Articles tagged with "4/5"

Warm day ahead, small waves to start

Posted by: on March 18th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Again, very fat on the high tide for the modest morning crew at Dee Why beach and the point. The MHL buoy showed 1.5 metres of east swell at 12 seconds apart. It was a long wait between catchable ones at Dee Why when I first checked this morning. Set wave faces were in the waist to chest range at both the point and along the beach. Surface conditions were smooth though.

Wind was NE by 0800 and the Bureau says it’s going to build up into the 15-20kt range before fading back this evening. They also say that we should see easterly swell of 1.5-2 metres today, but it will fade overnight and be 1-1.5 metres from the NE tomorrow morning and then about a metre on Friday morning ahead of an afternoon south change.

Not looking real wonderful for the weekend. Right now it seems we can expect plenty of SE wind and a small SE wind bump for Saturday and then equally steady east wind on Sunday with equally marginal east wind bump.

The long range models are all looking very quiet for our corner of the world next week. If they’ve got it right, the best we can hope for will be little knee to waist high dribblers in the mornings.

Have yourself a great Wednesday and good luck with the wave hunt.

Tides: H @0715. L @1345

dy beach surfer

Bodyboarder gets a fun one at 0750

dy point surfer

Long, long wait for this one

dy beach

Another beachy wave

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge lies over the Tasman Sea, while a trough extends through inland New South Wales. Between these systems, north to northeasterly winds will be fresh to strong in most coastal areas today, before the trough brings a southerly change to the southern coast during the evening. The trough is expected to decay in the north during Thursday, with many areas seeing a return to northerly winds as a feeble high pressure system drifts across from the west. Another, stronger, trough and associated southerly change is forecast to affect the coast during Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore, tending east to northeasterly around 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres tending northeasterly by evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 19 March
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 20 March
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sticky: On the fade…

Posted by: on October 7th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Grey skies and only light breezes around this morning. The long slow decline of the SE swell continues. There were fewer people in the water at Dee Why as a result. The point was empty and the only keen punters were on that peak north of the club. After a long wait, I finally got a picture of someone on a wave. It was a brief affair, but glassy and kinda fun looking in a quiet sort of way.

We’re in for a cloudy morning with the odd shower or two. Swell is luffing along at around 1.5 metres with an average period of 9 seconds. So you should be able to find a little something at exposed stretches if you’re extra keen.

This morning’s run of the swell forecast models suggests we’ll have a little something through tomorrow, but next week’s not looking all that encouraging from here.

Go well with your Friday!

 

TIDES: L @1040 and H @1700

Weather Situation

A weak ridge lies over the western Tasman Sea, while a trough over NSW is moving gradually eastwards over the next day or two, moving into the Tasman Sea on Saturday. A southerly change is likely to affect the south and central coast on Sunday and the north coast on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 10 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots around midday then decreasing to 10 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms later in the afternoon or evening.

Saturday 8 October

Winds
East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light in the early morning then tending southerly up to 10 knots around midday.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon.

Sunday 9 October

Winds

West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly during the afternoon.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southeasterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Cold, grey, a bit lumpy but surfable

Posted by: on October 4th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Last night the Bureau said it’d be southerly this morning. Well, as of 0800 it was still offshore at around 10 kts. And, also contrary to the forecasts, the swell was a respectable 2.5 metres from the SSE. The average period was still around the 8-9s mark this morning, so we were seeing shoulder to head high sets at Dee Why point and at the peak just up the beach from the surf club.

The wind is set to swing more to the south later and the possibility of showers should decrease.

According to this run of the forecast models, the swell trend is downward toward flatness – but it should be a very slow process. If they’re right, we should have marginal but surfable conditions through to the weekend.

Pretty typical spring conditions I’d say.

Have yourself a good Tuesday and stay happy.

TIDES: L @0715 H @1350

 

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred near Tasmania extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. This ridge will gradually weaken over the next day or two as the high drifts towards New Zealand. A low pressure trough is forecast to move across the coast from the west towards the end of the week. Following this, there are indications that a cold front may sweep across the region later on the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots by the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Wednesday 5 October
Winds
Southerly 5 to 10 knots tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 6 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Easter Friday and we have waves

Posted by: on April 2nd, 2010

Hello Friends,

Wandered down to the beach a little after 0900 to see if I could find anything worth taking pictures of. First stop was Curly where in the course of around 40 mins, it went from good size buy marginally onshore to good size but thoroughly hacked up.

It was tough going getting waves for the goodly size crew out there and I didn’t really come back with much in the way of keepers. Very demanding conditions indeed.

But around the corner at Dee Why it was even more wretched. Not as badly affected by the wind, but the short period, straight south swell was barely refracting in. Heaps of bods in the water but very, very few waves of any consequence. Eventually one sort of catchable one dribbled around the point and an energetic mal rider managed to milk it some distance. (see below)

From what the Goat says we can expect the swell to hang around at roughly the same size into the middle of next week. My reading of the models suggests this is, as usual, pretty much spot on. Some of the riffs on the basic WAM data suggest that SE spots may kick into the good quality range for the early on both Sunday and Monday. The Bureau is calling for the wind to stay out of the southern quarters through the long weekend, so getting in before mid-morning will be the go.

