Hello Friends,

Swell is gradually fading away, but for the early risers, there were a few small waves to be had at spots with a liking for east swell. The Bureau says the morning offshore will be pushed away by a south change of 10-20 kts. As you can see from the picture above, set wave faces at Dee Why were around the waist to chest high mark. I’d expect there to be a slightly bigger sets at better exposed spots. Mind you, I’ll probably pass on Manly…

The swell forecast models are predicting that the wave energy will weaken gradually over the next couple days and by next week it looks as though we’ll be facing a 3-4 day lull in proceedings. The swell models are showing plenty of activity coming out of the southern ocean and running up the western side of the Tasman. Unfortunately the models aren’t showing much of the energy coming our way. One very long range prediction shows something happening toward the end of next week, but that’s pretty speculative stuff, so I’m not making any plans myself.

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Have yourself a great Friday!

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends across northern New South Wales to the central Tasman Sea, while a weakening cold front is bringing a brief southerly change to the southern half of the coast. Behind this front, winds will ease as the ridge strengthens across the south. Another weak southerly change is likely to affect the southern coast during Saturday, before a more vigorous cold front crosses the region on Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots ahead of an early southerly change 10 to 20 knots, then tending east to northeasterly by evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Saturday 27 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly around midday then tending east to northeasterly by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Sunday 28 August
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

High tide at about 0900 and swell is out of the east at about a metre. Period’s close to 9 seconds, so there are chest high sets showing in the beachbreak of Dee Why. There should be a fair number of places lighting up with this particular combo. Wind is light for the early, but is set to swing from the NE to SE. Water temp offshore is about 23 degrees too. Felt nice when I went for a dip at the point yesterday, so it should be good again today.

Fair number of bods in the water at Dee Why, but it’s not looking crazy or anything. From looking around yesterday, that seemed to be the pattern, ie, fair numbers in the water, but not exceptionally busy.

You’ll want to make an effort today though, because the models are all showing the waves disappearing pretty much over the next few days.

I’ll be sending postcards from across the pond over the next two weeks as I’m off to celebrate my dear old Dad’s 90th.

Have yourself a good one!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is slowly moving east. A cold front is expected to bring a weak southerly change to the New South Wales south and central coasts today before winds return to the northeast, ahead of another weak change on the south coast on Wednesday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeast to northeast during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms offshore during the evening.

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: West to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northwesterly during the afternoon then increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 0.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Not much going on at Dee Why this morning. You want more exposure to the east for the little swell that’s out at sea to have any prospect of a wave. The trendlines are not good for today, but the models show a small perk for tomorrow morning and I’m really liking the look of next week. If those supercomputers are right we could see a very long period south pulse toward the end of next week. I hasten to add that long experience shows these big calls typically get scaled back as we close in on the date in question. In this particular case though I’m cautiously hopeful because the predictions are for a general and solid uptick over a stretch of four to five days. So there ought to be something…

So, have yourself a top old day and get up to some good somewhere, somehow!

Weather Situation

A cold front is moving across NSW. The front will move over the Tasman Sea during Friday and a low is expected to develop east of Tasmania. Northerly winds will increase in the north ahead of the front, and westerly winds will increase over the central and southern coast in the wake of the front.
Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon then increasing to 25 to 35 knots by early evening. Seas: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening then increasing to 4 metres later in the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms during this afternoon, more frequent offshore.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres around dawn then decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre tending southerly about 1.5 metres from the late morning.
Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending northeast to northwesterly during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

According to the MHL data this morning, the swell is still pretty close to yesterday’s settings (ie 1 metre of east swell at about 9 seconds). It’s maybe a touch smaller out at sea but the period has increased slightly as well. With luck that should mean that spots liking the east swell yesterday should be similar today. I got a few pictures (and waves) at a clean but busy Northy yesterday, and then a few more snaps around midday at Curly. I’ll have fresh galleries up later today.

Dee Why wasn’t doing much yesterday and it isn’t doing much now. I’ll try to duck out for a closer look at the more easterly spots later today if I can.

Outlook is for the swell to putt along pretty much as it is now for the rest of the day and into tomorrow. Next week looks on-again off-again to me at the moment. The long range models are looking fairly hopeful for us in the Sydney region toward the end of next week.

Wind outlook is basically pretty good. NW for the early and more northerly later, but not getting up to much above 15 kts in exposed locations.

Have yourself a great day!

TIDES: H @1045, L @1630
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Northeasterly 1.5 metres. Chance thunderstorms
Saturday: Wind: Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending west to northwesterly during the morning and westerly in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Sunday: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.

Jumped in the water at Longy with a mate on our mals. Biggest thing I caught was maybe chest high on the takeoff. Water is still warm and, with so little activity lately, quite clear as well. Not many people bothering this morning so basically just us two sharing little peelers.