Articles tagged with "19C"

Small and choppy at Dee Why

Posted by: on October 13th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Slightly cool NW wind and sunny skies as Monday got under way. The Bureau says there’s a 90% chance of rain later and that it’ll stay rainy for the next three days at least. We’re in for 20-30 kts of southerly later too, and strong south wind will be a feature for us across the next 3 days.

The blasting winds to come will drive up the seas pretty dramatically. Not much is expected to happen on that front today, but tomorrow the Bureau says they expect the swell energy to move from the NE to the E and to get into the 2-4 metre range. And on Wednesday it’s set to step up again as it swings SE and pushes into the 3-5 metre range. The wind is predicted to go more SW later in the day Wednesday and that may open up a few opportunities.

Our best window of opportunity looks to be around Thursday morning when the wind might briefly swing more westerly while the swell’s still around at some level of intensity.

So, enjoy the sunny skies because it looks as though they’re going away for a couple of days and here’s hoping we get a chance for a decent wave later in the week.

dy point

0715 at Dee Why

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea while a trough and cold front approaching from the west will deliver a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast today. A low centre developing within the trough is expected to move offshore and deepen during Tuesday, leading to a further intensification of winds about central areas. The stretch of coast between Ulladulla and Port Stephens appears most likely to see gales and very large seas, although there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact path the low will take. Conditions will gradually ease during the second half of the week as a strengthening high approaches from the west.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots inshore at first, otherwise northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 90% chance of rain, with a thunderstorm likely.

Tuesday 14 October

Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, increasing to 30 to 40 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, tending easterly 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 15 October

Winds
Southerly 30 to 40 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 35 knots during the day.
Seas
3 to 5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain, heavy at times in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Fun Sunday morning

Posted by: on October 5th, 2014

Hello Friends,

At 0700 the MHL buoy was showing 1.7 metres of SSE swell at 13 seconds. Water temp was sitting on 19 offshore and wind was NW at 4-6kkts. Tide was high at 0615 and will be all the way out at 1210.

Bureau says the wind should be northerly through the day before swinging S-SE late. Swell is expected to fade a little across the day, but with luck it won’t disappear.

As of 0900 Dee Why looked reasonably busy. People at the point were latching onto chest plus sets, while up the beach it looked to be a bit bigger. Surface conditions while not super smooth, were much better than yesterday.

While there should still be swell tomorrow morning, it looks as though the SE’r could be working it over. The wind should swing NE in the afternoon Monday which is unlikely to help much – although the Bureau says the swell should perk slightly, so maybe a north corner or two will come into play.

Longer range outlook is rather springish – ie, marginal for the most part. Right now it looks like maybe we’ll get a bit of activity for the morning sesh on Weds. Things look kinda quiet until late next weekend when, if the models have it right, an extensive and powerful souther ocean low could possibly send us something early in the following week. Maybe. Possibly…

Have yourself a top Sunday!

dee why point surfing

Not big, but not tiny at 0900

dee why beach surfing

Quality not stunning, but definitely do-able at 0900

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will move east, maintaining a northerly airstream over the coastal waters during the remainder of today and early on Sunday. A weak cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Sunday followed by northerlies returning and strengthening by the end of the day on Monday. A stronger cold front is expected to cross eastern New South Wales on Tuesday bringing another southerly change.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.

Monday 6 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting north to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.

Tuesday 7 October

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore in the morning and afternoon.

Windy with activity in the corners

Posted by: on October 1st, 2014

Hello Friends,

Strong SW wind this morning along with a short period but catchable little SSW wind swell under sunny skies. Sets at Dee Why were in the waist plus range and even though the tide was low at 0630, the waves looked pretty fat at 0700. I’d put that down to the 6-second average period and the SSW direction of the 2-metre wind swell. Not terribly crowded either.

The SW’ly is due to peak this morning and then to swing south after lunch. Sadly, the Bureau says it’ll be 15-25 kts after the change. So, you’d have to say surfing options will be most abundant early.

According to the Bureau, the wind should weaken overnight and be light southerly early tomorrow. Some of the prediction models are showing potentially good quality conditions at south magnet spots – assuming a longer period south pulse turns up.

The positive outlook for the Friday-Sunday timeframe continues on the aforesaid models. And Saturday morning is still being predicted to go off at south spots thanks to a thumping long-period pulse. Looking like a very good weekend for surf. And that ought to leave a smile on your dial!

Go well with your Wednesday one and all.

surfing at dee why point

Windy out at sea, but little line sneaking in at 0700

surfing at dee why beach

High tide flabbiness but catchable inside at 0700

Weather Situation

A cold front will bring a substantial southwesterly change to the northern half of the coast this morning, reaching far north in the early afternoon. A high pressure system will gradually drift over New South Wales following this front, with winds tending more easterly by the end of the week.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the morning. Winds turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

Thursday 2 October

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the morning. Winds tending southwesterly early in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.

Friday 3 October

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.