Anyway, have yourself a good one!


Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Friday until midnight: Wind: S/SW 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore increasing during the morning to 20/25 knots, reaching 25/30 knots offshore. Sea: 2 to 3 metres.Swell: SE about 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: S 20/25 knots, reaching 25/30 knots offshore.Sea: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: SE 2 to 2.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: S/SE 15/25.

 

 

Smaller but not flat

Posted by: on September 12th, 2009
You'll need something extra bouyant for the little point dribblers this morning.

You'll need something extra bouyant for the little point dribblers this morning.

Chest high sets hitting the beachy but the banks aren't great at the south end.

Chest high sets hitting the beachy but the banks aren't great at the south end.

Hello Friends,

It’s dropped a bit more than I’d expected this morning, but it’s not flat. Swell has moved around more to the SE, but it’s also about half a metre smaller on average than yesterday. Sets are into the chest high range at Dee Why beach and around the waist high mark (and less consistent) at the point.

Outlook is for the conditions to bumble along at about this level through today and tomorrow. With luck it won’t fade away altogether on Monday. On the current reckoning of the models, we should see a little uptick in quality around midweek. Doesn’t look as though it’ll be dramatic, but head high at exposed spots is a possibility for Weds.

Hope to grab a few snaps for you later today.

Tides: L: 0654, H: 1343
Synoptic Situation
Increasing northerly winds ahead of a cold front expected on the far South Coast Sunday night and the remainder of the coast during Monday.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 15/20 knots tending NW/NE 20/25 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: SE/NE about 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: NW/NE 15/20 knots increasing to 20/30 knots in the afternoon.Sea: rising 2 to 3 metres.Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: SW/SE change 15/25 knots.

Afternoon wrap: North Coast style

Posted by: on May 5th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Another postcard from the far north coast coming up. But first, a word about the prospects in Syd-a-knee. As Rob’s pics show, the swell has started to kick up. Latest data from the MHL buoy shows the primary direction to be SE and the average size to be a couple metres at about 8 seconds. However, there has been some very long period (14+ sec) component in the mix too. This is consistent with the computer models which have been calling for a brief, long-period pulse to hit overnight. So it seems to be here a bit early. Tomorrow the outlook is for the swell to weaken but for the wind to be more favourable than today.

Meanwhile outlook for the far north coast is for those SE winds that have made Sydney’s surf conditions pretty ordinary to turn up here and to do pretty much the same thing. Hoping against hope that the swell will get into protected spots and that there will be more water time to be had.

After this morning’s less that stellar surf, I had a few hours with the computer doing magazine stuff, before setting off for a visit to lovely Byron. Very small everywhere sadly. Still, for the keen and those equipped with a mal, there were options to be had. Scoped Broken Head for awhile, but it was pretty busy and gutless.
Figured that if the fate was gutless waves, we might as well hit the pass with everyone else in Byron. Waves were mostly in the knee to waist high range, but if you were lucky, you could jag one that would run and run (assuming you had a mal). 9/10ths of my waves featured at least one other person in front of me for all or most of the wave. That’s okay though. It was pretty easy to cruise along and I don’t mind the challenge of riding behind.

Came back to Lennox just after school had let out and the kids were onto the reefs out in front of town. Again, not brilliant conditions, but there were lots of little sections to be pounced on and enjoyed.

Have yourself a top old evening!

Lennox Head... waiting for the next swell to arrive...

Lennox Head... waiting for the next swell to arrive...

Grom finds a fun section at Lennox reefs this afternoon.

Grom finds a fun section at Lennox reefs this afternoon.

Fun to be had inside Lennox Reefs this arvo.

Fun to be had inside Lennox Reefs this arvo.

Rock art in the sand at The Pass, Byron Bay

Rock art in the sand at The Pass, Byron Bay

Technicolor tiny at Broken Head around midday.

Technicolor tiny at Broken Head around midday.

Sunday evening

Posted by: on April 5th, 2009

Wrapping up the weekend and what do we have? Well, today the swell started out at 2 metres from the SSE at 9sec, but by lunch time it was back around to the east at 10 seconds and still around the two metre mark. It was offshore and relatively clean at most places to begin with, but in keeping with the forecast, the wind came around to the NE and is currently NNE at 15-20 kts or so.

Outlook for tomorrow morning isn’t too crash hot. The Bureau says we’ll have a 20-30 kt south change before dawn and although it’ll ease off to 15-20 kts later, the direction will be S-SE. Swell should still be rolling along. Bureau reckons it’ll be 1.5-2 m from the east, swinging around to the S and building a touch to 2-3 metres. High tide’ll be at 0427 dropping to a lowish low at 1115.

Here’s a snap I took just on dusk.

That's Sunday done. Wind around to NE, but swell not gone.

That's Sunday done. Wind around to NE, but swell not gone.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin