"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Small south swell showing Saturday

Hello Friends,

The Goat called it. This morning looks like being about as clean and good as it gets for the next few days. It’s another win for you early risers because with a high tide arriving late this morning, the little 1.5 metre, 10 second south swell may be swamped out of existence most places before long.

On the good side, the Bureau says winds should be light through to early afternoon, and the buoy data from down the coast suggests that this morning’s energy levels could last through to this afternoon. Although it didn’t exactly look threatening as Saturday got started, the forecast is calling for an 80% chance of scattered showers, with the possibility of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.

This morning’s forecast foretells southerly conditions right through to the middle of next week. As the wind picks up overnight into Sunday, the swell should come up. Some of the modelling is showing 8-9 second south swell into the 3+ metre range, so there is a possibility that you could find something surfable in very protected south corners. But the open stretches will be a windblown mess through to Wednesday.

So get out there if you can and enjoy!

TIDES: H @1045, L @1730

Weather Situation

A low to the east of Tasmania is moving slowly towards New Zealand, and a trough lies over central inland New South Wales. A low will develop within this trough as the system moves to the state’s east early today. This low is expected to cross the central coast late today then deepen further offshore from the north coast on Sunday, before moving rapidly away to the northeast. Behind this system, a high is expected to move towards Tasmania extending a ridge across southeast Australia.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots becoming light around midday then tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore, extending throughout from the late morning.

Sunday 2 October

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around dawn.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms until afternoon, mainly offshore.

Monday 3 October

Winds

Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the morning.

Seas

Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.

Swell

Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.