Articles tagged with "E-1m-8/10s"

Sticky: Oh we’re bump, bumping along

Posted by: on November 22nd, 2011

Hello Friends,

95% chance of rain today apparently. Tide’s low at 1125 and the wind’ll be out of the westerly quarters from about midday. Sadly, there is almost no swell energy to be detected. The MHL buoy off Sydney was recording about a metre of east wind swell at about 8 seconds.

Once again, you’ll need to be extra keen to bother with the conditions. Of the 2 million or so people within 50 kms of the place, not one was visible in the water at Dee Why.

This morning’s interpretations of the wave forecast models from NOAA are all agreeing that we’re in for continued near-flatness for at least a couple more days.  From about Thursday onward it seems as though we might see a boost into the surfable range as a SSE pulse heads our way. At this stage it looks as though chest high is not totally out of the question at exposed spots. There is a catch of course, and it’s a biggie: the Bureau also says the wind will be onshore from the SE at 20-25 kts. Blergh.

There seems to be some prospect of a sunny Sunday though. And there might be chest high waves out’ve the NE with, get this, offshores! Sounds too good to be true, but I don’t care, I’m going to daydream about it anyway!

Have a great Tuesday one and all, and just stay happy!

Weather Situation

A high is centred to the north of New Zealand, and another near Western Australia. A broad trough between these systems will remain over central and northern New South Wales for the next few days. The high to the west is forecast to strengthen and move slowly east during the second half of the week, preceded by a cooler southerly change along the coast.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots during the morning then tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore.

Wednesday 23 November

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

Thursday 24 November

Winds

South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots.

Seas

2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning.

Swell

Easterly about 1 metre becoming 1.5 metres during the evening.

Sticky: Is that a hint… a suggestion of an improvement?

Posted by: on August 6th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Not much of anything showing at Dee Why again this morning. However, it looks to be a tiny touch more energetic than the last week. According to the MHL buoy off Sydney, the dominant swell direction is out of the east. Apparently it’s averaging about a metre out there and the period is around the 8 second mark. As the picture from a little before 0700 shows, there were at least a couple optimists in the water at Dee Why to watch the sunrise. I didn’t see either of them catch anything, but their odds don’t look totally hopeless. A mate and I went longboarding at Long Reef yesterday afternoon and we managed to get a few knee to thigh high little crumblers.

From the shape of the indicators and the forecast models, it seems unlikely that we’ll see much of a change in conditions today. Which is kinda too bad as the weather forecast is for a return to on again off again showery days.

Outlook for tomorrow is for a cloudy version of today – ie NW wind and very small waves.

The excitement about the coming week evident in the models of even a few days ago, seems to have changed to Monday being the day. The Bureau says we’ll have a partly cloudy day with isolated showers and 15-20 kts of SW wind. The good bit is that we’re also set to have a couple metres of longish period south swell with it. So here’s hoping because from there on in conditions seem somewhat more problematic – according to the models anyway.

Go well with your Saturday and stay happy!

TIDES: L @0700, H @1330

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeastern New South Wales. A low pressure trough near the southwest corner of the state will move towards the east during the weekend. A low is then expected to develop over the western Tasman Sea during Sunday in response to an approaching upper level trough. There is currently a high level of uncertainty with regards to the position of the developing low, and this will influence the winds across the region.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Sunday 7 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 to 1 metres tending southerly about 1 metre from midday.
Monday 8 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.

Sticky: Morning gloom and smallness. But glassy!

Posted by: on March 11th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Somewhere between foggy and hazy as Friday started out along Sydney’s beaches. The ocean was close to glass too. But, the very weak east windswell is still with us. It was struggling to make a metre out at sea and the average period was around the 8 second mark. Not too promising it has to be said. Apart from a swimmer or two and the SUP’r in this morning’s snap, I didn’t see anyone else in the water at Dee Why. Sets would be struggling to get big enough to ride on your belly. Judging from a tour of the beaches yesterday, you might find something in the knee to waist high range at spots with good easterly exposure.

The outlook is for the breeze to push up from the south east as the day goes along and, given the incoming tide this morning, it would seem that the standard “go early or go home” advice applies.

And the outlook? Well, I refer you to our legendary forecaster, The Goat.

Have yourself a top old day!

TIDES: L @0720 H @1310

Weather Situation
A stationary high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A trough near the central coast will move a little further north today, before weakening as the ridge broadens across the region. Another southerly change is expected to develop on the south and central coasts later on the weekend.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds: Variable 5 to 10 knots tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: Southwest to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots, becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the late afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday
Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Peak passed, breezy to start

Posted by: on June 26th, 2010

Hello Friends,

The morning kicked off with around 10 kts of N-NW wind and a small mainly easterly swell of about a metre at sea. Yesterday’s reasonably juicy 10 sec average period and close to two metres of ESE swell is but a memory. Average period now is back to 8 seconds – although there was still some 10 second stuff showing in the data from the MHL Sydney buoy.

Where Dee Why was concerned this morning sets were into the chest high range and quite clean for the small crowd getting amongst it.

Outlook is for the wind to gradually move around to s-sw and then to be southerly by nightfall. They’re also expected to accelerate into the 20-25 kt range and stay at about that level through to Sunday morning. The latest from the Bureau says that it’ll continue at that intensity through the day. The models show the swell lining up with the wind direction and pushing up into the two metre range. With luck there’ll be some fun size stuff at the semi-exposed south swell spots.

As of Saturday morning the wave forecast models for the week ahead are generally looking pretty marginal. The broad trend is for the swell to be mainly out of the SSE to SE over the next 5-6 days. Monday could be about like today, but then it looks likely to fade to flat by the end of the week.

Sure hope that call turns out to be unduly pessimistic.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southwesterly during the afternoon. Winds southerly 20 to 25 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres tending southerly this afternoon and evening.
Sunday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.

Sticky: Smaller than yesterday, but not flat

Posted by: on March 26th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Yesterday’s little south pulse started fading and swinging east at around lunch time. This morning sees the average height at sea around the metre mark and the all important power setting at a marginal 8s. Dee Why beach was showing a waist high line at around seven this morning. There were a few folks in amongst them too.

According to the Bureau we’re in for a warm day (29) and a summery NE wind regime (ie light early, 15-20 kts by lunch). So, open stretches early, north corners later.

Get out there and enjoy if you can because it looks as though we’re in for another run of nearly flat conditions around our region over the next few days.

TIDES: L @1220 H @1825

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots increasing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Winds inshore N/NW 5/10 knots during the morning.Sea: 1 to 2 metres, although below 1 metre inshore during the morning. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres tending E.
Saturday: Wind: early S’ly change 15/20 knots, becoming SE/NE 13/18 knots in the afternoon/evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: NE about 1 metre. Chance thunderstorm.
Sunday: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots, tending N/NE 15/25 knots in the afternoon/evening.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin