"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Offshore and swell too

Hello Friends,

Nice conditions at 0700 with sunny skies, 5 to 7 kts of westerly breeze and 1.5 metres of 9-second east swell to play with. The first tide of the day was a deepish 1.87 m high at 0740, and as you can see from the pics, Dee Why was looking very full. The Bureau tells us to expect light SE wind this afternoon, so it might not be too much of a gamble to time your go-out to when the tide’s optimal for your favourite east swell spot. Oh, and it would be remiss of me not to point out that Beachwatch is rating water quality at all spots along the Sydney coastline as unsuitable for swimming. Much as I’d like to jump in, I’m going to skip the option of picking up a festering skin ulcer, or a nasty eye, ear or throat infection.

Sadly, we’re in for another week of showery weather from tomorrow when there’ll be an 80% chance of showers with possible rainfall amounts in the 2-10 mm range. Bleargh. We can’t be too surprised given that our dear planet’s atmosphere is now holding more water vapour than ever* thanks to our relentless insertion of ever more heat-trapping CO2 and methane.

Surfwise, it looks as though we could well have something to tempt us into chancing our health on most mornings for the coming week, and maybe beyond that.

Go well with your day!

*For every degree Celsius in warming, the water-holding capacity of the atmosphere increases by about 7%. Humanity’s carbon pollution has thus far raised temperature by more than 1 degree C.

Weather Situation

A trough of low pressure offshore of New South Wales is moving to the Tasman Sea this evening, and a weak ridge of high pressure will develop in its wake today. A cold front is forecast to clip the state’s southeast on Tuesday as a low deepens well offshore, bringing a burst of vigorous southerly winds to the coast and generating hazardous surf conditions. Following this, winds ares expected to gradually ease as a new ridge becomes established over southeast Australia during the second half of the week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming variable in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 9 April

Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots tending southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon, increasing to 3 to 4 metres offshore by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Wednesday 10 April

Winds
Southwesterly 30 to 40 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 3 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.