon

Swell mostly pushing past the point this afternoon because it’s just too south.

Set wave around 430 Monday afternoon

There’s a bodyboarder in there. North Haven shories about noon.

A frame situation at North Haven around midday Monday.

Bonny Hills lines 1240 Monday


Mother’s Day waves

Posted on May 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.
  1. Hello Friends,

15-20 kts of SW wind at 0900 and the 0700 MHL data was showing 4.45 m of 13-sec swell from the south. Sets at the point were solidly overhead and it appeared to be reasonably consistent – which is good given the crowd at the point. Hope everyone’s giving the mums first go.

Wind is supposed to be out of the south at 25-30 kts today, so this morning’s comparatively clean conditions at the point likely won’t last.

Tide was a 1.6 m high at 0620, low will be a 0.4 m at 1230.

This morning’s forecast models show southerly wind for the next three days and swell should stay at about the current intensity for the next 24 hours before starting to gradually decay back to small by the end of he week.

Your correspondent is hitting the road tomorrow, so expect the occasional postcard at irregular intervals for the next week!

Have a great Mother’s Day mums!

Up the beach 0845

0845 set

Wave at the point

Set wave

Weather Situation
An intense low pressure system lies over the western Tasman Sea, while a high is strengthening south of the Bight. This pattern is driving vigorous winds over most of the New South Wales coast, periodically bolstered by the passage of troughs embedded within the broader pattern. Some areas are also experiencing large waves generated by this system. Conditions are expected to gradually ease later today and during Monday as the low moves away to the east, allowing the approaching high to become dominant.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots, reaching 35 knots at times in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
2.5 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 14 May
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, tending south to southeasterly 2 to 3 metres in the middle of the day.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 95% chance of showers offshore, 70% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 15 May
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Mid-afternoon pics from Dee Why

Posted on May 12th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Just spent an hour or so at the beach checking the rising swell. Lotsa people in the water and the wind blowing pretty stiffly offshore.
Banks along the beach were 99% unmakeable shutdowns. Point was rather soft and inconsistent. Sets on the beach per the pictures in terms of size, at the point smaller, but a couple of head high faces came through.


 

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