Articles tagged with "E-1.5m-7s"

Sticky: Socked in start

Posted by: on November 23rd, 2013

Kiddies activity
Busy, busy

Carparks sortaHello Friends,

RealSurf HQ was fogged in when I first tried to check the situation at 0620. Visibility was around 100 metres, so no pictures to begin with this morning.

From the look of the MHL data, I’m not expecting to see much when the fog clears. Swell is coming from the east and is averaging around the 1.5 metre mark out at the buoy. The problem is that the average period is a dribbly 7 seconds, so my guess is that when the fog burns off later, we’ll be looking at knee to waist high wave faces at most places showing anything. Magnet spots like Curly should be a touch bigger with possible set wave faces into the chest range. Wherever you go, expect lumpy, bumpy short period stuff with quick two to three turn rides being the norm. Wind should be reasonable today as it’s expected to be out of the westerly quarters.

The surf outlook for today and tomorrow isn’t currently looking too exciting. The models are calling for a little something from the NE this morning, but that fades as the day goes along. Tomorrow looks puny again sadly.

The coming week should see us return to a southerly regime for a few days. There is some hope for reasonable energy at spots that can take SW wind on Monday and Tuesday. If the models have it right, Sydney could get a 2-3 metre south pulse with periods in the 10 second range from as early as Monday morning through – more or less – to Wednesday. By Wednesday the wind could be south to south east though.

If I had to pick a day at this point, I reckon Tuesday morning looks the best shot…

Have a top old Saturday!

Tides: H @1125, L @1810

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Saturday 23 November 2013.
Weather Situation
A weak high pressure ridge lies over the southern Tasman Sea and a low pressure system near Tasmania with a trough to the north is slowly moving east. As the low moves further east the associated trough will bring southerly winds as far north as Sydney Waters this morning and to the far north coast Sunday afternoon. Behind the trough a weak high pressure ridge is expected to develop along the coast on Monday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest to southeasterly about 10 knots in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Scattered thunderstorms, becoming less likely at night.
Sunday 24 November
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.
Monday 25 November
Winds
Southerly below 10 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.

Sticky: Sydney or Seattle? You decide.

Posted by: on November 25th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Another grey and dripping morning with visibility down to about a kilometre. Swell has come around to the east. It’s about 1.5 metres on average, but the period is still a paltry 7 seconds. The Bureau says it’ll be cloudy with mist patches and drizzle increasing to periods of rain as the east south easterly (blergh!) goes from the present 10-12 kts to 20-25 kts from the east to north-east. To the extent that it matters, tide swings about two metres from a high at 0740 to the low at 1420.

I’m keeping my hopes modest for tomorrow, but I do note that the Bureau says the wind should swing W-NW around lunch time. If the NE’r picks up as predicted later today, there might be a little something still coming in as the wind changes tomorrow.

Have yourself a great Friday!

Here’s a grab from the WRL cam of south Narrabeen. Looks as though Council’s spread out all that sand from Northy lagoon…

Weather Situation

A broad trough, which lies over inland New South Wales on Friday, will contract to the coast on Saturday before moving further east across the Tasman Sea on Sunday. A weak high pressure ridge over the coast will weaken on Saturday as the trough draws closer. Monday could see a weak ridge redeveloping over New South Wales ahead of another trough approaching from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Saturday 26 November

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots around midday then tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.

Sunday 27 November

Winds

West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending south to southeasterly about 10 knots during the evening.

Seas

Up to 1.5 metres.

Swell

Easterly 1.5 metres.

PICS: ya really missed it (or maybe you didn’t!)

Posted by: on March 14th, 2011

Was out and about with my camera on Monday morning the 14th of March and stopped by Curly to see what the little east windswell was doing. I got there about 0915 and was bummed to discover I shoulda thrown the board in the car. It was mostly around the waist high mark, but there were definitely a few bigger than that. Anyway, I stuck around and shot pictures until the southerly came in a little before 1000 and obliterated the place.

