Hello Friends,

Light WSW breezes to kick off Tuesday along the beaches of Sydney. Swell is same-old, same-old – ie, it’s out of the east, averaging around 1.5 metres at sea and packing a less than impressive 8 second period. This was delivering knee to waist high little weak things along the beach and out at the point in Dee Why for the early risers.

The Bureau tells us that we can expect the wind to come around to the south before long and by the time we get to lunch, it could be in the 25-30 kt range. Anybody for a south corner? Would you like extra lumpiness with your puniness? Oh, and there’s a 70% chance of raindrops falling on your head too.

Tidal range is small today, with only around half a metre of variation between the low at 0755 and the high at 1340.

This morning’s run of the swell models pretty much restates the predictions of the last few days – ie some longer period south stuff tomorrow (but with lots of southerly wind), then messiness and much of what we’ve had for Thursday, before a possible improvement at the weekend with the arrival of some NE energy and some weakening of the onshores.

Here’s hoping eh?

Go well with your day!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is weakening as a trough moves across western and southern New South Wales. This trough, and an associated cold front and southerly change on the southern coast, will continue to the central coast during Tuesday before slowing. A trough is then likely to remain near the northern coast through the next few days, as another high moves from the Bight to the Tasman sea.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning then increasing to 25 to 30 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Wednesday 1 February
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres tending southeasterly 2 metres during the evening.
Thursday 2 February
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.

Update:

Went down to Dee Why for the Australia Day breakfast with my daughter and her friend. Surprisingly large number of folk enjoying the cheap eats and various things to see, do and listen to on a morning threatening with rain. Lots of folks in the water at Dee Why, but conditions were mainly slow, fat and weak looking. After brekkie, came home via Edgcliff on Collaroy Plateau and discovered that there were probably a hundred folks in the water from just north of Collaroy to North Narrabeen. I spotted half a dozen peaks with crowds of 2-15 people. Waves were a little snappier than Dee Why’s, but not by much. One and two turns before the shutdown or fade-out was the rule of the day.

Hello Friends,

Grey skies and a break in the rain to start off Australia Day along the northern beaches. Wind swell is out of the east (still) at about 1.5-2m with an average period of 8 seconds. The wind forecast is for NE’rly this morning, swinging east later. So the current glassy if lumpy conditions aren’t likely to outlast the Australia Day breakfast service.

Tide is high at 1010 and back to low at 1635.

There were a few bods in the water at the point and along the beach at 0700. Set wave faces were around the chest high mark, but mostly it was smaller than that.

The water looks pretty bad, which is hardly surprising given all that rain yesterday. The skies tell the story too, because there’s an 80% chance of rain again today.

Outlook is for the wind swell to push along at roughly the same size all day and through to Sunday. At that point there could be a bump up in size, but not quality, as a NE wind event develops.

Some of the models are showing an interesting set of numbers for Monday. If it plays out as they predict, we might actually have some fun conditions at NE spots… we shall see!

Have a top Australia Day!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing an easterly airstream onto the New South Wales coast. This high is expected to move over New Zealand on Thursday as a weak cold front crosses the Tasman Sea, bringing a brief southerly change to the southern coast. Another high is forecast to move from the Bight to the Tasman Sea during Friday, restoring an onshore flow through the weekend, ahead of a more significant change expected Sunday or Monday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly later in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Friday 27 January
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming easterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Saturday 28 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Generally junky and weak looking this morning. We have a steady NE seabreeze and some messy 1.5 metre easterly wind swell. The NE’r will be picking up as the day goes along and by this afternoon you can expect a standard issue summer NE onshore of 15-20 kts.

On the bright side, well, bright-ish, some of the swell forecast modelling is predicting that the easterly wind swell will push up a bit over the next 24-48 hours. If we’re lucky, tomorrow’s morning junk should be a touch bigger. Of course the Bureau is also saying Wednesday will see the wind coming back around to the SE. The early will be your best shot I’d say.

The outlook for the next week is pretty much more of the same – ie small, junky and mainly onshore. If you’re up for a drive, there might be better prospects up the coast north of the Hunter.

Have yourself a great Tuesday!

