Hello Friends,
Light S to SSE wind and drizzling skies at Dee Why around 0700 and tide was just starting to come back in to the next high at 1230. An hour earlier, the MHL buoy was showing 2m of 8-sec south wind swell and, as you can see from the pics, when I looked at it for the first time waves appeared to be very slightly bigger than this time yesterday. So figure knee to waist range on the bigger ones. It’s interesting that the Bureau has issued a caution for deceptively powerful surf conditions this morning.
The MHL’s model projects the potential for slightly bigger conditions across the middle part of the day. That’s generally in line with most of the other predictions, so I’d say if you could find a chest high wave face at a south magnet, you’d be doing well. Unfortunately the incoming tide will be a factor and more than that, there’s the little issue of the expected 15-20 kts of southerly.
Outlook for tomorrow is more southerly wind in the morning and a steadily weakening south swell.
Beyond that the general consensus amongst the predictions is pointing to a marginal to tiny weekend with a hope for slightly better conditions next week in terms of swell. The very long range guesstimates are showing the slightly improving trend to maintain across next week, but at this stage there aren’t any big pulses in prospect.
Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!
Weather Situation
A southerly flow over the waters will weaken today as a high pressure system slowly moves over the Tasman Sea over the next few days. Winds are expected to gradually turn southeast to northeasterly. The next change is expected to reach the south coast on Saturday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre later this evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 13 April
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 14 April
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