In the end I came back with over a hundred shots. To see ’em all, just click on the picture below. As usual, all shots are available in a variety of sizes at extremely reasonable prices. Once you get there, just click on an image and then look top left for the buying options link.


Click the pic above to visit

Sticky: Little bumps about

Posted by: on January 20th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Not much happening down at Dee Why beach. The tide was high for the early risers and the metre and a bit of 7sec east wind swell was frothing lightly in. Sets would be struggling to get much above the waist high mark on the big ones. The small numbers in the water at Dee Why tell the tale I’d say. An unusual level of commitment is required.

The latest forecast is calling for a small Thursday but from tomorrow the trend is upward as we head toward a modest bump upward in energy levels for the weekend. If the prediction pans out, we’ll get a south east swell, ne wind combo that should potentially be fun at numerous spots in the Sydney region. Here’s hoping!

Apropos the very long range outlook, I’m still liking the look of the forecasts for mid next week. They continue to show a reasonably broad area of fetch around a low off to the NE of NZ. If anything develops, I’d expect it’ll be toward the end of next week before anything gets down our way. All highly speculative at this point of course, but fun to imagine the possibilities.

Go well with your day!

Tides: H @0915, L @1600

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast. The high will move rapidly to the southeast today, although the ridge to the north will be maintained. A cold front will pass to the south during Friday and Saturday, bringing a southerly change to southern parts of the coast before the next drifts across from the west.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: East to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing below 10 knots during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

 

 

Sticky: Kinda junky, pretty small too

Posted by: on December 8th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Overnight the wind swell has moved from the SE to the east and although it’s actually pushed up slightly into the 1.5 metre range, the average period has slumped from 9 seconds yesterday afternoon, to around 7 seconds this morning. Throw in a steady 8-10kts of NNE sea breeze and you have a recipe for uncrowded conditions. When I first checked it a little before 0700, there wasn’t anyone in the water from the point to around half way to the Pole.

Tide’s high around 0940 this morning, so it’s not likely things will improve much. The late afternoon low at around 1630 is set to coincide with 20-30 kts of NE’ly, so my guess is that the best shot might be in the hour or so before dark when the tide has started to come in again and those straight hander banks are maybe a little less crunchy.

I’m out and about this morning, so I’ll try to grab another snap for an update later on.

Have yourself a good one!

Here’s a snap of a snap from around 0900 at north Curly.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system to the east of Tasmania is strengthening while a trough over South Australia draws slowly closer. This pattern will see northeasterly winds increasing along much of the New South Wales coast before the trough brings a southerly change towards the end of the week.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening. Swell: Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots around dawn then becoming up to 30 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 2 metres. Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly up to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly about 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms offshore during the evening.

Sticky: Wha… not the grey again

Posted by: on November 8th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Grey and misty old morning. So misty in fact that I can’t quite make out the beach yet. From the look of the models though, we’re sitting about where we were yesterday afternoon when it comes to the wave settings – ie 1.5m of short (7s) period east windswell. That should translate to waist high with the odd bigger one for the people at the Manly Fesitval of Surfing (and other beaches with good exposure to the swell direction).

Here’s how it looked at Gardens from atop Flight Deck at 0700…

The WRL cam reveals small activity around Gardens

The WRL cam reveals small activity around Gardens

So, the obvious question is: how’s it looking for the next few days in Sydney?

Not too fabulous is the answer. We’re looking like being stuck with a big old high that wraps around the coast from the bight to Queensland. It’s going to bump any serious energy away from our swell window for the next week – at least. The swell model interpretations are calling for the current smallness to gradually get smaller into the coming week. If you’re in Sydney it pretty much looks as though you can knock surfing out of the schedule from about Tuesday into the weekend. Spring is not my fave time of year.

TIDES: L @0533, H @1207, L @1907
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots in the afternoon and evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E about 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE 10/15 knots freshening to 15/20 knots in the afternoon. NE 10/15 knots. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: E about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: NE 10/20 knots.

