Articles tagged with "22C"

Faded to almost, but not quite, flat

Posted by: on March 19th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Very quiet this morning. Smooth seas and a faint line showing at the point and up the beach at Dee Why. Tide hits a 1.8m high at 0810, so what little we have is also struggling against too much water. There were one or two bods in the water along the beach at Dee Why and as the picture shows, one of them did get caught behind on a waist high set, so it’s not totally flat.

Longer range outlook has not brightened to any extent this morning. We’ve got a south change in prospect for tomorrow morning, but it doesn’t seem likely to produce much in the way of wave energy. Instead we’re probably going to get some very short period and choppy wind blown junk in the knee to waist range. I hope the Goat has something more hopeful in his outlook for the week ahead ’cause it’s looking paltry to me atm.

Gotta jam, so have yourself a top old Thursday one and all!

dy point

Faint line at the point 0730

dy beach wave

Caught behind on rare set

Weather Situation

A weak ridge of high pressure is over the Tasman Sea, a trough is over the northeast of the state and another weak ridge is over the inland. Southerly winds along the coast behind the trough are expected to tend northeasterly in the south during the day. The trough is expected to stall on the far north coast. A cold front moving northeast across the Southern Ocean is expected to reach the far south coast early Friday bringing a southerly change, which will then move along the coast during the day, reaching the far north early Saturday. A high moving through Bass Strait in the wake of the front should be over the southern Tasman Sea over the weekend. Southeast winds on Saturday will tend back to the northeast in the south later Saturday and over the remainder on Sunday as the high moves further east.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 20 March

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny day. 40% chance of showers in the evening.

Saturday 21 March

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Warm day ahead, small waves to start

Posted by: on March 18th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Again, very fat on the high tide for the modest morning crew at Dee Why beach and the point. The MHL buoy showed 1.5 metres of east swell at 12 seconds apart. It was a long wait between catchable ones at Dee Why when I first checked this morning. Set wave faces were in the waist to chest range at both the point and along the beach. Surface conditions were smooth though.

Wind was NE by 0800 and the Bureau says it’s going to build up into the 15-20kt range before fading back this evening. They also say that we should see easterly swell of 1.5-2 metres today, but it will fade overnight and be 1-1.5 metres from the NE tomorrow morning and then about a metre on Friday morning ahead of an afternoon south change.

Not looking real wonderful for the weekend. Right now it seems we can expect plenty of SE wind and a small SE wind bump for Saturday and then equally steady east wind on Sunday with equally marginal east wind bump.

The long range models are all looking very quiet for our corner of the world next week. If they’ve got it right, the best we can hope for will be little knee to waist high dribblers in the mornings.

Have yourself a great Wednesday and good luck with the wave hunt.

Tides: H @0715. L @1345

dy beach surfer

Bodyboarder gets a fun one at 0750

dy point surfer

Long, long wait for this one

dy beach

Another beachy wave

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge lies over the Tasman Sea, while a trough extends through inland New South Wales. Between these systems, north to northeasterly winds will be fresh to strong in most coastal areas today, before the trough brings a southerly change to the southern coast during the evening. The trough is expected to decay in the north during Thursday, with many areas seeing a return to northerly winds as a feeble high pressure system drifts across from the west. Another, stronger, trough and associated southerly change is forecast to affect the coast during Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore, tending east to northeasterly around 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres tending northeasterly by evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 19 March
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 20 March
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Not booming, but definitely up

Posted by: on March 17th, 2015

Hello Friends,

As the sun peeped over the horizon this morning it was clear that the swell had picked up overnight. Size at Dee Why point was into the waist to chest high range, while up the beach toward No Man’s, it seemed to be a touch bigger. The MHL buoy was recording close to 1.5 metres of 13-second ESE swell off Sydney as of 0500.
Wind was light early and the sea surface smooth, but the Bureau says it will come up from the NE and by this afternoon be into the 15-20 kt range.
The Bureau’s MetEye model shows the average height of swell at sea picking up today but only a little and then they project it fading back tomorrow. With any luck there’ll still be some fun ones though for Wednesday’s early. Beyond that, things don’t look too exciting. Thursday and Friday are shaping to be small to near flat but we might possibly see a tiny uptick for Saturday – unfortunately it looks like lots of SE wind too…
Enjoy the day one and all and hope you get something worthy!

