"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Grey, drippy start

LATE ARVO UPDATE:

 

1745: not exactly pumping, but some kids on lids are finding something at the chair.
1745: not exactly pumping, but some kids on lids are finding something at the chair.

Finally the skies have lifted adequately for me to see what’s going on from the crow’s nest atop the RealSurf wheelhouse. And what’s going on is only very slightly more than what my picture from this morning showed. There hasn’t been a tremendous improvement in the vital signs. The latest MHL trace is showing that the average period has risen maybe one second to 7s, but the size of the now SSE windswell is still only around a metre. Looking at the models, I can see no real reason to think that things will improve overnight. Thursday looks to be as woeful a prospect as today. Indeed, methinks we’re not likely to see much of anything in the Sydney region until next week. The virtual buoys model is showing a little long period south pulse for Sunday afternoon-ish. If it happens, that could translate into shoulder high sets at south facing beaches. The very long range models are showing a pretty intense system forming up in the Tasman around mid next week. Will be interesting what the run of models shows tomorrow on that one. 

Have yourself a top old evening!

 

Hello Friends,

Can’t see the ocean yet… so no eyewitness report for the time being. I’ll go out with the camera soon and of course will report back on anything of interest. In the meantime what one can say is that the MHL buoy shows that yesterday’s tasty little pulse has rolled off from a couple metres at 8-10 sec, to a metre at 6 seconds from the SE. Throw in a steady 12-16kts of SE wind and the rain…  Well, if that doesn’t turn out to mean mostly choppy little junk, I’ll be putting a little salt and pepper on my headgear and getting out the knife and fork.

Back later this morning with more thoughts…

0915: Utterly without interest at Dee Why this morning.
0915: Utterly without interest at Dee Why this morning.