You may have noticed that we don’t exactly have beach weather this morning. Cloudy skies, the odd light shower drifting down on the steady SSW wind and no obvious sign of swell. The MHL buoy reports a couple metres of south swell at just 7 seconds apart, but as you can see from the photograph (very grainy because the light levels were so low), there’s really nothing much showing.
The general outlook over the next few days is pretty ordinary. It looks from the models as though we’re unlikely to see much of any improvement until we get toward the middle of the week. And even then, while the swell should push up from the east, there’s likely to be a fair amount of east to ESE wind with it.
If I had to pick a day for the coming week, I’d go for Thursday morning before the wind kicks in again. But that’s a fair way off, so I reserve the right to change my advice as the week goes along!
Have yourself a top old day and get up to some good on the way through.
TIDES: L @0900, H @1540
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 18/23 knots, turning E/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon or evening. Sea: about 2 metres, abating to about 1.5 metres.Swell: SE about 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Sunday: Wind: NE 15/20 knots.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE 10/20 knots.
Another day of grey skies and near flat conditions. The latest data from the MHL Sydney buoy is showing as a metre of SE windswell with a gutless 6 sec average period. Suits yours truly, because I’m doing the photographic editor thing in Melbourne today and tomorrow. Tennis tonight, so that should be very cool (I’m a bit of a fan).
Grabbed a shot of the south Narra stretch from the WRL cams. Looks as surfable as Pt Phillip Bay.
The semi-good news is that we should see reasonable size east swell starting to develop from late Sunday onward. It doesn’t look to be all time though. Indeed, it may be pretty junky because it looks set to arrive along with the steady easterlies that will create it. Not too many clean options when the wind’s out of the east…
In the meantime, enjoy your day and go well with your plans!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots freshening to NE 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.
Friday: Wind: NW/NE 10/15 knots tending S/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: E/SE 10/20 knots.
Leisurely start for your correspondent this morning and it seems I haven’t missed much – at least where Dee Why’s concerned. Yesterday arvo I joined the crowds near No Man’s and though it was small, I managed to get quite a grovellers in the waist high range. There was some 12 second stuff in the mix then, but this morning it’s gone, plus the swell heights have dropped a touch and the primary direction is getting close to east.
The expected southerly change has just arrived and the wind’s now racked around and picked up to 15-20 kts.
Tide’s just gone high as I write this and from the look of the folks in the water at Dee Why, you’re going to need a rescue board or longer to catch anything much. Plus, I think you’re going to have to walk a fair distance to get to the sand as the carpark is practically spilling into the lagoon this morning.
Outlook is for this afternoon to be pretty much as it is now – ie near flat. There might possibly be a little bump in the semi-protected east exposed corners.
Monday and Tuesday look set to be dominated by SW winds and a small but gradually rising SE swell. The models are looking a bit more optimistic for the middle of the week than they were a day or two ago. It currently appears that we could have something into the interesting range from late Tuesday through (maybe) Thursday early. The models are showing 2 metres dead south at 11 seconds, so it’s not likely to be big, but some spots could be into the head high range.
Here’s hoping…
Go well with your day and stay happy!
Tides: H @1020, L @1700
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: NW 15/20 knots, ahead of a S’ly change 20/25 knots in the morning. Easing to S/SE 15/20 knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/SE increasing 1.5 to 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Monday: Wind: S/SW 15/20 knots increasing to 25/33 knots in the afternoon. Sea: about 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: S/SW 20/30 knots easing.
If you can find a wave in Sydney – or anywhere else on the east coast – then my hat’s off to you. Exactly as foretold in the forecasts, this morning finds about a metre of weak east windswell lapping our shores.
There were a couple bods in the water at Dee Why when I scoped it a little after 0700. The only person I saw propelled forward by a wave was a person splashing purposefully about in a kayak.
I’m thinking that it might be a day to break out the mask and flippers rather than the board.
Go well with whatever is on the agenda for you today, and stay happy!
Tides: L @1113 and H @1704
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: SW 15/20 knots increasing to 20/25 knots during the morning then turning SE 20/25 knots during the afternoon before easing to 10/15 knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning and abating to 1 to 1.5 metres in the evening.Swell: NE about 1 metre, turning S/SE 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: NW/NE 5/10 knots gradually increasing to N/NE 20/25 knots by late afternoon.Sea: below 1 metre rising to 2 to 2.5 metres. Swell: S/SE about 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: S/SE 10/20 knots.
A chance of early showers this morning, but it’s due to fine up later. The latest buoy data is showing a 6 second period south windswell pushing weakly in to our shores. It’s almost two metres out at sea, but it’d be doing exceptionally well to be half that size at the exposed stretches. Of course those exposed spots will also be copping the 10-15 kts of south wind as well, so a very high level of keenness is required this morning.
The models are bouncing around a bit, but for the fourth day running, they’re showing a roughly 72-96 hour run of south swell with 10+ sec periods. Heights at sea may not push much above 2 metres, but with that energy setting, we should be looking at juicy and overhead sets at places that like the predicted S-SSE swell direction. Good to have some real waves in prospect after such a run of miserable smallness.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: S 20/25 knots easing to S/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon and to 10/15 knots in the evening. Sea: about 2 metres abating to 1 to 1.5 metres later.Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: Variable to 10 knots tending NE 10/20 knots. Sea: rising to 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: NW/NE 5/15 knots tending S/SE 10/20 knots early.