Marginal conditions but not flat for the early

Posted by: on September 27th, 2014

Hello Friends,

As expected, yesterday’s wind swell has faded overnight. Still, if you were up early and could deal with the fatness imposed by the run up to high tide at 1030, there were some bobbly waist plus sections to be caught at Dee Why. Swell was out of the SE. The MHL buoy off Sydney was registering 1.4 metres on average heights, and 2.7 metres on peaks at 0500. Problem was the typical period was just 7 seconds. Water temp out at the buoy was a whisker shy of 19 degrees. Wind was a light SW, but the Bureau says to expect 15-20 kts south across the middle of the day.

You’ll want to get in the water today because it’s looking pretty ho-hum energywise for the next couple of days at least. Tomorrow the Bureau says we’ll get summery NE’ly wind from around midday along with a small south wind swell. I’m guessing it’ll be marginal at best. And Monday/Tuesday are shaping to be flat (if the models are right). There could be a south pulse Weds, however the wind call is for southerly with it, so I’m not getting too excited at this stage.

The latest long range forecasts are bit all over the shop for the Weds-Fri timeframe. The more optimistic are showing fun-size (2 metres @9-10sec) south energy across the period. But others are punting on a decline from the Wednesday peak into the small (knee high) range at south spots for Thr-Fri. We shall see…

Get out there and get into it everyone!

dy beach surfing

Still a few set waves for the early sesh

dee why point

A moment later it faded out.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system centred east of Adelaide is extending a ridge across New South Wales, with southerly winds easing in the wake of a low pressure trough. This high will be the dominant feature in the region through the weekend as it drifts eastwards, bringing a return to northerly winds along much of the coast by Sunday. The next cold front is expected to deliver a southerly change to the southern coast during Monday, but is expected to decay as progresses northwards.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Sunday 28 September

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Monday 29 September

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots shifting south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.

Barely there

Posted by: on September 24th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Beautiful morning in Sydney but not much going on wavewise. Dee Why point was offline and the beachy was struggling to produce anything above knee high as the tide approached high at 0800. The MHL buoy was showing about a metre of 10-second period ESE swell. Winds were light and the surface conditions smooth, so it’d still be a nice morning for a paddle, even if you don’t have much prospect of an exciting wave.

The swell models have a springish tinge. Outlook for tomorrow is again marginal and although a short-period south pulse continues to appear in the cards for Friday, but so too does a wind forecast for strong southerlies. It looks like there might possibly be a slightly better wind outlook for Saturday, but there may only be a few tiny scraps of south wind swell to work with. Beyond that it appears we’ll have only tiny dribble until late next week – if then.

Keep on smilin’ and have yourself a top old day!

dee why beach surfing

Bomb set at 0645

dee why point

All’s quiet

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing east to northeasterly winds along the coast. Winds will become fresh to strong in most areas today as a low pressure trough approaches from the west. This trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Thursday, extending to the north coast early Friday. Another high is forecast to move in behind the trough later Friday and should remain the dominant feature in the region through the weekend, with winds gradually easing before shifting more northerly again.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Variable 5 to 10 knots inshore at first, otherwise north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots by evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Thursday 25 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots ahead of a southerly change 15 to 25 knots around the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Possible thunderstorms.

Friday 26 September

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Tuesday waves

Posted by: on July 8th, 2014

Hello Friends,

A brisk 9 degrees outside RealSurf  HQ as the day got started. Throw in 10 kts of westerly and you have a recipe for brrrr. On the other hand, the skies are blue and there’s 1.4 metres of SE swell at close to 11 seconds apart. Plus tide’s dropping to a low at 1010.

Dee Why isn’t amazingly consistent, but the beachy was producing chest plus sets as of 0730 and the point was periodically showing waist to chest high sets. Neither location was crowded, even though it’s school hols for many. Shows how off-putting that cold air is I guess.

From the shape of the models, it would seem we can look forward to these conditions being sustained all day – so no need, apart from the tide, to be in a rush.

Outlook is for the swell to fade back tomorrow, but then to bump back up to a similar level again for Thursday. I say “similar” because some interpretations of the data are showing not much of anything Thursday, while others are predicting solid overhead wave faces at many spots. So, I guess the prediction is nothing much to really good. 🙂

Yours truly won’t be getting in the way for another couple of weeks, so get one for me if you jump in the water today!

Some quick fun looking lefts

Some quick fun looking lefts

Crisp wave for a crisp morning

Crisp wave for a crisp morning

Somehow this escaped getting caught

Somehow this escaped getting caught

You'd be smiling

You’d be smiling

w

Weather Situation

A low pressure system is moving east/northeast over the central Tasman Sea, and is combining with a high pressure system over central Australia to direct a west to southwesterly airstream across New South Wales coastal waters. The high will move across northern NSW and into the northern Tasman Sea on Tuesday and gradually weaken, with winds along the coast tending north to northwesterly. A strong cold front will reach the New South Wales coast on Wednesday night/early Thursday morning, bringing strengthening northwest winds ahead of a gusty, strong to gale force westerly change on Wednesday to most waters.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning north to northwesterly in the late morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres around dawn.

Wednesday 9 July

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.

Thursday 10 July

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.

 

 

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