"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Wild swell conditions this morning

Hello Friends,

Pretty crazy looking this morning at Dee Why thanks to 3 metres of 10-second ENE swell and light WNW wind. Definitely not the conditions for beginners or even most intermediates. You’ll need to be fit and experienced to even think about it. And then there’s the water. Yesterday I had an alert from Sydney water that there was a partial bypass at Warriewood, so it’s no surprise to see lots of ‘pollution likely’ and ‘pollution possible’ warnings from Beachwatch.

We’re heading to a summery 26C high today with a 70% of 6-10mm more rain. Ocean’s still on 19C and tide hits a 1.7 metre high at 0850 before dropping back to a low-ish 0.3m low at 1500.

From the forecast, it looks as though summer has turned up as the call is for a couple of mostly sunny days with highs to 27C. Swell should still be eastish and close to the 2 metre mark tomorrow. Thursday should be noticeably smaller as the swell drops and period decreases. Beyond that currently looks small and marginal at best. But the weather should be mostly sunny and warm.

Go well with your Tuesday – and know your limits!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand and a low pressure trough over inland New South Wales are combining to generate fresh north to northeasterly winds along the coast. Meanwhile, a low over the northern waters will move south during this evening and Tuesday, possibly bringing stronger winds and hazardous surf conditions.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending northwest to northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 26 October

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 27 October

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending westerly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.