Very small Monday

Posted by: on October 30th, 2017

Hello Friends,

Headed for a hot day before a gusty southerly change late this afternoon. In the meantime we should see northerly wind springing up over the next few hours. As you can see from the pictures, there’s no hint of a wave at the Dee Why end of the beach. A quick scan of the cams along the beaches confirms that everywhere is pretty much in the same situation. And it’s highly likely the micro conditions will last all day.
Once the southerly comes through we can expect the swell to start filling in. The models which had looked so-so yesterday are now predicting around 3 metres of south energy by tomorrow afternoon. Wind outlook isn’t great for the morning, but by late afternoon we could see the southerly swinging more SW, in which case there could be waves at the point. The SW’ly flow looks like continuing through Wednesday and the Bureau’s modelling is joining in with the others to predict 3-4 metres of south energy. Could be interesting!
In the meantime, have a great Monday and fingers crossed for a midweek pulse.

Little rime of whitewater along the rocks at the point, but no waves as of 0730

Up the beach… no waves to be seen

Weather Situation
A front will bring a strong and gusty southerly change to the southern coast this morning, continuing through central areas in the afternoon and evening, before reaching the Queensland border early Tuesday. This system is expected to spawn a deep low pressure circulation over the western Tasman Sea during Tuesday. In combination with a high developing over the Bight, this looks set to maintain fresh to strong southerly winds over most waters through much of the week, with the potential to generate large seas.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Northerly 15 to 20 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 25 to 35 knots in the late afternoon or early evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres in the evening.
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Sunny morning. 40% chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.
Tuesday 31 October
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning.
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Wednesday 1 November
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the evening.
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

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