Articles tagged with "NE-2m-8s"Posted by: Don on October 13th, 2014
Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: 19C, NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on September 10th, 2014
Slightly cool NW wind and sunny skies as Monday got under way. The Bureau says there’s a 90% chance of rain later and that it’ll stay rainy for the next three days at least. We’re in for 20-30 kts of southerly later too, and strong south wind will be a feature for us across the next 3 days.
The blasting winds to come will drive up the seas pretty dramatically. Not much is expected to happen on that front today, but tomorrow the Bureau says they expect the swell energy to move from the NE to the E and to get into the 2-4 metre range. And on Wednesday it’s set to step up again as it swings SE and pushes into the 3-5 metre range. The wind is predicted to go more SW later in the day Wednesday and that may open up a few opportunities.
Our best window of opportunity looks to be around Thursday morning when the wind might briefly swing more westerly while the swell’s still around at some level of intensity.
So, enjoy the sunny skies because it looks as though they’re going away for a couple of days and here’s hoping we get a chance for a decent wave later in the week.
0715 at Dee Why
A high pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea while a trough and cold front approaching from the west will deliver a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast today. A low centre developing within the trough is expected to move offshore and deepen during Tuesday, leading to a further intensification of winds about central areas. The stretch of coast between Ulladulla and Port Stephens appears most likely to see gales and very large seas, although there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact path the low will take. Conditions will gradually ease during the second half of the week as a strengthening high approaches from the west.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
- Northerly 10 to 15 knots inshore at first, otherwise northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or evening.
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Becoming cloudy. 90% chance of rain, with a thunderstorm likely.
Tuesday 14 October
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
- South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, increasing to 30 to 40 knots during the afternoon and evening.
- 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres in the afternoon.
- Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, tending easterly 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
- Cloudy. 95% chance of rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 15 October
- Southerly 30 to 40 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 35 knots during the day.
- 3 to 5 metres.
- Southeasterly 3 to 5 metres.
- Cloudy. 90% chance of rain, heavy at times in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on December 23rd, 2013
You’ll want to find yourself a stretch of beach with good exposure to the NE this morning. There was a touch under 2 metres of 8-second period wind swell hitting the MHL Sydney buoy at 0500. I’d expect the best spots to be maybe knee to waist high. Wind was light early, and from the WSW. It’s expected to stay out of the NW to SW during the day and to get into the 10-15 kt range.
Dee Why looked fat, full and marginal (tide is high at 050). The point was unsurfably tiny and even up the beach, where the swell was showing slightly, there were long waits for knee high and pretty gutless looking peaks. Throw in drizzly grey skies and gee, you’d have to be keen.
Unfortunately the already marginal NE wind swell is expected to fade during the day. The Bureau says a metre by early evening and only a metre tomorrow. Friday currently looks to be similar size to today but from the south with S-SW wind.
Oh well, it is spring after all and we have just come off a couple of weeks of intense swell activity. Could be a pretty quiet week or two coming up if the models have it right.
Keep on smilin’, the waves will always return!
Nobody interested this morning
Optimists having a go up the beach at 0710
A cold front crossing New South Wales is expected to move to the far northeast and clear the state by the end of the day. A south to southwesterly change will develop along the coast in a wake of the front today, followed by another southerly change later tomorrow. Winds are expected to ease and become light by the weekend as a high pressure ridge develops over the state.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly in the morning then tending northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Winds may reach up to 30 knots offshore this morning.
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
The chance of thunderstorms, contracting offshore and clearing in the late afternoon.
Thursday 11 September
Westerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre around midday, then increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Southeast to southwesterly around 1 metre.
Friday 12 September
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly and easing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
East to northeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on October 22nd, 2013
A bit more bump around this morning courtesy of yesterday’s wind. Outlook is for wind to be north again this morning at 15-25 kts ahead of a midday southeasterly change. Swell is out of the NE at around the 2 metre mark but with an average period of about 8 seconds. That means lumpy, bumpy, sloppy waist plus wave faces on sets at exposed spots.
Outlook is for this morning to be the best of the bunch for at least the next three days. That said, I do note with interest that a couple of the models are calling for a brief longer period pulse on Christmas morning. So, who knows, maybe there’ll be a wave for those (like our very own Shari Hooper) who make a tradition of a Christmas surf.
Go well with your Monday, and keep on smilin’!
Tides: L @0520, H @1135
Forecast issued at 4:33 am EDT on Monday 23 December 2013.
A low pressure trough will bring southerly change to New South Wales far south coast Monday morning, extending to Sydney coast in the afternoon and to the far north coast during Tuesday morning. Behind the trough a high pressure system will move over the western Tasman Sea by Wednesday. This high it is expected to weaken gradually over the next few days.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southeasterly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 2 metres around dawn, then decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Tuesday 24 December
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending south to southeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Wednesday 25 December
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre.
Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on March 28th, 2013
I need to lead off with some sad news. A dear friend in California is very ill in hospital and there is a possibility that I may need to fly up there this week. So I’ve decided to postpone Don’s Surf Party until I know where things are at. It will definitely happen, but right now I need to clear the decks as I’m sure you’ll all understand.
It’s grey and smoky old morning out there. Wind is out of the S-SSW at 15-25kts, so Dee Why is relatively clean, if small. The mix of south and NE wind swells is producing knee to waist wave faces as of 0730. Next tide is a high at 1000.
Wind is set to come around to the NE at midday and to kick up into the 20-30 kt range.
We’ve got two days left in the crowdfunding campaign and we’ve gone very well indeed. A huge thank you to everyone who’s joined in thus far and thanks in advance to those who will add their support before Pozible closes it off at 0100 on /Wednesday morning.
Go well with your day and if you’re fighting the fires a huge thank you from all the rest of us.
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Tuesday 22 October 2013.
A southerly change associated with a weak trough offshore weakens as it moves into the Hunter waters this morning, dissipating around noon. A high pressure system north of New Zealand extends a ridge over southern Queensland today associated with a northerly airstream over northern NSW. This will give way to a complex low pressure system extending over the southern parts of the state this afternoon. The low and its associated troughs extends over the Tasman Sea on Wednesday followed by a south to southwesterly change in the afternoon, expected to move across the state by Thursday morning.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
1 to 2 metres.
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
The chance of thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 23 October
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southwesterly in the evening.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres before dawn, then tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
The chance of thunderstorms offshore in the early afternoon.
Thursday 24 October
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres.
Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on November 27th, 2009
High tide isn’t far off (@0940) as I write this. So everything is pretty full and going to stay that way until late morning. On the plus side, the swell energy level has improved a touch. It’s averaging nearly 2 metres from the NE at 8 seconds and the wind is supposed to stay northerly at 15-25 kts through the day. It should be sunny this morning, but there’s a 90% chance of rain this evening.
So, not amazingly hopeful or anything, but there might be a little something here and there if you look, particularly as the tide starts to drop again.
We go into a southerly regime tomorrow and while that might bump things up a touch here or there, the prospects are not great. Knee to waist plus generally I’d say.
Have yourself a good Thursday!
A cold front will bring gusty southerly change to New South Wales south coast this afternoon extending to the far north coast Friday morning. Behind the change a weak high pressure ridge will develop over the western Tasman Sea on Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
1.5 to 2 metres.
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Friday 29 March
South to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres in the early morning then decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Northeasterly 1.5 metres tending southeasterly about 2 metres from midday.
The chance of thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.
Saturday 30 March
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly about 2 metres.
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.Posted by: Don on December 13th, 2008
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Well, looks like we have some little waves. Overnight the windswell jumped from one up to two metres from the NE. Period’s only about 8 sec, so we aren’t talking huge and powerful, but there are definitely prospects for fun around the place.
Dee Why’s not usually the first place you’d look for a wave when the windswell’s out of the NE, but I saw a couple amusing looking chest high set waves when I climbed up for my traditional morning pictures.
We’re in for a stinkin’ hot day with NW wind, so it’s good to see that for once there should be a few waves to be had at most places (apart from those with mainly south exposure).
And just quietly, I’m liking the look of next week. More thoughts on that later…
On other matters, I’ve managed to get our spiffy shop graphic working on our main pages. I’ll try to add another product or two soon, but you can grab a FoRS shirt and cup right now.
Huey offers something for a hot day.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 15/20 knots. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: NE 1.5 to 2 metres. Early thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: N 05/10 knots early, gradually increasing to N/NE 20/25 knots by the afternoon. Sea: below 1 metre, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres later.Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: NW 10/20 knots ahead of a S/SW change 15/25 knots in the afternoon.
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.Tags: NE-2m-8s.
0650: NE windswell froths things up.
Pretty lumpy and messy looking at Dee Why this morning. As expected, the big blow yesterday afternoon and evening pushed up a reasonable amount of short period windswell. Sets at the point were getting toward the shoulder high range on the bigger ones, but the quality is not too impressive. I’d be looking at other, more NE windswell-friendly locations if I was keen to get in.
It has to be said that the water is looking pretty ordinary thanks to the heavy rains yesterday afternoon and evening. You wouldn’t want to go in with any unhealed wounds or if your immune system wasn’t in tip top condition. I’d be there will be a few surfers sitting in doctors’ offices looking for antibiotics later this week.
Surf is not likely to last long, but with luck it should hold through this afternoon. As most Sydneysiders will know, we’re in for a baking today with highs expected to reach 34. Wind is light and from the NW as I write this a little after 0700, but there is a strong wind warning for N-NW winds of 18-23 kts increasing to 20-30kts by this afternoon.
Don talks surf with Simon Marnie on ABC 702’s weekend show.