Articles tagged with "SE-1m-6s"

Lake Pacific – again

Posted by: on November 11th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Looks like surfing isn’t really on the agenda this morning, or indeed today. Wind was already ESE 9-10 kts by daybreak and the Bureau says it’ll continue like this through the afternoon. The MHL Sydney buoy is showing about a metre of 6 second period SE wind swell. That likely means nothing above knee to waist high onshore dribble at the biggest spots. ┬áThe Eden buoy is showing 9-second period stuff though.

Happily tomorrow is looking a better prospect with a low tide early and the charts showing a south swell filling in later in the day. If it plays out as expected the magnet spots could be seeing chest to head high on the bigger ones. With luck Sydney surfers should have fun ones for a couple of days out of this event.

Wish I could say the same for Santa Barbara. You may have heard about the big system spawned by ex super typhoon Nuri now in the north Pacific. It looks like slinging solid but not record swell at Hawaii. Southern California may or may not score something late this week but in the meantime it’s pretty much flat, particularly in well-protected Santa Barbara.

Have a great day and here’s a little postcard from Cali for you…

Given the dire flatness around here, I’ve decided to share a screen cap from surfline.com’s Pleasure Point cam. Pleasure Point is way up north from here in the wave-rich Santa Cruz area. Even so, it looks pretty feeble and gutless. No sign of big swell there yet.

Pleasure Point, Santa Cruz was foggy and small

Pleasure Point, Santa Cruz was foggy and small

Weather Situation

A slow-moving trough on the northern New South Wales coast is expected to reach the Queensland border during Tuesday, while a high south of the Bight extends a ridge towards the Tasman Sea. This pattern will maintain southerly winds over coastal areas today, bolstered in the south by the passage of a cold front early this morning. On Wednesday the high is expected to move across Bass Strait to the Tasman Sea, bringing a gradual return to more northerly winds, strengthening Thursday/Friday ahead of the next frontal system on the weekend.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times later this morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of a shower.

Wednesday 12 November

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the early morning.

Thursday 13 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Faint signs of hope

Posted by: on April 30th, 2013

Got to his feet

Hello Friends,

Grey skies for Sydney and only a slight increase to the ambient swell pressure. It’s still averaging about 6 seconds on the period front, but it’s twice as big as yesterday. Which means there are some just barely catchable bumps while the tide is still relatively low. High tide’s around noon, so I’m not too enthusiastic about chances of an improvement. Primary swell direction is SE and the bumps at sea are around the metre mark.

We’re due to have a south change tomorrow afternoon and that should result in a definite uptick to wave size. But of course we’ll also have the wind to deal with. Tomorrow morning on incoming tide should see slightly better conditions than today. Thursday looks like being wind whipped from the south all day but with luck Friday morning may offer a few fun ones as the swell is expected to stick around. After possibly fading on Saturday, there’s a chance of another south pulse for Sunday-Monday before things go quiet again… we shall see!

Get up to some good!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies across the northern Tasman Sea, and another south of the Bight. Between these systems, a broad trough of low pressure extends from central Australia to the southern Tasman sea. This trough is expected to remain over central parts of the New South Wales coast during Tuesday. On Wednesday, a cold front from the Southern Ocean is forecast to move over the state, assisted by the strengthening high to the west. This will bring a more significant southerly change to the coast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots, becoming variable late in the afternoon and evening .
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore.
Wednesday 1 May
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore.
Thursday 2 May
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, decreasing below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, turning southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.

Sticky: Sluggish Sunday

Posted by: on December 2nd, 2012

Hello Friends,

Quick report from me for now. Weak and dribbly again, but this time with 10-15 kts of south wind. High tide about 1010 and the wind is set to swing SE later. Occasional light showers and even the possibility of a thunderstorm this morning. Swell is showing at a metre from the SE and only 6 seconds apart. That says knee to waist high at best.

Not the greatest outlook for surf. So, I’ll head off to Manly soon to help out on the Surfrider stall at Ocean Care Day. Whatever your plans may be, I wish you well with them!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east maintaining a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. A southerly change has develop along the southern half of the coast it will extend to the northern coast by early Monday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning then tending southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning then increasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms this morning and afternoon.
Monday 3 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Tuesday 4 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending southerly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre tending easterly during the evening.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio.
Northern Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
Central Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
Southern Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Sunday.
Product IDN11009

Sticky: Not happening this morning at Dee Why

Posted by: on November 1st, 2012

Hello Friends,

Another day of microness for Sydney…well for the east coast of Oz really. At Dee Why there’s maybe a knee high set to be had if you’re lucky. Wind’ll be out of the N to NE to begin with, but then the Bureau tells us that it’ll switch around to the south and pick up the pace. Before that south change develops this evening, it’s going to warm up quite a bit with an expected high of 34 on the cards.

