"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Afternoon update: continuing marginal

Hello Friends,

Had to run an errand this afternoon. It took me past Warriewood, Northy, etc and I can report that it’s still pretty ordinary – but not absolutely flat.

The latest MHL data shows that the bulk of our 8 sec period windswell is coming from the SE and is about 1.5 metres on average out at sea. There is some 9 sec component in there as well, and I have an idea it’s that stuff that is pushing up the occasional chest high wave face.

At 1600, the automatic weather stations along the beaches were showing ESE wind at 10-15 kts. Not a great direction really. Wherever it’s big enough to consider for a surf, it’ll also be wearing that onshore.  Plus, the short period of the windswell insures that waves will be really gutless. I’d be thinking mal or fishy rather than a highly tuned shortboard.

Here’s the Bureau’s latest call for the Sydney region coastline:

Wednesday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots at times. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: S/SE about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots, easing to 10/15 knots later.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: SE 5/15 knots, turning NE 10/20 knots later.
Saturday: Wind: NW/NE winds 5/15 knots. Late S/SW change 10/20 knots.

The various riffs on WAM data are all showing much the same outlook for the next week. We can expect it to be pretty small most of the time, but not to quite go flat. There is, at least according to buoyweather, the prospect of a little uptick on Friday. .. hope they’re right!

Don twitters as mr_realsurf