12 November gets underway in Sydney, but where's Huey?
Hello Friends,
Another lovely morning for Sydneysiders. Pleasant touch of cool as the day got started. Skies were clear and winds were light. Swell is coming from the SE at about 8-10 seconds apart. Sounds like the perfect combo eh? Sadly, the average size of the swell at sea is maybe 0.5-0.75 of a metre and that means it’s just about flat. I suppose you might possibly find a little mal-able bump at the most perfectly exposed stretches of beach, but being realistic, this is looking like a good day to pass on a surf hunt in Sydney.
My reading of the models is that we could possibly get a slight uptick into the barely surfable range tomorrow, but then it seems set to drop back on Saturday-Sunday. I’m not sure if the Goat will feel well enough to examine the entrails today, so I’ll kinda step on to his patch to just give you a heads up re early next week.
The WAM data has been bouncing around, but in the latest run for our part of the world, the super computers are showing a pretty broad area of high seas extending from the deep southern ocean into the lower extent of the Tasman this weekend. If it comes to pass, we could possibly see some solid long period south swell as early as late Sunday, but more likely by Monday afternoon.
Right now, the wind call is for offshores on Monday, swinging southerly, but not going too hard, on Tuesday. The models are talking a couple metres of south swell at a very punchy 15 seconds. Here’s hoping!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots tending NE in the afternoon and freshening to 15/20 knots ahead of a S’ly change 20/25 knots in the evening. Sea: 1 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres after the change.Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Chance evening thunderstorm.
Friday: Wind: S 15/25 knots tending SE and easing to 10/15 knots later. Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres, abating to 1 to 1.5 metres later. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.
Your correspondent is off on a bit of an adventure this morning, so I’ll keep it brief for now. Situation is pretty much what you’d expect when the windswell is from the E-ENE at about a metre with a power setting of 7 seconds. Dire is the word. No one was in the water at Dee Why just before 0600.
My adventure? I’m heading to the wilds of Taylor Square on a jury summons. My first since becoming a citizen of this fair land a few years ago. I’ll have the netbook with me, so it may be possible for me to elaborate this report with some thoughts about the prospects later on today.
A tiny line is appearing along Dee Why beach every now and then this morning. It is very small and for the most part unsurfable, but the bigger ones are just nudging into the catchable range for the properly equipped surfing person. And it is a corker of a morning too.
The MHL buoys for NSW are telling pretty much the same story up and down our coast, namely that nowhere are average swell heights above a metre. That being the case, I wouldn’t expect any immediate change to our circumstances in Sydney.
However…
The models have been swinging about late winter style but over the last few days they’ve become consistently optimistic about the start of next week. The current reading is pointing toward a run of solid east swell beginning around Monday morning. Not the perfect swell direction for our little stretch of coastline, but if the calls for 2-3 metres at 10-12sec come to pass, I’m sure we’ll figure out ways to make do.
Go well with your day!
Tide: High 0827, Low 1400
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: W/NW to 10 knots, tending N/NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon and freshening to 15/20 knots later. Sea: less than 1 metre, rising to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon and evening.Swell: E/SE less than 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: NW 15/20 knots, reaching 20/25 knots ahead of SW change 25/35 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to about 3 metres in the afternoon and evening. Swell: NE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: S/SW 25/35 knots easing.
Still going sideways where the lack of surf’s concerned. Another beautiful morning with clear skies and a faint offshore breeze. But there’s not much more than a metre of 6s period windswell out at sea, so absolutely nothing is getting into Dee Why. There is no real prospect of improvement for today that I can see (please feel free to prove me wrong Huey!) and from the MHL buoy data, it looks as though these dire conditions prevail up and down the east coast.
The WAMs are currently showing a relatively large area of fetch developing south of Tassie in the next day or so. On current reckoning it looks as though the brunt of the energy is going to push up along the west coast of NZ. However, they also seem to be indicating that we could benefit to a modest extent thanks to some very long period component that’s expected to arise. It’ll mostly be offshore from the look of things, and it’ll probably hit harder north of Sydney, but I’m hoping for some juicy chest high plus south swell from around Thursday and lasting into the early part of the weekend.
The models are really jumping around day to day, so my confidence level is moderate rather than high at this stage.
Have yourself a brilliant Tuesday!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: W/SW 13/18 knots easing to 10/15 knots during the morning before W/SW 13/18 knots in the eveningSea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S about 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: W/SW 8/13 knots inshore, 13/18 knots offshore.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S/SW about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: S/SW 5/15 knots tending NE inshore in afternoon.
Good day for a stroll along the beach and maybe a coffee later.
Hello Friends,
Beautiful morning out there, shame about the complete absence of waves. Just the tiniest rime of foam along the rocks at Dee Why point and no visible line coming into the beach.
Outlook for the next few days remains about the same for Sydney (ie flat), but the models are still showing some hope for a surf in the latter half of the week. The predictions are swinging around a fair amount though, so my confidence level for good waves is still “cautious”.
While it was small to flat here, it went pretty solid in California (thanks for the updates and pics Doug!). Apparently the Wedge was in dangerous form. Just had a look at the surfline camera now, and didn’t see anything huge in my allotted 30 seconds.
Good day for hoeing into the work, so enjoy and go well!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: W/SW 15/20 knots, reaching 20/25 knots at times chiefly offshore. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Tuesday: Wind: W/SW 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots at times chiefly offshore. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: W/SW 10/20 knots.