Sticky: Slightly less grey

Posted by: on November 7th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Wind is out of the east at 10-15 kts and the windswell is a gutless (7 sec period) 1.5 metres from the same direction. To be frank, it’s not the kind of thing you get up early for. At least it’s not quite as grey and misty as the last few mornings, and there is a slight possibility that as the day goes along, we may see a little improvement to the swell size. This is a prospect because the forecast is for the easterly onshores to increase into the 15-20kt range later.

Your best hope for a wave will be to lower your expectations into the very modest range, prepare yourself to surf onshore conditions (hey, the wave faces are smooth at least) and then find yourself a beach with good exposure to the primary swell direction (and that’s most of them in Sydney).

I’ll be back again in an hour or two with live updates from the Manly Festival of Surfing. Shari and I will be in the dual purpose RealSurf-Surfrider tent right on the beach front at the end of the Corso. We’re there from 0800 to 1700, so there’ll be lots of time to say hi to any of you good folk who are in Manly to check out the Festival.

More later!

Tide: H @1109, L @1805
Forecast for Saturday
Cloudy periods, with a few showers, mostly in the morning. Moderate
easterly winds.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots at times.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: E 1.5 to 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots at times.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E about 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE 10/20 knots.

Late one at Northy

Posted by: on March 22nd, 2009

Hello Friends,

Decided to get wet this arvo, even though I knew not to expect much. Figured that Northy’d be the nearest spot with anything resembling a wave, so went there. It was kinda busy, but not actually too bad given it was a warm Sunday afternoon with the sort of little windswell that is pretty attractive for beginners. Not that there were too many of those in the water. Sets were maybe chest high or even a touch bigger on the biggest ones. For the most part they were pretty gutless, but if you jagged just the right section, you could sort’ve put some moves together. Water is still warm, despite the NE breeze and it was reasonably consistent, particularly for those hanging on the inside.  I’m calling it 4 out of 10.

Here are a couple snaps I took just after I got out of the water. I’m also throwing in an amazing shot from somewhere north of the arctic circle (I’m guessing) by a photographer named Yassine ‘Yazzy’ Ouhilal. Pretty amazing image…

Nothing spectacular, but they had their moments.

Nothing spectacular, but they had their moments.

Yassine Ouhilal pic

Yassine Ouhilal pic

Late afternoon light, little windswell, all good.

Late afternoon light, little windswell, all good.

Sunday late am

Posted by: on March 22nd, 2009

Hello Friends,

Later than usual this am, sorry.

There were some little waves around too. Maybe that’s what I need to do when it’s been bad – get up late and miss the early. That way it’ll be good. Well, okay, not good, but definitely enough going on that you could/can catch something.

After coffees with my mate Barry down at a Narrabeen lakeside venue, we wandered over to have a look at Northy. Pretty busy of course, but happily there were clearly some little waves to be had both at the alley and down the beach. Size ranged from around knee to waist high plus. Might even have been a little chest high set in there from time to time. Of course by 1030 when I was looking at it, the NE’r was just beginning to make itself felt.

The Bureau says we’re in for 15-20 kts by this afternoon.

Swell setting is slightly better than yesterday with the average height at sea of the 7 sec period east windswell nudging toward the 1.5 metre mark.

I grabbed a few snaps for you as well…

Around 1020 this morning the odd set to be had.

Around 1020 this morning the odd set to be had.

Nice warm water, who could complain?

Nice warm water, who could complain?

Finding a little pocket south of Northy

Finding a little pocket south of Northy

Freshie Follies

Posted by: on February 9th, 2009
0740: little ones getting caught at Freshie this am.

0740: little ones getting caught at Freshie this am.

Freshwater had a crowd of two when I stopped by for a look around 0740 this morning. The little east windswell is kinda working into the corner, but the high tide and short period are combining to make for rather weak conditions. If you waited long enough, I have no doubt there would be a bomb set into the chest high range.

Wind wasn’t too much of a factor at Freshie – certainly not as much as at Curly – but the call is for 20-25 kts later, so it won’t stay unaffected for much longer I’d say.

Have yourself a good one – with whatever comes your way.

 

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