The Bureau and the swell forecast models are pointing toward a solid south pulse developing overnight. So Friday and Saturday should see some reasonable size – but with lots of south wind sadly.

Maybe there’ll be a reasonable one tucked into a south corner…

Stay cool and go well with your Thursday.

Weather Situation
A weakening high pressure system is centred over the northern Tasman Sea, while a trough and associated cold front move over western New South Wales. This front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, extending to northern waters early Friday. In the wake of this change, the next high will extend a ridge towards New South Wales from the west, which will remain the dominant feature through the weekend. Another trough is forecast to affect the state next week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the early evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the late afternoon or evening.
Friday 2 November
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots early in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
2 metres increasing to 3 metres in the early morning then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending southerly 1.5 metres from the morning.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening.
Saturday 3 November
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to east to southeasterly about 10 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Sticky: Mighty unmighty this morning

Posted by: on May 12th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Only a metre of SE wind swell at sea this morning off Sydney. Worse, the average period is just 6 seconds. So, there really isn’t much of anything going on at Dee Why as the day gets started. There were a few bods bobbing in the limpid waters up toward No Mans, but I didn’t see them snag anything from the sub-waist high conditions. There is a distinct, but short duration pulse showing in the buoy data from down the coast and the swell forecast is calling for it to reach here about lunchtime. It’s just as short period as the present dribble, so I’d say we should see an uptick in size to maybe waist to chest on the bombs. The SW wind is due to turn west and pick up into the 20-25kt range though and that could tend to hold the swell offshore.

Tomorrow’s prospects are looking distinctly puny according to the swell models, but we’re still expecting to see something of interest on Monday as a solid looking south pulse fills in and then basically looks to hang around through mid-week.

The south is forecast to be around the 3 metre mark at sea and the models are showing periods in the 11-13 second range, so it ought to be into the overhead to 1.5x overhead range at exposed spots. Wind is going to be pretty strong and from the SW. Could be another interesting Monday.

Tide was low at 0745 and will hit high at 1355 or so. But the tide is changing by less than a metre, so the banks should basically be about the same all day.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

Weather Situation
A trough and associated cold front move over the northern coast. Windier conditions will persist in the the far south in a wake of the front on Saturday. A high will gradually approach from the west, maintaining a vigorous southerly airstream across the region during Sunday and Monday, assisted by further fronts brushing the state’s southeast. An increasing southerly swell is expected to develop later on the weekend.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Sunday 13 May
Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Monday 14 May
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.

Sticky: Rainy, grey skies and very small Saturday

Posted by: on March 17th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Good morning to roll over and get a bit more sleep. At first light, the skies were grey and it was raining lightly. Not much wind to speak of, but the morning forecast is calling a southerly to come through the joint.

Swell out at the MHL buoy off Sydney was registering about a metre from the SE at maybe 6 seconds apart. That’s not good for much of anything. Once the southerly settles in, it should come up but of course there’ll be only a few places with anything resembling a surfable lump.

The southerly is expected to carry on through tomorrow and then on Monday it’s supposed to go SE. Oh joy.

Right now it’s looking like a weekend that will require all your reserves of keeness to get you in the water.

Longer range, the swell predictions are pointing at a potentially interesting east pulse around Wed-Thr., so at least we have something to look forward to!

Go well with your Saturday.

TIDES: L @1150 H @1755

Weather Situation
Sydney area
Cloudy. Areas of rain in the morning, easing around midday. Possible showers during the afternoon. The chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Winds south to southwesterly averaging up to 25 km/h becoming southerly up to 30 km/h around midday.
Marine:
A cold front moving across the southern Tasman Sea will bring a gusty southerly change to the Illawarra and Sydney coast this morning, and the Macquarie coast in the afternoon on Saturday. Fresh north to northeasterly winds are expected over most waters ahead of this change.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms this morning and afternoon.
Sunday 18 March
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Monday 19 March
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.

Sticky: Hang in there, this can’t go on forever

Posted by: on October 28th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Probably the less said about this morning at Dee Why, the better. Only a weak little metre of south windswell getting knocked about by an unfriendly and steady SSE wind of 15-2kts is getting into the place. Throw in a high tide at around 1120 and gloomy skies and you’re looking at another day t test a surfer’s resolve. It looks likely that the surf conditions will continue in this direction through the day.

