Hello Friends,

Dull and small around the place this morning. A 1.84 m high tide at 0710 and 15-20 kt SSE wind were doing a demolition job on the decaying south east wind swell. I didn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why, nor on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch. Swell at sea is fading and as of first light was at around the 2 metre mark out at sea with an average period of 8 seconds.

The swell models are still showing a long period pulse hitting tomorrow, but the wind forecast is not looking good. The SE’ly is set to carry on through Thursday evening. It may tail off, so there could possibly be something marginal toward the end of the day. Thereafter, the aforementioned models show us going back to micro conditions through the weekend – and beyond.

Hope your Wednesday is a good one.

Weather Situation
A cold front lies over the far north coast and a high pressure system is located in the Bight. This high will move over the southern Tasman Sea during the day establishing an onshore airstream. A trough extends southwards from Queensland into northern NSW. Another frontal system and associated trough move into southwest NSW later on Friday before moving across the state over the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Thursday 27 October
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.
Friday 28 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending easterly during the afternoon then tending northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Not too fabulous looking this morning. There’s a short period little NE windswell flapping lightly as moth’s wing against the coast. The big ones are around waist high and you’re doing well if you can extract more than a couple turns before they fade away. Not much wind as the day got started, but the Bureau advises that it’ll be kicking up later and that it could be 20-25kts by evening. That being the case, we might get some fun ones at NE windswell spots toward dark.

From the shape of the swell models this morning, we’re probably going to have similar conditions again tomorrow, though if the wind goes hard enough, it should be a bit bigger.

Beyond that, the rune castings make for uninspiring reading. Basically it looks as though we’re in for little bumpy messy conditions until around Friday. As of this morning, the models are calling for a solid south swell to push in Friday night. The big question will be what Huey decides to do about the wind. At this stage it looks as though it could be walloped by strong onshores, so fingers crossed for a change to that particular setting…

Have yourself a great day!

TIDE: L @0740 and H @1420

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds

North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots by early evening.

Seas

1 to 2 metres.

Swell

Easterly 1 metre.

Tuesday 6 September

Winds

Northeast to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times offshore.

Seas

Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.

Swell

Easterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Had an errand this morning that allowed me to check out a few extra beaches for you. Started at the Warriewood lookout and can tell you that there were a grand total of four people in the water from there to Mona Vale. Waves were in the knee to waist high range and quite inconsistent. However the surface was glassy and the lines were clean, so it wasn’t without its attractions.

Whizzed by little Narrabeen but didn’t stop as no one seemed to be in the water. Next surf check was a couple blocks south of North Narrabeen so that I could see from one end of the beach to the other. There were maybe half a dozen in the water at Northy chasing infrequent waist high sets and something approaching that number way down the beach toward Marquesas – where it seemed to be equally small.

According to the MHL Sydney buoy, swell height and energy levels were little changed from yesterday afternoon – ie out of the south at about 12 seconds apart with an average height at sea of about 1.5m.

The forecast calls for the swell to fade slowly through the day. Tide’s low at about 1010 and high at 1650 or so. The low tide’s not exceptionally low and that means we’re looking at a degree of fatness that will only worsen once the tide turns.

Outlook is for the winds to stay generally out of the westerly quarters over the next three days and the swell should kind of hang in there at just above too small to surf – assuming you’re looking at a south swell spot.

Have yourself a great Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system over waters just southeast of the state is expected to move very slowly to the east/northeast and intensify on Wednesday and Thursday before moving away towards New Zealand on Friday. The exact position of the low remains uncertain though strong southwest to southerlies are likely to extend gradually northward along the coast from Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southwesterly 10 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore.
Wednesday 10 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 11 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly up to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.

Hello Friends,

Got up shortly after daybreak to see if the predicted swell had arrived. At first I was thinking it probably hadn’t. The MHL Sydney buoy wasn’t showing much difference in size over yesterday, but the period has kicked right up. And, when I first looked at it, Dee Why didn’t seem to have anything much above waist high – and even those waves were rare.

Had to run an errand around 0730, so took a look at the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch and grabbed a couple shots. It was very small, but while I watched a couple very distinct south sets pushed in. It wasn’t big or anything, but if you’d been in the spot at various banks north from about Wetherill Street, you might have jagged something. When I took a second look at Dee Why, it still looked small, but then a nice south set appeared. It broke well out from where people were sitting catching the little ones, so no one got on it. I reckon it might have had a wave face of about head high.

At 0800 the MHL Sydney buoy was showing a touch over a metre of SSE swell with peak and average periods on 12 seconds. The convergence of those values is generally a good indicator for quality swell. It’s much bigger down at Eden as I write this – around 3 metres on average. But Batemans Bay is still not quite at the two metre mark, so with any luck the swell will build through the day.

Got my fingers crossed for a wave or two and maybe a shooting sesh later…

Have yourself a good one!

Tides: L @0900, H @1545

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system over Victoria and Bass Strait lies within a broad trough covering most of New South Wales. The low is expected to move over the waters just southeast of the state during Monday, after this it is expected to move very slowly eastwards and intensify on Wednesday, before moving towards New Zealand on Thursday. The exact position of the low over the Tasman Sea remains uncertain. West to southwest airstream is expected to linger over New South Wales coastal waters, followed by strengthening southeasterlies developing from the south later in the week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Tuesday 9 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre late in the evening.
Wednesday 10 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.