The Goat’s Surf Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 April 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Fabulous weather for ANZAC Day and great to see ever increasing numbers taking a little time out of such a beaut day to pay their respects for those who’ve served their country at Dawn Services and later Commemorations…

Water temp is a very pleasant 23 ish – great for a swim before or after, but not so great fro a surf with very small to nothing conditions.

Tomorrow morning expect something similar first off, then not a lot resulting from a SW change.  Coming up a little through the week – not a lot – at places that are open to dead South, but quality may not be all that great.

Friday: similar to Thursday at first then even more ordinary

Saturday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places only

Sunday: a lot of due South in it so could be going straight past.. 1-2 metres

Monday: 1-2 metre range dead South, with some sets

Tuesday: 1-2 metre range  South East with more getting in

Wednesday: going down to around 1 metre or so East

Thursday: down more 1 metre or less East.

There you go.

TG

Up in the Sky

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23ish ..very pleasant

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the BoM

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	17	27
	Penrith	15	28
	Liverpool	14	27
	Terrey Hills	15	26
	Richmond	14	28
	Parramatta	14	27
	Campbelltown	13	26
	Bondi	18	26

Fine and waveless for Anzac Day

Hello Friends,

A perfect morning for the Anzac ceremonies in Sydney. Wind was coming faintly from the west before 0800. The MHL buoy was seeing 0.8 of a metre from the east at 9 seconds apart. As the pictures show, the consequence at Dee Why was smooth but flat conditions.

The forecast says we can expect sunny conditions all day as we go to a high of 25. The ocean is 21C according to Beacthwatch and all beaches are suitable for swimming. Tide was low at 0705 and will hit a moderate 1.24 m high at 1300.

The Goat should be along later with an outlook for the week ahead. I hope he sees something encouraging because it’s been a dire start to autumn after an equally dire summer. We’re all getting lots of practice on tiny waves and it’d be nice to have something more challenging…

Go well with your Thursday!

Micro at Dee Why

Smooth sea 0730 

Beautiful morning but not if you want a wave

Hello Friends,

Home again for a few days, and hoping for a wave like everyone else, but it looks like we’re outta luck. Ocean at Dee Why looks to be ankle to knee high – on the bigger ones. Swell is about a metre from the east at 8-9 seconds. Wind’s out of the WNW as of 0830, but it should go around to the NE soon.

Be interestng to see what the Goat says about our prospects for the coming week. His words of wisdom should be up by this evening.

Have a top old day, and if you go looking for surf, may you find more than I’m seeing right now!

Tiny wavelet peels into the beach at 0800

Dee Why basking waveless in the sun 

On the way home

Hello Friends,

Stopped in Batemans Bay and got up to find the weather clearing but no sign of any surf prospects. Headed north and checked Golf Course/Mollymook (see below), then Bendalong. No waves at the former, and small but starting to blow out at the latter. Given wind and swell combo decided to check in at Shallows. Haven’t been there this century, so it’s changed a fair amount around there since. Like the farm, it’s getting carpeted with development. But the break’s the same and it woulda been good if we had even 50cm more swell. But we didn’t. So off home again…

Shallows

Shallows: soft sets every 10 mins or so

Bendalong getting chewed by the wind

Path

Golf Course Reef too tiny to surf

on the road, heading east

Hello Friends,

Light NE breeze as of 0700 in Sydney this Monday morning. The latest MHL data shows 1.4 metres of east swell at just under 10 seconds apart. Looking at various cams around Sydney this morning reveals that those numbers are translating into smoothish, but weak and lumpy little knee to waist high plus waves around the place. Stretches best aligned to the swell direction are seeing the occasional chest high face on take off. Not the greatest conditions, but you could get wet.

Tide is coming into a 1.5 metre high at 1030 this morning. Should be a mostly fine day with a high of 26. According to Beachwatch, the current water temp is a pleasant 21C.

Tomorrow should be showery with more of the current marginal bump. The just-surfable conditions should persist through the middle of the week, but the trend is gradually downward. The latest long range projections show it staying small through into next week.

