Hello Friends,
Cool start with sunny skies and 15-25 kts of westerly – and not a hint of swell.
However… the Bureau tells us to expect some south energy to start making itself felt from around mddday. Looking at the buoy data from the MHL, we can see Sydney was picking up a metre of 7-second south bump at 0500.
Unfortunately the Batemans Bay and Eden buoys are offline, so there’s no direct way to check what’s happening with the energy levels where the predicted swell’s coming from. But if the forecast models have it right, there’s really not much to get hopeful about surf prospects later today.
Tomorrow’s maybe a little more hopeful, but the aforesaid models are all saying things will get energetic on Thursday as a south change belts through. So, Friday morning’s still looking the best hope for a decent wave.
Have a great Tuesday everybody!
Weather Situation
A strong cold front over northeastern New South Wales is moving east and will clear the state this morning. Northerly winds ahead of the front will shift south to southwesterly as the front moves up northern parts of the coast this morning. Meanwhile, a strong high pressure system is slowly move eastward across the Bight and will maintaining generally southerly winds along the New South Wales coast for the remainder of today. On Wednesday, winds may briefly turn northeasterly ahead of the next front, which is expected to arrive late Wednesday and Thursday. This second front will bring strong south to southwesterly winds to the entire coast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds turning south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 12 October
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly in the afternoon ahead of a southwesterly change 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
About 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore at night.
Thursday 13 October
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning southerly 25 to 35 knots during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