Tides: H @0620 L @1300

dy point surfers

Small waves at the point, 0715

dy beach surfer

No Man’s set wave at 0715

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge lies over the western Tasman Sea, while a trough extends through central Australia from a low centred in the Bight. North to northeasterly winds will increase in most coastal areas today as the trough moves slowly east, bringing a southerly change to the southern coast on Wednesday. The trough is expected to decay in the north during Thursday, with many areas seeing a return to northerly winds as a feeble high pressure system drifts across from the west. Another, stronger, trough and associated southerly change is forecast to affect the coast during Friday and Saturday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly below 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 18 March

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Thursday 19 March

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Waves but wind coming up early

Posted by: on January 24th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Wind out of the north for the early risers this morning. Swell was coming from the NE at around 10 seconds apart with an average height at sea of about 2 metres. Surface conditions were rapidly moving from textured to bumpy within an hour of sunrise. Bureau says 10-15 kts NE, so if they’re right it won’t get a lot windier. Unless you like choppy surface conditions, north corners are going to be the go.

Biggest wave faces I saw on a quick tour this morning were at south Narrabeen and Dee Why beach where the eastish to ne lines were focusing into wave faces around the shoulder to head plus mark. Elsewhere was waist to chestish.

Tide was low at 0545 and will be back to high at 1205. Bureau says we’ll see 29 on the coast today and 22 in the water. Queensie and Coogee have pollution possible warnings from Beachwatch.

Tomorrow looks like being stinkin’ hot but the wind might hold off a little deeper into the morning. Swell is expected to back off a touch, but with luck there’ll be more than enough to keep the weekend warriors stoked. Again, earlier’s better.

Monday is shaping to be a south change day, so probably gonna be pretty messy from the get-go. Rest of the week is shaping to have swell energy aplenty, but if the models are right, the wind’ll be onshore the whole time. Blah. Hope they’re wrong.

Have yourself a top old Saturday and keep on smilin’!

north narrabeen

Busy early

dy beach

Before the wind got into it

dy point

Not really doing it for the early

butterbox

Lines aplenty

long reef beacy

Shoulder high set wave faces

Weather Situation

A low pressure trough is situated off the northern New South Wales coast, while a high near New Zealand maintains a ridge towards central parts. Later on the weekend, a cold front and southerly change will move along the coast, reaching the far north by early Monday. Behind this a high pressure system will push a ridge along the coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 25 January

Winds
Northeast to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, ahead of a southerly change 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres in the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. 50% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening.

Monday 26 January

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Pumping at Dee Why

Posted by: on May 5th, 2014

Hello Friends,

I’m calling it 9/10 at Dee Why this morning. After jumping dramatically yesterday, this morning sees 3-4+ metres of close to 14 second period south swell marching relentlessly in to the point for a Sunday size pre-work crowd. (I reckon the sicky count will shoot up today!). Set wave faces were double overhead at the point and up the beach they were every bit as big, but it’s just too lined up and shutting down to be worth anyone trying. Swell has been around the 4 metre mark down south for almost two days now, so without looking at the models, I reckon that means it’s going to be big all day today.

The Bureau says the energy will start to drop back into the 2.5-3m range around midday. Tomorrow it’s supposed to cog down another notch or two into the 2 metre range. But worse, the wind goes southerly about lunch time and stays that way through Wednesday.

So get on it if you can! Yours truly is going to get in the car and drive away from these amazing conditions to see what’s on offer up along the mid north coast.

Have yourself a fantastic Monday everybody and stay tuned for more pics from me this evening (I hope!!)

Well populated at Dee Why @0700

Well populated at Dee Why @0700

Perfect conditions at Dee Why point

Perfect conditions at Dee Why point

Solid set wave stands up at Dee Why point @ 0700

Solid set wave stands up at Dee Why point @ 0700

Up the beach it's big but mostly too lined up.

Up the beach it’s big but mostly too lined up.

Weather Situation
A deep complex low is located east of Tasmania, moving further east. Winds have eased as the low moves away with the next high pressure ridge extending across from the west to be centred to the west of Tasmania for several days. A weak front will bring a southerly change to the south coast tonight and much of the remainder of the coast on Tuesday. Following this, the high should direct a southwest to southerly airstream along the coast before moving to the southern Tasman Sea later in the week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, easing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres around midday.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 6 May
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the late morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon, then tending southerly 2.5 metres later in the evening.
Wednesday 7 May
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres.

 

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