Hello Friends,
Swell’s faded in line with expectations. There are still a few knee to waist plusses in the Dee Why shories, but the point’s pretty much been turned off for now. Surface conditions were glassy around 0700. The MHL site wasn’t reachable at report writing time, but the Bureau’s forecast of a metre of swell from the SE looks about right to me. Wind’s due to go NE at 10-15 kts and our next tide is a low at around 1110.
The Bureau’s swell modelling projects a dropping trend for the energy levels from around midday and lasting until sometime on Saturday when a juicy SE swell regime looks like setting up shop for a few days. Wind on Saturday is supposed to be out of the westerly quarters, so things could be interesting. Right now there is general consistency amongst the models that we are looking at a run of 4-5 days of pulsey and generally SE swell. The big question will be what happens with the wind… some variety among the projections on that front with at least one saying strong southerlies and others calling for strong SW. Wonder what the Goat’ll say…
Have yourself a top old Thursday – and stay happy!
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Thursday 10 April 2014.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into northeast New South Wales, while a broad trough lies near the western border. The high is forecast to weaken during Thursday as the trough tracks slowly east. A low developing within this trough is expected to deepen when it reaches the coast near the Victorian border during Friday, and should then become slow-moving through the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Friday 11 April
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the late morning.
Saturday 12 April
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