Tides: L @0840 H @1430

Weather Situation – Sydney coastal forecast
A high pressure system near New Zealand is extending a ridge across southern and central New South Wales, while a trough remains almost stationary off the northern coast. A low is expected to develop within this trough later today or Wednesday, and although its exact position remains uncertain this development may significantly influence wind strength and direction over the north. Later on Wednesday the ridge is forecast to decay across the south as a weak cold front reaches the southwestern Tasman Sea. Following this, another high pressure system is expected to pass to the south, although it’s possible that the trough over the northern coast may remain through the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots inshore at first, otherwise 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Wednesday 18 January
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 19 January
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots turning southerly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

Wind was light and out of the north for early risers as a small east wind swell made its slight presence felt. Meanwhile, up the coast the energy levels are ramping up and the promise of sizable swell for Boxing Day in Sydney looks good from my vantage point on the other side of the planet.

Byron Bay’s showing 3 metres at 9 seconds with a stiff ESE wind and showers. By tomorrow the NE’ly wind will be going pretty well in Sydney and the swell should be around the 3 metre mark from the east. It’s due to move more NE in the following 24 hours, but the wind’ll be going pretty hard with it if the forecast is right.

So, not the best conditions, but at least it won’t be flat like it is here in southern California. Our forecast is for continued small to tiny right across the next week. If I had a thick enough wetsuit, I’d think of going up north where the winter swell energy is doing its thing…

Have yourself a great day with family and friends!

Hello Friends,

Good to see some sunshine this morning along with a more easterly swell direction. Again, it’s not big, but some peaks are getting into the chest high range at optimally exposed locations. I had to wait around to grab the snaps, so expect to have a bit of a chat between the little sets. Wind wasn’t a factor for the early risers, but the Bureau says it’ll go around to the NE and be a summery 15-20 kts this afternoon.

Low tide is at 0850 and the high is at 1445. Swell is out of the east at about 1.5 metres, with a period of just over 8 seconds.

Get out there and have a good time if you can!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will remain there through the week, with a ridge extending to the mid-north coast of New South Wales. A weak southerly change is expected to affect the southern New South Wales coast on Thursday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre tending easterly from midday.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

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Hello Friends,

Light s to se wind mid-morning, but it’s supposed to swing NE later. Swell is out of the east at around the 1.5 metre mark but with a less than amazing average period of about 8 seconds. I reckon you might get the odd chest high one at exposed spots, but that mostly it’ll be waist high or less. It looks as though the surf situation will bumble along at the present settings for about another day and then begin to swing into a generally southerly pattern. Right now looks like there could be a little pulse at south spots around Saturday…

Here’s the latest from the Bureau

Weather Situation from the BoM

A strong high pressure system centred over New Zealand extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast. This pattern will continue to bring generally northeasterly winds to coastal areas today, although the ridge will start to weaken as a trough and associated cold front move into western New South Wales. A vigorous southerly change is expected to accompany the passage of this system, reaching the southern coast early Thursday and continuing to the north coast by late evening. Following this, another ridge will move across from the west during Friday and Saturday, with winds easing accordingly.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots around midday. Seas: increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms until afternoon, mainly offshore.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending westerly up to 15 knots during the morning then tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

 

Yesterday’s little swell got belted last night in the Santa Barbara-Ventura region as a front came through. Drove around in search of waves this morning, but it was very weak and just too small – even for a mal. Eventually gave up on it and went for coffee – as you do. Outlook is for more microness in this part of the world. Up north in Santa Cruz, where the water is colder, they’re getting waves, but soCal is outta luck. Pretty typical for this time of year it has to be said.

Point was a one-person operation at 0730.

Hello Friends,

Grey skies to start – again. Surf conditions are distinctly marginal. In fact, we’re getting closer to flatness. The MHL data is showing 1.5 metres of 8 sec period east windswell, so there could be the odd waist high set at the exposed locations.

Wind is supposed to swing around to the NE this afternoon and to kick up to 20-25 kts. That could possibly improve the chances of getting something a bit bigger. Of course, being windswell, it’ll be biggest where it’s most onshore and smallest where it’s most protected.

Not spectacularly exciting, but tomorrow is currently looking as though it will be even smaller.

Have yourself a top old day and keep on smilin’

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots early turning N/NE 20/25 knots in the afternoon before turning N/NW 20/25 knots late afternoon/evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres, rising to 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: W/SW 20/25 knots, turning SE 15/20 knots during the afternoon and then SE 18/23 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres.Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres, turning S/SE 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: NW/NE 5/10 knots becoming N/NE 15/25 knots