In grey Gippsland this morning, about to roll east toward the coast, leaving Vicco behind. Just checked the situation at Bells and it seems there’s just enough swell for them to start throwing some heats in the water. Judging from the cams along that coast, it’s in the waist plus range, a bit sideshore and bumpy. Latest swell forecast is showing some hope for a bit more size in the Torquay surf zone late in the week.

Hope to have a postcard to share later today… so check back later and have a top old Monday!

Postcards from Phillip Island

From today, an hour after the swell started filling in and a couple hours before the sky clouded over as the front arrived…

Phillip Island reef

Woolami set lines

Woolami

Woolami

Woolami

Woolami

Smiths

Smiths

Postcards from Vicco

Hello Friends,
Actually got some small waves at 13th Beach yesterday. Water about 18 too, so not bad in a springy.

Summery weather at micro Bells

Winkipop set

Traveller self portrait at Winkipop

13th Beach

Eastern end 13th Beach

Moon popping out of building in Melbourne last night

Climate change in action. Around 10 degrees above normal

Should be a little wave this morning

Hello Friends,

Looking like another sunny day down here in Melbourne. Sadly the swell models earlier this week were wildly off the mark and we’ve just learned that the Bells contest is having another lay day. They could use the conditions you’re seeing in Sydney. Speaking of which, there should be a few fun waist to chest plusses at east-optimal spots today – ie, pretty much everywhere in the Sydney region. The cleanest conditions will be early when the full tide will also be a factor. As of 0630 wind along the beaches of Sydney was coming lightly from the west. It should stay light for the early session but gradually come around to the E-NE by lunch time. As of 0500 the MHL buoy was detecting 1.3 metres of 10-second swell from the E by ESE. That means it’s at about the same intensity as yesterday evening, but not as big, or south as Friday morning’s session.

The first tide of the daylight hours is a swampy 1.7 m high at 0850. That’ll drain away to 0.35 low at 1455.

Outlook is for wind to be more around to the NE tomorrow and Monday and for the swell energy to fade somewhat. Tomorrow morning could be fun for the early (tide not withstanding), but probably a little smaller than today.

The new week looks small and fading toward tinyness by Friday. But then, if the models have it right, we could see a potentially solid south swell event around Saturday.

We’re planning to drive down to Bells later today, so I may have a postcard or two to share…

Saturday getting started in Melbourne…

Weather Situation

Looking micro in Sydney

Hello Friends,

Greetings from country Victoria where your correspondent is currently heading south to Bells. Should get there about midday, which will be when they make the call to start the day’s heats – or not. If possible I’ll post some pictures.

As for Sydney, the MHL buoy is showing 1.3 metre SSW wind bump at 7 seconds and the BoM says wind as of 0800 is light south. High tide is peaking at a swampy 1.8 metres. Wind should stay light and variable and apparent swell direction should be east – but gutless and tiny.

As for the outlook, well it’s Friday, so the Goat has rolled out a fresh forecast to have with your hot cross buns this morning!

Have a good Good Friday everybody.

Good Friday, Rutherglen 

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 18 April 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Beaut weather for the school hols.  Hope everyone’s having a good time… kids, mums and dads and others.

Whether you’re in Sydney or up the coast, where a lot of people seem to have gone, there looks like being waves of some sort everywhere for the coming week. Mostly medium to small from outta Easterlyish directions, but waves for a bit of fun nevertheless.

Surf outlook for Sydney:

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: ditto

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: similar but more South East

Wednesday: ditto East South East

Thursday: down a little say 1- 1+ metres from the East.

Have a Happy Easter.

And Remember the Diggers on Anzac Day.

TG.

Up in the Sky

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21, 22.

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	26
	Penrith	–	28
	Liverpool	–	27
	Terrey Hills	–	24
	Richmond	–	27
	Parramatta	–	27
	Campbelltown	–	27
	Bondi	–	24