"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Looks flat from here

Hello Friends,

Well, as expected, it was really very small this morning as the sun rose on 1 July 2010 in Sydney. The MHL buoy is showing just half a metre of 8 second period south swell. From the look of the other swell buoy data along the coast, the flatness prevails from Eden to the Tweed.

If the forecast models have it right, we’re in for at least a couple days of abject flatness, before a possible return of small waves at south swell spots for the mornings this weekend.

Yesterday I was looking at some of the models and seeing hopes for a brief long period pulse early next week. The blip is still showing on some interpretations of the data, but it’s being downgraded and abbreviated. Timing is always uncertain in these things, but the latest estimates have swell peaking in the head high plus range during the night time hours Monday.

With luck the Goat will have time to examine the entrails for us later today and maybe he’ll see something I can’t…

Go well with your day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots around midday.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly during the evening.
Friday: Wind: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending southerly about 1 metre from the morning.
Saturday: Wind: West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots becoming southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.