Outlook for the next few days is still about where it was yesterday, ie marginal. The dominant swell direction is set to move more to the east today and then to pretty much stay that way over the coming week. Average periods are expected to bounce around in the 7-8 second range with wave heights at best exposed spots bumping about in the metre range give or take a bit.

At this stage it looks as though we might get some fun morning waves (waist to chest plus) early next week. The overall pattern showing in the long range forecasts is for a generally east windswell regime across next week in Sydney. Here’s hoping…

Go well with your day!

Weather Situation

A trough and associated weak southerly change lies on the Mid North Coast and will move further north today. A high near Tasmania will move into the Southern Tasman Sea today and extend a ridge northwards along the NSW coast. By Friday winds will turn north to northeasterly along the coast, strengthening in the south later.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northeasterly and light increasing to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly 1 metre
-Commonwealth of Australia 2010, Bureau of Meteorology

.

Sticky: dept of screeching halt

Posted by: on July 15th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Ah the wonders of the internet. Your correspondent may be far from the sea, but a quick check of the MHL data reveals that the microscopic conditions must be back again. In the space of around 12 hours, the average period dropped from around the 12 second mark to maybe six. The height of the swell at sea didn’t really change much at all, having never climbed much above a metre. So, when I looked at Rob and Matt’s reports this morning, I wasn’t too surprised. The Bureau’s hoisted a gale warning for strong SW winds today. They’re expected to last through tomorrow, but if the wave forecast models are right, there could be some south swell energy for tomorrow. Again, it looks like being a relatively short pulse ahead of another longish spell of small to flat conditions. Winter seems to be winding down a little early if you ask me. Our swell pulses are getting further apart and smaller…

Anyway, have yourself a top old day and go well with your plans!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale Warning
Thursday until midnight: Wind: West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching 35 knots offshore, tending south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, reaching 3.5 metres offshore.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres late in the evening. Chance of isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday: Wind: South to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots around dawn then tending southerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending northwesterly during the afternoon. Winds northerly up to 15 knots during the evening.

Sticky: Rainy

Posted by: on December 28th, 2009

Hello Friends,

As I write this the weather radar shows another band of showers approaching Sydney. Not the greatest day to be looking for a wave. And, from the look of the buoy data, not a day when you’d find much of anything anyway. The wind swell is coming mainly from the SE at about a metre at 6 seconds apart. Those numbers say that it’s just about flat, and with the rain and general gloom, I’d guess there won’t be too many boards making it to the water today.

Outlook for the next week appears little changed from yesterday’s prognosis – ie another 7 days of more or less the same thing.

Ah well. Have yourself a great day anyway!

Synoptic Situation
A trough of low pressure is expected to remain in the vicinity of Seal Rocks until late Monday, maintaining north to northeast winds about the Mid North and Far North coasts and south to southeast winds about the Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra and South coasts. The trough will progress further north later on Monday and Tuesday, extending southerly winds to the Far North coast. A high pressure system moving into the Tasman Sea on Wednesday will result in an east to northeasterly airstream.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: SW/SE 10/15 knots freshening S/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: SE/NE 10/20 knots.

The WRL cam shows just about nothin' at Gardens around 0800 this morning.

Posted by: on April 26th, 2009
Wave(-let) of the day sweeps in around 1500 at N. Narrabeen.

Wave(-let) of the day sweeps in around 1500 at N. Narrabeen.

Hello Friends,

Found myself up at Warriewood with a camera, so I dropped by the Narrabeen to Collaroy stretch. There was a tiny little peak just off the beach near the alley, then another couple south from carparks. To describe the activity on those peaks as surfing would be a somewhat generous expansion of the usual meaning. Looked like the best shot was to prone them in.

From the look of the charts, it could be 48 hours or so before the swell comes back. It looks like small to medium south swell once it does. General outlook right now seems to be for Sydney to have nearly flat conditions through Tuesday arvo and then to get two or three days of generally south swell.

Here’s the Bureau’s call:

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale Warning.
Sunday until midnight: Wind: NW 25/33 knots, increasing to 30/40 knots during the morning, particularly offshore and tending W/NW. Sea: 2 to 3 metres, rising to 3 to 4 metres offshore. Swell: E/SE 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing.
Monday: Wind: W 20/30 knots, easing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: 2 to 3 metres abating to 1 to 2 metres. Swell: tending S/SW 2 to 3 metres
Tuesday: Wind: W/SW 15/25 knots.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin