"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Another morning in the holding pattern

Hello Friends,

Sadly, as expected the surf prospects are minimal this morning in Sydney. The MHL buoy is showing less than a metre of 6-second period NE wind bump. But… the BoM and the models are telling us that change is on the way.

This afternoon the wind’s going to go NE again and get up into the 15-25 kt range and the wind will carry on strongly overnight and into tomorrow morning. That should mean something in the surfable range for NE wind swell spots. Around midday a south change is due through, so there may possibly be a few NE wind swell options in south corners.

But from Tuesday onward, the energy levels look like ramping significantly. Unfortunately, the wind’ll be a dominant factor and so surf options could be severely limited – as is usual with big southerly blows. Wednesday looks like being very windy too, but there is a slight hope that as the primary direction goes more SW, some options may open up for us. By Thursday the swell should have dropped back into the 2-3 metre range from the south and the wind in the morning should be SW and not going too hard. Friday’s looking similarly hopeful for the early.

Looks like an interesting week ahead, so have yourself a great Sunday and keep on smilin’

dee why point
Nothing happening on the surf front.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, resulting in generally northerly winds along the coast. Winds will strengthen in most areas later today as a trough and developing cold front approach from the west. This system is expected to deliver a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Monday, with winds likely to further intensify on Tuesday as a low centre deepens offshore.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots inshore at first, otherwise northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 13 October

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning before a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots around the middle of the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, chiefly in the afternoon.

Tuesday 14 October

Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots increasing to 30 to 40 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.